Dear FRX Trader, I am slightly confused at the questions you are posing. For a start, nowhere do I consider China a third world country. I classify it as an emerging market, as per the IMF and World Bank classification. Second, i don't know if the ...

By definition no one ever knows with 100% certainty what decision a central bank will take (one could even argue that monetary council members themselves may not be 100% sure what decision they will take until the day of the policy meeting). We can ...

That may well be the case, which is why I tried to summarize years of US and global macro data into more user-friendly tables (see Figure 3 for example). While the past is not always a good guide to the future, it is a helpful place to start.