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- skillz16 commented Mar 18, 2022
I think longer term, we end up like Europe here, where all rates are negative. I think the "inflation" is due to competition with china causing supply chain problems, And war of Russia. I don't think raising rates will help there at all either. And ...
Fed's Waller: data is screaming at us to go 50bp increase but geopolitical events call for caution
- skillz16 commented Mar 18, 2022
Interesting... you know its the 2020s, when the only thing saving us from great depression is war.
Fed's Waller: data is screaming at us to go 50bp increase but geopolitical events call for caution
- skillz16 commented Feb 16, 2022
Breaking news: the numbers do and have never made any sense (basically)...
US retail sales surge 3.8% in January, much more than expected amid inflation rise
- skillz16 commented Feb 4, 2022
Think about this though... the EUR and the main chief of that bank "spoke the EUR tighter" yesterday... ha that kind of stuff makes you wonder if they knew this all was coming... EUR would want to buy time with their currency higher, since I suspect ...
Signs Say Terrible US Jobs Report Ahead
- skillz16 commented Feb 4, 2022
LOL - the expected vs. actuals looks terrible on this one... looks like forecasters capitulated to the terrible numbers at exactly the wrong time... they were 1000% wrong, at least so far it looks to me. So if the market believed this... expect ...
Signs Say Terrible US Jobs Report Ahead
- skillz16 commented Feb 3, 2022
"Backward roll"... ha all I can picture is this for some reason:
ECB performs hawkish backward roll
- skillz16 commented Dec 28, 2021
This is inevitable. It is because of the fact that the age demographics are crappy for the West/US... it is worse in China, etc... but yeah. Basically in order for the benefits of the larger "aging out" population to be paid, and all the municipals ...
Why House Prices Surged as the COVID-19 Pandemic Took Hold
- skillz16 commented Dec 17, 2021
Markets now... are not what they used to be. They are and will be all fake, depend more on policy makers and laws now than they did in the distant past. The age demographics of all but say Africa are bad, and the current "neverending growth" market ...
Williams: confident that Fed can achieve a soft landing
- skillz16 commented Nov 30, 2021
If your grandmother really has a money sock.. she will LOVE no inflation policies
Fed’s Powell warns Omicron could slow job growth, extend supply snarlshehe
- skillz16 commented Nov 12, 2021
They want to avoid the "Japan problem": url *8-11 minutes explains it well. Basic idea though is they would rather have inflation, as long as it's not something WACKY like 10%... than what Japan saw. Because not having any inflation, still having ...
Job Openings and Labor Turnover – September 2021
- skillz16 commented Nov 3, 2021
Not gonna happen... they let it all go for too long. The entire US would crash globally if they don't continue the charade. IE... the only thing that can annd will be done is this, what do you think?: So lots and lots and lots of DEBT is a problem ...
The Fed is about to set its post-crisis policy course — with a high level of uncertainty ahead
- skillz16 commented Nov 3, 2021
They would have to sound SUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUPER hawkish at this point in order "for things to actually be hawkish." Because all the media is already noting that the case they priced in right now is "pretty hawkish" - so basically FED speakers/FED ...
What Might it Take for the Fed to Deliver a Hawkish Tapering Anouncement?
- skillz16 commented Oct 26, 2021
Why would they taper? They just can't.. I think the world ends at all close to negative rates, and everything needs to then be done VIA "risk adjusted" instead of actual rates since they will all be 0 or negative. The reason why they don't is that ...
Is Hyperinflation Coming?
- skillz16 commented Oct 12, 2021
foto: the entire thing is a ponzi-fraud at this point... but now it is at the government level, instead of investment banks. I think this means that they won't let it end... And I also think this means that the whole thing will "whimper" along... ...
Assessment of the Economic Situation and Expectations Worsen
- skillz16 commented Oct 4, 2021
Haha.. I'd not be surprised to do a study and see that at every major trend turning point, Bullard is there... he never seems to not appear when things turn - IE the strong dollar trend appears to be turning just now (but who knows. ha)
Bullard: Concerned that inflation risks are to the upside
- skillz16 commented Mar 18, 2021
Massive STOCK market inflation.. LOL peope with no jobs.. what are they going to spend? Everyone I know in the "actual" economy can't get as much work as they would like. I'm sure the 1,500 every 3 months is going to create MASSIVE inflation... ha ...
US 10-Year Yield Rises Above 1.7% To Highest Since Jan. 2020
- skillz16 commented Jan 27, 2021
My guess is EUR/USD bear traps, but we shall see... I think the comment was to counter that the EU is growing so much slower than the rest: url and yet its currency is still appreciating. I think this is just a "structural trend" personally, so no ...
Knot: ECB Has Tools To Counter Euro Appreciation If Needed
- skillz16 commented Jul 29, 2020
Yeah, EXACTLY! The FED doing anything is basically like "pushing on a string" - it also relies on, at least it seems this way STRONGLY to me, that "trickle down" happens from those with resources that then benefit from this. I suspect it ends in the ...
Powell is expected to say the Fed will keep doing whatever it can while it considers its next move
- skillz16 commented May 14, 2020
Doesn't a stronger dollar help Imports and not Exports? IE the stronger the dollar: 1.) The more we can buy from abroad. 2.) The more our labor becomes expensive, so the less of our exports people want?
Trump: It Is A Great Time To Have A Strong US Dollar