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- MateuszFx123 replied Jan 8, 2024
Congrats, good trades Scalping is not good for me, I don't have much time unfortunately and I like to go with the general trend on a higher timeframe. I think that DXY confirmed well this important resistance you spotted along with 38% fibo / ...
- MateuszFx123 replied Jan 8, 2024
Why do you think this resistance should work? We are still in a downtrend on US T-bonds and DXY... image image image
- MateuszFx123 replied Nov 3, 2023
Thanks Pedro, so your view agrees with mine. I see a possible bounce down from here (better ISM PMI for USD?) or from the previous upward channel at 38 fibo/1.077. image This double top plus gap looks like a rather bull flag for me... image
- MateuszFx123 replied Nov 3, 2023
With targets 1.0685 and next 1.0666? Do you think that the gap on USDX will be closed in the coming days? And then the EUR will go higher? image
- MateuszFx123 replied Nov 2, 2023
Maybe too early, but I also bought EUR and closed most of my shorts image image image
- MateuszFx123 replied Nov 2, 2023
What next? The range between 1.053 - 1.067? If this is a fundamental change, the dollar could remain weak. image image image image
- MateuszFx123 replied Nov 2, 2023
Indeed image Moreover I believe that this gap should be closed (+ 106 and trendline support) image Bond yields don't look good for the dollar image Pullback could come from 76 fibo also as Js3mwtRc indicated (1.0635) image
- MateuszFx123 replied Nov 1, 2023
Thanks Pedro, so do you believe that because price made strong support @ 1.05300 (in addition to strong support @ 1.05) this could continue to at least range 1.05300 -> 1.06700/1.07? Are 10 yr t-bond yields confirms this? image Are you taking ...
- MateuszFx123 replied Nov 1, 2023
image image image Source: url
- MateuszFx123 replied Nov 1, 2023
So it turns out that my predictions with general direction were right and USDX/DXY was very helpful. I thought that pullback should be 38 fibo, but in fact, USDX also checked 50 and finally 61 fibo levels. Looking at the dollar index we can see that ...
- MateuszFx123 replied Oct 27, 2023
After an hour there is a pressure on upper band of downward trend channel on D1 image Bond yields could break down image
- MateuszFx123 replied Oct 27, 2023
Indeed url , but it could be pump before dump. I think that Israel want to finally destroy everything in Gaza with the help of the USA, but it could be tough war, just like the Russians and Americans had in Afghanistan. PCE core is at consensus ...
- MateuszFx123 replied Oct 27, 2023
So yesterday I correctly set the decision point before the data to 1.053. Will we breakout down from another bear flag? ECB didn't gave arguments for buying EUR, what will happen over the weekend in Gaza Strip? image
- MateuszFx123 replied Oct 27, 2023
Yes, I believe that we stay at the current price level waiting for news about Core PCE Price Index Don't you think that yesterday's Advance GDP Price Index rise could be a clue for the mentioned data? Also previous Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment was ...
- MateuszFx123 replied Oct 26, 2023
It was a strange day, if you look at the US data: - better GDP /US economy grew at the fastest pace in almost two years in the third quarter/ = "soft landing" (without recession)? - better Advance GDP Price Index, same as previous Core Durable Goods ...
- MateuszFx123 replied Oct 25, 2023
I hate selling EUR so low, but I believe that USDX has a clear path to 106.5 and above after this small pullback image
- MateuszFx123 replied Oct 25, 2023
Exactly, something is cooking. Extending right arm before the drop? image Or big boys agreed that 5% on 10 yr bonds will be the top for some time? image
- MateuszFx123 replied Oct 25, 2023
This is the quote which I really need to follow image
- MateuszFx123 replied Oct 25, 2023
We had small pullback after the data, but it doesn't change the bigger picture image Guys, just look at fundamentals: - the risk of a more serious recession in the US economy is low (no contraction in yesterday's PMI), and the FED does not have to ...
- MateuszFx123 replied Oct 25, 2023
After shallow pullback to 1.06 I am pretty sure that we are ready to go down again. Only positive German ifo Business Climate can help EUR image image image