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- Ryan420 replied Jul 9, 2023
A 1:3 Risk:Reward ratio is only 17% probability of winning. You'll lose more often than a 1:1 which has a 50% probability of winning. This is exactly what your bucket shop wants you to do.
1:1 Risk/Reward Frowned Upon?
- Ryan420 replied Jul 8, 2023
The least profitable strategies always always start off with a high Reward/Risk, followed by strategies that tell you where to place your stops at (below swing low, above swing highs). Pretty much everything that is taught on the most popular ...
Worst strategy ever
- Ryan420 replied Jul 8, 2023
Exactly. Here's from BabyPips: "If you give yourself a 3:1 reward-to-risk ratio, you have a significantly greater chance of ending up profitable in the long run." Tell me a broker didn't pay them to post that as part of their Babypips School. It's ...
1:1 Risk/Reward Frowned Upon?
- (binned per thread starter’s request) In need of a simple MT5 EAStarted Jun 23, 2023|Recycle Bin|0 replies
I've spent too much time looking and trying to code myself. Every coder is so different. Trade ...
- Ryan420 replied Jun 19, 2023
I mean trader statistics. I haven't seen a profitable account below 40% win rate this year.
1:1 Risk/Reward Frowned Upon?
- Ryan420 replied Jun 19, 2023
Can I see that trader's statistics? How would one profit from losing 97% of their trades?
1:1 Risk/Reward Frowned Upon?
- Ryan420 replied Jun 18, 2023
To risk:reward 1:2 and still have more than 50% win rate is extremely hard to do. Out of top 10 live accounts this year on FF, with more than 10 trades, only 1 has a 1:2 R:R and more than 50% win-rate: url
1:1 Risk/Reward Frowned Upon?
- Ryan420 replied Jun 18, 2023
More profits more often. Higher the R-multiple, the exponentially longer time spent in trade. A 1:1 will be 4x shorter on average than a 1:4, making more profits with less risk and variation.
1:1 Risk/Reward Frowned Upon?
- Ryan420 replied Jun 15, 2023
To clarify for new traders: a 1:0.5 R:R has 75% win expectancy. You need to win 67% of the time to breakeven. a 1:0.9 R:R has 55.5% win expectancy. You need to win 52.6% to breakeven. a 1:1 R:R has 50% win expectancy. You need to win 50% to ...
1:1 Risk/Reward Frowned Upon?
- Ryan420 replied Jun 15, 2023
There's so much incorrect info in here. A 1:1 will always be profitable at >50%. Your 1:3 R:R requires you to win 25% of the trades just to breakeven.. when the expected win rate is only 17%. It's impossible to win 50% of trades with a 1:3 ...
1:1 Risk/Reward Frowned Upon?
- Ryan420 replied Jun 15, 2023
Exactly. There is so much bad math in this thead. Running 50% win rate on a 1:3 (25% expected), you'll rule the world in a couple years. The higher the R-multiple above 1, the more inconsistent the distribution of losses will be. A 1:5 R:R has only ...
1:1 Risk/Reward Frowned Upon?
- Ryan420 commented Jun 13, 2023
I had to watch C Schumer give a speech yday on how they've worked so hard in passing the Inflation Reduction Act... how they raised the debt ceiling.. how they're bring the cost of fuel down. Never said they were trying to fix what they ruined. Term ...
Statement from President Joe Biden on May Consumer Price Index
- Ryan420 commented Jun 13, 2023
Inflation data at MAX compares to 12 months ago. Of course it's lower for the 11th month in a row.. it was 5 times the 2% target. It's still DOUBLE what it should be. For the white house to say they continue to bring down the price of fuel is a ...
Statement from President Joe Biden on May Consumer Price Index
- Ryan420 commented Jun 13, 2023
This white house is a joke
Statement from President Joe Biden on May Consumer Price Index
- Ryan420 replied Jun 13, 2023
2nd this. Current price (tight spread) is the price at equilibrium. Historic prices have no influence on future price.
Can you tell when the currency is overbought or oversold?
- If the market price is efficient - how can retail profitStarted Jun 12, 2023|Trading Discussion|5 replies
Based on Efficient Market Hypothesis. If price was inefficient and traded to efficiency, how would ...
- Ryan420 replied Jun 9, 2023
Just sucks. FF is paid to promote misinformation. I just had a broker FX course on how they pay Forex sites to spread incorrect info in exchange for payment. We won't be able to have a real discussion.. or else this will end up in Rookie Discussion.
FX Math: Expected Return based on Risk:Reward ratios
- Ryan420 replied Jun 9, 2023
Not really. I had the same stats with a 1:1 RR. Can you show me an entry criteria that would lose more than it wins? Bc I can inverse that and there's the edge.
FX Math: Expected Return based on Risk:Reward ratios
- Ryan420 replied Jun 9, 2023
Just sell high and buy low relative.. . A weekly swing high/low works. Or one of my most consistent levels is retail stop zones for entry.
FX Math: Expected Return based on Risk:Reward ratios