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- 56 Results (48 Replies , 8 Comments )
- bullionman replied Aug 19, 2016
I know my opinion isn't as worthy as other seniors on this forum. But for what it's worth (based on my 5 year experience of trading forex): choose one sub-method (e.g. mid-term 'SELL' outlook), test it, understand it, master it, then, if you're ...
- bullionman replied Aug 18, 2016
Indeed, that is what I was alluding to. I was curious about the correlation, I.e. --> Japanese pension funds BUY buy JGB's and SELLS dollars --> USD/JPY falls --> correlated Nikkei/Topix also falls I'm trying to make the connection between the ...
- bullionman replied Aug 18, 2016
That got me thinking... "so conversely, Japanese pension funds will buy bonds and sell dollars, driving dollars down and driving the YEN up" How would the Nikkei fit into that game of chess? I know that (typically) Nikkei will e.g. rally (more or ...
- bullionman replied Aug 18, 2016
Excellent! Thanks SunTrader.
- bullionman replied Aug 18, 2016
>Japanese public invests ... in Japan. There is not back and forth. ok. >U.S. interest rates drive UJ. yes. >If our rates rise, the price of our bonds drop ok. so conversely, if BoJ rates fall (i.e to ZIRP and then NIRP) OR FED rates rise ..then ...
- bullionman replied Aug 18, 2016
I must have read about 20 articles today trying to understand why the YEN keeps getting stronger despite the possibility of more stimulus. It's almost as if: - the YEN would rise if the BoJ went back to ZIRP - the YEN continues to rise if the BoJ ...
- bullionman replied Aug 18, 2016
I am curious about that choice of entry level. The only two factors I can see are: (a) 1.124x represents the bottom of the range of the previous day? (though that timeframe may be too short to be relevant, or even just coincidence). (b) 1.124x is a ...
- bullionman replied Aug 17, 2016
Thanks! Definitely out for this iteration.
- bullionman replied Aug 17, 2016
I am sitting this one out as I need clarification on the definition of a 'neutral' chart. See my question: url To me neutral means 'no FA bias', but if it means something else then my option (LMT BUY or SELL) could be flawed.
- bullionman replied Aug 17, 2016
b. Outlook NEUTRAL My reasoning: - my mid-term bias is short, but ECB isn't offering any further dovish sentiment for the moment - short term market appears to be somewhat bullish - unclear whether FED tone will be more of the same or more hawkish - ...
- bullionman replied Aug 17, 2016
I was trawling the back posts looking for other answers and came across this post on June 8th by @chester123 showing his flip charts in neutral and sell outlooks. I thought it might help, but if you have already seen it (or it isn't what you meant) ...
- bullionman replied Aug 17, 2016
This is probably an obvious question to most, but lately I've been confused about it. What is the general definition of being 'neutral'? I thought changing an outlook to 'neutral' was based on non-volatile FA news for a base or the quote currency in ...
- bullionman replied Aug 16, 2016
My analysis based on backpost(s): url "Hint, in a range a flip should be whipsawed in and out many times ...THATS THE NATURE of a RANGE ...don't try to chart fitted to hold to the tick because it wont.... "In a range you trade from the outside to ...
- bullionman replied Aug 16, 2016
No doubt you omitted the timeframe and instrument to force the viewer to 'focus' on relevant information . My eye (based on my current method) was immediately drawn to the flip range indicated though I wouldn't buy yet as the last few ...
- bullionman replied Aug 16, 2016
Ahh, that makes more sense. Looking at weekly price action 6 months ago to analyse a short term flip range over a 7 day period is far too macroscopic. I'll try following my same procedure but use a daily chart to identify short/mind term 'flip ...
- bullionman replied Aug 16, 2016
Does anyone think the GBPUSD move to 1.2866 has already priced in the next potential BoE rate cut, barring any talk of additional stimulus?
- bullionman replied Aug 12, 2016
A month ago I spent a weekend reading every single post going back at least 100 pages. It was hard on the eyes to track, and admittedly, I've only absorbed around 50% of the concept. I started from when IMARICH1 began his journey, which is a very ...
- bullionman replied Aug 5, 2016
On the weekly chart I can see the 687x peak (followed by the 71xx ATH). Other than the BoE 'free money bazooka', is there any other driver(s) pushing the FTSE up? I am curious about the dynamics of how this rally might exhaust itself (and, as you ...
- bullionman replied Aug 2, 2016
Thanks. (Your explanation to goosebone was much clearer).
- bullionman replied Aug 2, 2016
I understand the general expression/sentiment, but sometimes it is confusing. E.g. the current 200+ pip GBP rally leading up to this week's BoE rate cut decision. If the rally is indicative of expectation or 'pricing in' then the markets don't ...