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    • 369 Results (106 Replies , 263 Comments )
    • Trainman commented Jan 7, 2021

      I guess so. Maybe 3000 coronavirus deaths per day are inconsequential, but one person shot, well that's different.

      Donald Trump: There will be an orderly transition on January 20th
    • Trainman commented Jan 7, 2021

      How to shut down America's Pipeline of Poison (AKA Fox News): boycott their advertisers. Money talks.

      Donald Trump: There will be an orderly transition on January 20th
    • Trainman commented Jan 7, 2021

      Slowly, the Americans begin to wake from their delirium. But this outcome could have been predicted in 2016 (and was predicted by many). The Banana Republicans are now trying to distance themselves from the insurrection, but not so fast. They were ...

      Donald Trump: There will be an orderly transition on January 20th
    • Trainman replied Mar 27, 2020

      (sound of crickets after that one) ... it was -- ahem -- kinda tasteless. Not the stool sample, the joke. For anyone that might want to respond to this by lofting further stool samples, I'll be hiding behind the Code of Conduct rule about no ...

      The end of the US stock market is nearing
    • Trainman commented Mar 26, 2020

      There are two separate forces at work on USD: 1. Flight to safety, which started a few weeks back and will still continue for a while; 2. Estimates of economic strength based unemployment claims and other fundamentals. There was a knee-jerk reaction ...

      US dollar crumbles as US jobless claims skyrocket
    • Trainman replied Mar 24, 2020

      The FED has said it will buy an unlimited amount of Treasury and mortgage-backed securities. For anyone that knows how currency is created, this means flooding the country and the world with cash in unlimited amounts. Once the current ...

      The end of the US stock market is nearing
    • Trainman commented Mar 24, 2020

      "...will buy an unlimited amount of Treasury and mortgage-backed securities..." = "The presses will not stop rolling". The economy will be awash with cash. Once the recessionary/deflationary cycle closes, say hello to hyperinflation. Hey Not-KPMG, ...

      The Fed: Avoiding a Depression
    • Trainman commented Mar 20, 2020

      Things aren't Ever Going Back to "Normal" People will adapt to the new way of things. Online game servers are already getting overloaded. I'm sure Netflix is seeing record volume. Amazon too. People will find new activities, new ways of doing ...

      U.S. Economic Slowdown In Coming Months Expected To Be Worst On Record
    • Trainman replied Mar 18, 2020

      The safest position to be in during an economic crisis is to be neither a borrower nor a lender. I find it ironic that at the first sign of crisis, the first and only thing that central banks do is encourage further debt. When the only tools in your ...

      The end of the US stock market is nearing
    • Trainman replied Jan 27, 2020

      Sweet. Do you happen to know which Asian countries that would include? I have seen a Canadian tax interpretation bulletin that says that gains on foreign exchange is taxed at half the normal rate. However, it's unclear to me if that rule applies to ...

      Brokers for Canadians?
    • Trainman replied Aug 7, 2019

      around 4 years

      Brokers for Canadians?
    • Trainman replied Aug 6, 2019

      Just following a bit of news... Nomura's propriety sentiment data shows a "deterioration in supply demand for equities and a sharp downward break in fundamentals" among big players in the market like hedge funds. The market plunge could arrive as ...

      The end of the US stock market is nearing
    • Trainman replied Aug 2, 2019

      I've traded with duka. They are tops for security of funds. Their primary client software is JForex. They sometimes grudgingly offer MT4, but I suspect they don't actually process those trades themselves, they just send that volume over to someone ...

      Brokers for Canadians?
    • Trainman replied Aug 1, 2019

      New tariffs on China announced today. Anyway, IDK if that July high will end up being a top, but we can't declare the up trend to be over yet. August is an unlikely month for big bear moves without some big geopolitical or economic event to drive ...

      The end of the US stock market is nearing
    • Trainman commented Jul 30, 2019

      Yep, agreed. Powell appears to be trying to postpone the next recession/crash until after the 2020 election. The Fed is supposed to stay out of politics, that is the reason why its independent from the government.

      Fed to cut rates for first time since 2008 to save the long-running economic expansion
    • Trainman replied Jul 28, 2019

      Nice! Do you closely follow the Delta cycles? I did some research on them some time back but never traded using them. Isn't there a super LTD cycle, something like 19 years? I wonder what part of that cycle the stock market is currently in.

      The end of the US stock market is nearing
    • Trainman replied Jul 27, 2019

      Indeed, this is a great strategy if you can get the timing right. Especially deep OTM puts that are close to expiry. I did precisely this during the Dotcom boom -- my puts increased by more than 10x in less than a day. I shoulda taken the money. ...

      The end of the US stock market is nearing
    • Trainman replied Jul 20, 2019

      The ultimate impact that Libra is going to have upon the world will be orders of magnitude greater than bitcoin and the other crypto coins. Libra is a stablecoin, the plan is to back it with a basket of fiat currencies. With the clout that a large ...

      Facebook Libra coin
    • Trainman replied Jul 20, 2019

      What sort of Plan B exit would you use for stock indices these days? SP500 futures have a daily limit AFAIK, but I don't know whether MT4 brokers offering US500 CFDs would enforce daily limits or not. If they do not, such CFDs might be subject to ...

      The end of the US stock market is nearing
    • Trainman replied Jul 20, 2019

      Yes, of course the shock that triggers panic selling will be something nobody expected or predicted. But as you have previously mentioned, there are "circuit breaker" rules in the stock exchanges to prevent a 1987-style all-out panic sell. And the ...

      The end of the US stock market is nearing
    • Posts by Member Search: 'Trainman'
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