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puffin314 May 7, 2020 2:00pm | Post# 321

Thank you very much for your explanation. Was very helpful indeed about the risk on and off.
When I compared charts of USD/JPY and US indices, can see the patterns. So for now it's risk on.

4for4 May 9, 2020 9:39pm | Post# 322

Market is not random but unpredictable
It’s the “not random” part that makes it possible to play this game successfully ...
Unfortunately, the non-randomness happen sporadically that we just have to wait for and anticipate them with a lot of patience and discipline ...
Also beware that not all non-randomness are playable. Only the ones with good statistics are worth playing for ...

4for4 May 13, 2020 12:32pm | Post# 323

Risk-Off in play ...

MQLTrade May 13, 2020 12:37pm | Post# 324

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Risk-Off in play ...
Oh yes....
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MQLTrade May 14, 2020 12:08pm | Post# 325

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Next to sentiment switch?
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4for4 May 14, 2020 12:22pm | Post# 326

Next to sentiment switch? {image}
Monitoring the switch based on weekly charts ...

MQLTrade May 14, 2020 12:26pm | Post# 327

{quote} Monitoring the switch based on weekly charts ...
I will try....

MP89 May 14, 2020 12:38pm | Post# 328

“Market is not random but unpredictable” It’s the “not random” part that makes it possible to play this game successfully ... Unfortunately, the non-randomness happen sporadically that we just have to wait for and anticipate them with a lot of patience and discipline ... Also beware that not all non-randomness are playable. Only the ones with good statistics are worth playing for ...

i think the unpredictability of the market depends only on some global world events. from the latest one it was covid pandemic and before that it was brexit (and even that brexit had practically no effect on the market although i expected a wild drop the pound). otherwise you can always wait for profit even if you received wrong signal.

4for4 May 14, 2020 6:42pm | Post# 329

{quote} I will try....
When a switch happened, it will become my directional reference for the next 1-3 weeks ...

4for4 May 14, 2020 6:57pm | Post# 330

{quote} i think the unpredictability of the market depends only on some global world events. from the latest one it was covid pandemic and before that it was brexit (and even that brexit had practically no effect on the market although i expected a wild drop the pound). otherwise you can always wait for profit even if you received wrong signal.
The “unpredictability“ refers to the timing of the non-randomness of the market which happen sporadically and the market can do anything in the meantime for whatever reasons ...
And yes, every day there will be one or more “hot” issues that can serve as market catalysts ...

MQLTrade May 16, 2020 9:41am | Post# 331

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{quote} When a switch happened, it will become my directional reference for the next 1-3 weeks ...
This is made on Weekly
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4for4 May 16, 2020 9:31pm | Post# 332

By observing the transition between the risk-on side and the risk-off side in details, our trading edge comes from knowing that when a switch happened, most lagging instruments will try to cross side ...

MP89 May 21, 2020 9:52am | Post# 333

{quote} The “unpredictability“ refers to the timing of the non-randomness of the market which happen sporadically and the market can do anything in the meantime for whatever reasons ... And yes, every day there will be one or more “hot” issues that can serve as market catalysts ...
honestly, over the past week i have not observed “hot” issues in the market. although i agree they happen.

4for4 May 21, 2020 10:37am | Post# 334

{quote} honestly, over the past week i have not observed “hot” issues in the market. although i agree they happen.
US-China trade tension and the possibility of C19 vaccines are among the latest “hot” issues that can serve as market catalysts ...
Later, the effects of current stimulus by the central banks and governments will become “hot” issues ...

Craven64 May 21, 2020 10:42am | Post# 335

Subscribed to thread. Was hoping there was something like this on here as I trade much the same these days

4for4 May 21, 2020 8:15pm | Post# 336

The notion that we could die instantly within a few weeks, if exposed to C19, will have a big impact in creating a new normal economically, socially and politically ...

TieuHo May 21, 2020 9:15pm | Post# 337

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Today USD Up ony.
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4for4 May 21, 2020 10:39pm | Post# 338

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Today USD Up ony. {image}
Currently, 100.56 is the level to watch in USDX ...
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4for4 May 27, 2020 8:07pm | Post# 339

Don’t chase a running trend, but anticipate its reversal ...

4for4 May 28, 2020 10:35am | Post# 340

Trading is easy with a set of rules. The hard part is doing nothing in the meantime ...


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