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- Groovy replied Aug 6, 2011
Suisse recession looming — Investors in their herd mentality somehow forget that Switzerland is only one negative quarterly GDP away from being in recession. The Swiss are shopping in Europe en mass, exporters bleed daily and even importers ...
- Groovy replied Feb 24, 2011
Malta — Having lived in Malta for half a year - definitely Malta for all the points on the list. Left a very good aftertaste in the mouth. Lovely and kind people (not many countries can boast of simple kindness of their citizens these days), ...
- Groovy replied Jul 15, 2010
A bat is a bat — Could be, yet i think, if Dow holds the ground and Europe ends the day in a positive territory then Nikkei will respond morrow morning with a +1% and this definitely helps to spread this bat's wings. Have to agree 100%, a bat ...
- Groovy replied Jul 15, 2010
Respect Jumper, my style is very similar to yours, i call it 'catching runaways', rarely succeeding but what a prize to sit and wait for. Both of us basically need to pray Nikkei would go up as there's a near perfect inverse correlation btw Nikkei ...
- Groovy replied Jul 11, 2010
JPY — I feel that at some point in time JPY will implode. The situation in Japan will reach a critical point whereby the only way out of their deflationary cycle is the vast QE, inflation and total devaluation of Yen. The UK and US been having ...
- Groovy replied Oct 12, 2009
Babyleaps, May i suggest a better gauge for a seasoned trader would be to ask about the longest time they've had an OPEN WILDLY SUCCESSFUL trade rather. And a second question would be the same about the losing trade. Kinda like SF (Success Failure) ...
- Groovy replied Jul 16, 2009
take-profit, my absolutely long-term (towards post recession times) view on the usd/jpy pair is bullish. Hence i would only look at dips to buy the pair rather than riding zig-zags. I do think usd is fundamentally undervalued for now, so until ...
- Groovy replied Jul 14, 2009
Ben, pardon my intrusion but could you pls limit your somewhat reckless scalping and give way to more insightful research underlying the pair. If you have clear rules set, you'd be better off creating an expert advisor. I understand this is the ...
- Groovy replied Jul 12, 2009
Xaron, Just saw your MT statement from the link. What grabbed my attention is the line: 352072009.07.06 15:38buy0.20audusd0.79120.00000.80002009.07.07 13:010.80000.000.00-1.76125.58 with the swap being -1.76. I didn't drink my glass of wine for ...
- Groovy replied Jul 11, 2009
[quote=5abi;2867653]... EURO has to be about 34-35 against the dollar.quote] In my long-term fair value search i do sometimes resort to PPP (purchasing power parity) btw countries and yep, i also see eur/usd at similar levels. Weak dollar = world ...
- Groovy replied Jul 11, 2009
And i guess this someone is the very Fed itself. I totally relate to Xaron, da evil German Kraut, that extending your trade duration increases your success rate in geometrical progression. And looking 2 months into the future, guys, i see a limited ...
- Groovy replied Jul 10, 2009
Trout, I'm frankly bullish on this pair. Bears may just be losing steam after weeks long rides. BoJ is in full alert, am dead sure. And i remember March pretty well when Bernanke/Geithner/Obama admin, etc.. were so active in doing just about ...
- Groovy replied Jul 10, 2009
Lbrto, Yep, since the gold standard was abolished by the US and a series of Japanese gov decisions over a course of history, Japan proven to be more conservative in their approach and hence indirectly won the status of the safest currency in the ...
- Groovy replied Jul 10, 2009
Trout, they just agreed not to intervene into markets anymore during the G8, or you reckon it's all blah blah?
- Groovy replied Jul 1, 2009
Duce, am a Canadian living in Europe and i look around here too every day and see how bad things are here, both in Switzerland and EU, nothing compared with just a 0.1% GDP decrease back home. When USD/CAD is trying to reach parity this is ...
- Groovy replied Jun 3, 2009
Great stuff, NFX. I gradually came to MFE-based trading and am viewing your thread with eyes wide open. Speaking of an impending MTE on dollar index, my hunch tells me it'll go further down. The same dip before several months ago was primarily ...
- Groovy replied Mar 4, 2009
China and Japan stimulus packages and a natural retracement for Dow off its 12-year lows.
- Groovy replied Feb 8, 2009
Dswk, Respect for holding it and harvesting it properly! I would also consider buying at 1.86, screw the sell-only attitude when the market and both eur/usd and aud/usd are screaming outloud to buy eur/aud.
- Groovy replied Feb 6, 2009
Dswk, Potentially bottomless. I wouldn't have the guts to jump in to buy eur against the aussie. If i absolutely had to, though, i'd be waiting for the bottom around 1.8450 which is circa 10 cents away from the current price. Brings back recent ...
- Groovy replied Feb 6, 2009
Crisis times strategy — Aesculus, I find contrarian type of trading when you wait for bad news to start running out of steam and jump in against the trend bringing good fruits. I just have two problems i don't seem to ever overcome as i'd need ...