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-   -   The Swamp (https://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=582459)

WhipKream Jan 21, 2020 8:43pm | Post# 50161

Got in at 1.1115, still holding until below 1.107 at least. Will see if we have that tomorrow. GJ looks like it's finally ready to make a big break down. I will be happy with 139 by end of January.

euroboy2208 Jan 21, 2020 10:27pm | Post# 50162

{quote} Two big UJ supports ahead 109.68 and 109.5... stop hunt 109.75
Usdjpy has recovered back to 110.09 seems like it wants 110.42 - 111..

PayTheLimit Jan 21, 2020 10:46pm | Post# 50163

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EU looking bearish, even more so with yesterdays close....I like a move toward 1.1025..
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Boulder Jan 21, 2020 11:06pm | Post# 50164

{quote} Usdjpy has recovered back to 110.09 seems like it wants 110.42 - 111..
You may be right.. I trade what my system shows,, currently 1H downtrend stop 110.08 and 4H downtrend stop 110.29... if bears can't hold those stops, especially 4H downtrend stop, I will have to pause UJ shorts.. I just refilled a few UJ short positions from 109.93 to 110.04 since I have cashed out those positions early this afternoon

euroboy2208 Jan 21, 2020 11:57pm | Post# 50165

{quote} You may be right.. I trade what my system shows,, currently 1H downtrend stop 110.08 and 4H downtrend stop 110.29... if bears can't hold those stops, especially 4H downtrend stop, I will have to pause UJ shorts.. I just refilled a few UJ short positions from 109.93 to 110.04 since I have cashed out those positions early this afternoon
Now it's falling..it's so tough to understand jpy pairs..Never had a good success ratio with them..good luck..

Boulder Jan 22, 2020 4:01am | Post# 50166

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{quote} You may be right.. I trade what my system shows,, currently 1H downtrend stop 110.08 and 4H downtrend stop 110.29... if bears can't hold those stops, especially 4H downtrend stop, I will have to pause UJ shorts.. I just refilled a few UJ short positions from 109.93 to 110.04 since I have cashed out those positions early this afternoon
closed UJ short here 109.95, +10
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Boulder Jan 22, 2020 4:03am | Post# 50167

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From Newsqawk.. EurUsd 1.1078 atm
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PayTheLimit Jan 22, 2020 4:07am | Post# 50168

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maybe $/swiss proving some support via EURCHF.....near some R outright anyway...
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M3csl Jan 22, 2020 4:11am | Post# 50169

Watching Swiss close, looking for a break of 97250 and continuation to 97500... If not, back to 969'

gatorinla Jan 22, 2020 4:15am | Post# 50170

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]stuck in the middle 1069/1122[/color] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ln7Vn_WKkWU {image}
still the same.
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gatorinla Jan 22, 2020 4:25am | Post# 50171

{quote} still the same. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HjDpKeiYxOU {image}
tomorrow is a good day for weekly low. HS pointed to 103x.. 1069 is still in the way.. New numbers Feb 1..

Boulder Jan 22, 2020 4:26am | Post# 50172

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maybe $/swiss proving some support via EURCHF.....near some R outright anyway... {image}
Caught some chf pairs trades, Usdchf +15 and Audchf +10... wait to start long series of Uchf once it can retrace some...
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gatorinla Jan 22, 2020 4:30am | Post# 50173

My new month chart has 1213 as a month R. It is normally a pretty good R area. It should be hard to stray far from it this month. The high area for Jan may be set in the current 122x/30 area. 1122/23 is the next lower month level I use, followed by 1069, 0962, 0909, 0821. As bullish as pa seems that 1122/1213 ish range may be in the future. Fed is still in the game helping usd bears.
if pa can break and hold below 1069. 1069 may become R for the rest of Jan. below it, 0962 is the next rung on the ladder. When the month flips, these will no longer be good.

M3csl Jan 22, 2020 4:33am | Post# 50174

Shorting USDCHF here.. USD sinking, EU flying.... Normally indicates a direction for USDCHF.. Lets see, core postions are long for a move to .99 longer term

Mitiblotch Jan 22, 2020 4:36am | Post# 50175

{quote} if pa can break and hold below 1069. 1069 may become R for the rest of Jan. below it, 0962 is the next rung on the ladder. When the month flips, these will no longer be good.
January is almost done. I wonder what is at 1069 (1065) that makes it this tough. I still doubt this rise on EU. I believe we should see at least 1062.

Boulder Jan 22, 2020 4:45am | Post# 50176

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Borrow a banker's chart. EU needs to break the trend line at day close
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gatorinla Jan 22, 2020 4:49am | Post# 50177

{quote} January is almost done. I wonder what is at 1069 (1065) that makes it this tough. I still doubt this rise on EU. I believe we should see at least 1062.
My friends say tomorrow is the low. 1069 ish atm is supportive. Close below, and it may be R. Making 09x supportive. HS indicted 103x was going to happen.
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gatorinla Jan 22, 2020 4:59am | Post# 50178

little possible set up 1095/96-till yest high short. usually best to let it take -1074 first.. then wait for 1095 fade up.

Mitiblotch Jan 22, 2020 5:07am | Post# 50179

{quote} My friends say tomorrow is the low. 1069 ish atm is supportive. Close below, and it may be R. Making 09x supportive. HS indicted 103x was going to happen. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X5z-jjWyAJQ
Any reason for tomorrow in particular, if I may ask? You said this some days ago.

Boulder Jan 22, 2020 5:11am | Post# 50180

{quote} Any reason for tomorrow in particular, if I may ask? You said this some days ago.
Tomorrow is ECB


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