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- buaksam replied Mar 30, 2016
It could, but over the past eight years it has not been much of a market mover. At current prices the expected move is about 20 pips (0.18%).
- buaksam replied Mar 4, 2016
The average move for the first candle after NFP in EURUSD is 0.55% of the price or about 60 pips. This could put us to 1.1040ish or 1.0920ish (at current prices). For USDJPY it is about 0.7% or about 80 pips, so 114.4 or 112.8 are both within reach. ...
- buaksam replied Nov 24, 2015
Here is some quantitative data about the upcoming show: in EURUSD (eurusd_vol.pdf) we get a 0.24% 15M candle (or 25ish pips at todays rate) on average. The largest seen is above 1% in 2008 (135ish pips). USDJPY (usdjpy_vol,pdf) is more fun, we get a ...
- buaksam replied Nov 6, 2015
History for the jobs data coming up: The first two are volatilities over the last couple of years. It has always been more volatile in USDJPY (sometimes 1.1% for the 15M candle after the announcement which is a 1.3 move at the current price of 121.9 ...
- buaksam replied Oct 22, 2015
History of ECB press conferences in EG and EU. Looking at EU, it is worth noting that there were volatile periods, when the PC caused big changes (for example 2008-2009 conferences with Trichet), then between 2009 and 2011 conferences were more or ...
- buaksam replied Oct 22, 2015
What will Mario do? The first set of pdfs show the last ten ECB press conferences for EURUSD and EURGBP. vol in the top left corner shows the (high-low) / low of the 2pm candle. For example, 1.1% for the last conference translates to a 120pip candle ...
- buaksam replied Oct 8, 2015
This years BoE Interest Rate Decisions in GBPUSD and EURGBP. vol is the candle high minus candle low divided by the average of 15M closes before the event (multiplied by 100 to get percentage). The announcement takes place at 12:00 noon London time.
- buaksam replied Oct 2, 2015
this years NFPs in pictures in EURUSD and USDJPY: top left corner shows the forecast value, the actual value, the difference. vol is the size of the candle at 8:30 (high-low) divided by the average close of the day before the nfp candle (times 100 ...
- buaksam replied Sep 16, 2015
If anyone is wondering how the last Fed rate hike cycle went here are a couple of pictures. There are three graphs on each page: the 1st shows EURUSD tick data on the day when they raised, the 2nd shows H1 data for the week that followed, and the ...
- buaksam replied Mar 18, 2015
Your 161 (bull) target is also a direct target (L-H pair which points there) on 1H...and its opposite is also a direct target on 1H. I guess you already knew that.
- buaksam replied Jan 8, 2015
FYI: 12 month rolling H-L average for eurusd for the past ten years is attached as a .pdf. Notice, how rare it is to have an under 400 pip HL mean. Good Luck.
- Posts by Member Search: 'buaksam'