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- raklian commented 6 hr ago
I'm saying I'm betting Fed will hike at least 50 Bps and still come out extremely hawkish in the statement.
Fed’s Wall Street Clash Sets Stage for Powell’s Hawkish Message
- raklian commented 6 hr ago
No, it didn't. Only some of the Fed Committee members said that. That's not representative of the Fed as a whole.
Fed’s Wall Street Clash Sets Stage for Powell’s Hawkish Message
- raklian commented 7 hr ago
I'm betting the Fed will hike by at least 50 bps, more than what the market is currently predicting.
Fed’s Wall Street Clash Sets Stage for Powell’s Hawkish Message
- raklian commented Jan 26, 2023
Now this news is just going to embolden the Fed to aggressively hike. USD is way oversold.
Gross Domestic Product, Fourth Quarter and Year 2022 (Advance Estimate)
- raklian commented Jan 25, 2023
Russia did this to themselves. To solve this, all they have to do is to withdraw from Ukraine including Crimea.
Russian Embassy: The German decision to approve the delivery of Leopard tanks to Ukraine is...
- raklian commented Jan 20, 2023
The faster it climbs, the sooner it falls.
Bitcoin has climbed more than 10% this week, outperforming stocks
- raklian commented Jan 20, 2023
Given the current macroeconomic environment (interest rates going up making debt more expensive, looming recession, wages still stubbornly rising, etc.), it's a very belated bull trap masquerading as a very deceptive bull run.
Bull Market or Bull Trap?
- raklian commented Jan 20, 2023
Well, James didn't become the CEO of a major bank for no reason. He's quite shrewd. Best not to discount him too quickly.
Jamie Dimon Thinks Bitcoin Supply Won’t Really Be Capped at 21 Million
- raklian commented Jan 19, 2023
Nah, it's market manipulation by the big players. It's a "buy the rumor, sell the news" scheme. When the FOMC statement is released on Feb. 1st, they will DUMP.
Brainard: Staying the Course to Bring Inflation Down
- raklian commented Jan 19, 2023
Which is precisely why the FED is going hard on inflation by hiking when we don't want it to.
Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims
- raklian commented Jan 18, 2023
Works the other way around just as easily, with the market being off point.
Bullard: Suggests a 0.5-Percentage-Point Rate Increase at Next Meeting is Appropriate
- raklian commented Jan 18, 2023
They don't matter as long as wages are generally resilient and the Fed hammering on the fact they're not going to relent until inflation gets back to 2%.
Are Falling US Wholesale Prices Good for Bitcoin?
- raklian commented Jan 18, 2023
The Fed is an independent organization. It does not necessarily concern itself with how much debt the US government has. It only has the dual mandate to worry about.
Fed's Mester: Further rate hikes still needed
- raklian commented Jan 18, 2023
They really don't want a weaker US dollar, don't they?
Fed's Mester: Further rate hikes still neededIt does make sense though. Weaker US dollar translates to higher inflationary pressures.
- raklian commented Jan 13, 2023
Powell still can override him. 50 Bps hike is still in the cards.
Fed’s Bostic Leans Toward Smaller Rate Hike After Inflation Slowdown
- raklian commented Jan 13, 2023
I don't think so. A world recession is on the horizon and approaching fast. Investors prefer US debt during a global downturn. A stronger US dollar is more likely.
Euro Rally May Have More Room to Run as ECB Takes Hawkish Baton From Fed
- raklian commented Jan 13, 2023
No one can predict what the market will do next. Your prediction should be taken with a grain of salt.
UMich Jan US prelim consumer sentiment 64.6 vs 60.5 expected
- raklian commented Jan 13, 2023
This will just convince Powell to keep hiking more aggressively than the market is anticipating. Higher consumer sentiment usually translates to sustained or more spending which will complicate the Fed's attempts to stymie inflation.
UMich Jan US prelim consumer sentiment 64.6 vs 60.5 expected
- raklian commented Jan 12, 2023
Ah, I guess this rally is going to be short-lived, after all.
Fed's Barkin: Inflation is more likely to persist than a simple drop to 2%