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- nic9man replied Dec 1, 2022
I think the core PCE will give a clear direction to the market
EURUSD only
- nic9man replied Nov 30, 2022
But it won't in terms of Debt/GDP. Nominal GDP growth is increasing with inflation, because the value of all the goods produced increases with inflation. To be precise Debt/GDP = (Debt*(1+i))/(GDP*(1+i)). Hence unless rates increase more than ...
EURUSD only
- nic9man replied Nov 30, 2022
If rates were to stay high for 10 years then maybe yes, but not over 2 years. Also just maybe because nominal costs increase for the government, but nominal income in terms of taxes increases alike with inflation. actually inflation can even help ...
EURUSD only
- nic9man replied Nov 30, 2022
First and foremost the FED needs to bring inflation down because the USD is world reserve currency number 1 and it needs to be a storage of value. With high inflation it is not. hence they will keep acting decively until inflation is down. ...
EURUSD only
- nic9man replied Nov 30, 2022
it would be strange if powell would talk dovish now because markets were already quite dovish as of late and he scheduled his speech to make a point. however, robber banks could still squeeze the market up first before going down, especially because ...
EURUSD only
- nic9man replied Nov 29, 2022
I don't really understand why we had this massively smooth selloff yesterday after the spike and such a choppy ride today. What changed?
EURUSD only
- nic9man replied Nov 29, 2022
From a fundamental point of view, we just saw weak inflation numbers from Spain and from some German states. Looks like pressure on the ECB is easing somewhat. In the light of the recent dollar weakness being a result of a weak USD inflation print ...
EURUSD only