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  • 757 Results (63 Threads , 694 Replies )
  • twoblink replied Oct 13, 2016

    New breakthroughs today! 1) Ephemeral Expectancy! !!! With this; and in decimal format; we eliminate underlining currency homogeneity problems as well as lookback problems. 2) Triple Integral Super Ephemeral multi-pair multi-variant positions. I ...

    Optimized Risk vs Reward Equation
  • twoblink replied Oct 10, 2016

    Talk about old threads! Tim; I had conjectured that it's possible to treat the FX market like an options; having a dY/Dx against time (theta), against volatility (vega), and against price differential (delta) and the differential of the differential ...

    Optimized Risk vs Reward Equation
  • twoblink replied Jul 10, 2015

    Recently I have been bombarded with questions; and so I figure writing on the public forum instead of sending the same thing to a dozen emails is the easier way. My group and I have managed as I predicted; to set up a system that is Delta Neutral ...

    Twoblink's 2013 Journal
  • twoblink replied Jun 30, 2015

    You have a wife that does Delta and gamma neutral trading?! Hooks on to that one then!

    The Semi-definitive guide to Pascal's Triangles in Forex
  • twoblink replied Jun 29, 2015

    Rereading this reply from myself. Glad more than a year later; I have been able to make a Pseudo Delta Neutral AND Gamma Neutral System.. Guess I was wrong; you can be Gamma Neutral. Shabang! Love proving myself wrong.

    The Semi-definitive guide to Pascal's Triangles in Forex
  • twoblink replied Mar 12, 2014

    I personally probably take a delta neutral, gamma neutral on REAL options; but if trying to fake option behavior in the FX world; I'd prefer to have close to delta neutral; but slight gamma bias; I would want to pick a side. 48 hour rollovers on FX ...

    The Semi-definitive guide to Pascal's Triangles in Forex
  • twoblink replied Mar 4, 2014

    I present you with math; I present you with reasoning, I present you with a quotes from a multi-millionaire trader; I present you with idiot traders who average down; and you reply I'm sure without reading anything, and with a petty ad hominem. I ...

    why is everyone so afraid to average down?
  • twoblink replied Mar 4, 2014

    Look, if you aren't going to listen to the math; then you aren't going to listen to the math, and no amount that I say or do will change your mind. From where I sit; you all average down, while multi-millionaire traders say it's death. Guess who I'm ...

    why is everyone so afraid to average down?
  • twoblink replied Mar 4, 2014

    I would advise against it actually. For equity exposure calculation; I would __HIGHLY__ recommend a fixed percentage; that way, if your equity increased; the amount (in terms of $$$) is increased automagically. If your equity decreased, exposure ...

    The Semi-definitive guide to Pascal's Triangles in Forex
  • twoblink replied Mar 4, 2014

    First, understand that you add to winning positions only because you either didn't have money to put into the initial position; or you didn't want to risk that much initially because you don't know if you are correct. In the book "The Way to Trade" ...

    The Semi-definitive guide to Pascal's Triangles in Forex
  • twoblink replied Mar 2, 2014

    I buy 1 Lot @ 100.00. It goes up to 100.50 showing an open +50 I buy a 2nd lot @ 100.50 I now have a [email protected] So why would I add to my winners? Because the math says so, and that's all I listen to; the math. Suppose I bought at 100.00 and as I put ...

    why is everyone so afraid to average down?
  • twoblink replied Feb 25, 2014

    So let's assume USDJPY is at 100 and we have 3 traders and each has 400 pips to risk, trading micro lots of 1 pip movement = 1 pip profit/loss. Let's look at the scenario where the price moves from 100 => 99, and the second scenario of 100=> 101. ...

    The Semi-definitive guide to Pascal's Triangles in Forex
  • twoblink replied Feb 25, 2014

    "I asked you about friction and why it matters and to define it, yet you tell me to Google thermodynamics..." I will assume neither of you know what risk of ruin is... Risk, how much from your piggy bank you are putting the betting table. If you bet ...

    The Semi-definitive guide to Pascal's Triangles in Forex
  • twoblink replied Feb 25, 2014

    I'm not sure what more I can explain as far as risk vs rate of return. Please look up "Risk of Ruin"; very little to be google'd but there is a lot in terms of books on the subject. Let's say I flip a coin, and I tell you, if it's heads, I will pay ...

    The Semi-definitive guide to Pascal's Triangles in Forex
  • twoblink replied Feb 24, 2014

    So I'm sitting at the roulette table, and I look at the ball spinning. What should I do? Well, I could bet $20 and try my luck, or I can empty my entire bank account and bet it on a single number since that is the highest potential rate of return. ...

    The Semi-definitive guide to Pascal's Triangles in Forex
  • twoblink replied Feb 12, 2014

    GG, I will throw help your way whenever I can. I think I am armed with a lot more forex ammo than you; so I'm more than happy to lend what I have to you, in hopes that you are more productive with it than I am. I've dug up the original spreadsheet ...

    Fractals, ZZ & the Pissing Dog
  • Attached File(s)
    File Type: xlsx RabbitTraderFormula.xlsx
  • twoblink replied Feb 10, 2014

    It's not as easy as you think... because you are effectively trying to "outplay the bookie". Turn on the tv, find your favorite vegas website; look at the over/under; and try to get a 10 out of 10. That's what you are essentially trying to do. And I ...

    The Semi-definitive guide to Pascal's Triangles in Forex
  • twoblink replied Feb 9, 2014

    Do I think what will work? Since I don't trade the same as you; you'd do well to not heed my examples as anything more than examples. Without trying to sound snark; you seem to have your heart set on Support/Resistance breakout trading; but trying ...

    The Semi-definitive guide to Pascal's Triangles in Forex
  • twoblink replied Feb 9, 2014

    I must say, though with a disclaimer, you made DRASTIC assumptions about price levels, didn't really mention total risk tolerance. If you are trading visually, I'd put the SL exactly where you have it. If you are trading mathematically, I'd put the ...

    The Semi-definitive guide to Pascal's Triangles in Forex
  • twoblink replied Feb 9, 2014

    Given a 1,4,6,4,1 Distribution which seems near symmetrical to your graph resistance shape; Given the 1's as out of bounds: Given 4+6+4 = 14 but you wanted a total of 10 lots Given 10/14 = .714 Given 4 * 0.714 = 2.856 Given 6 * 0.714 = 4.284 Entry ...

    The Semi-definitive guide to Pascal's Triangles in Forex
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