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Sal.Vi Jul 25, 2019 9:52am | Post# 421

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USA at record of growth.


By..0000-0001-5086-7401 & goo.gl/MxYGqW


SEE also Financial QE studies


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Sal.Vi Jul 26, 2019 8:35am | Post# 422

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State of Charts of BIO ON after the scandal and according to Graphical Contest rules.


By..0000-0001-5086-7401 & goo.gl/MxYGqW


M/10 topic


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Sal.Vi Jul 28, 2019 10:06am | Post# 423

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Chart Structure Of Governative Bond Yields Averaged Curve, And Implications About Equity Asset.


By..0000-0001-5086-7401 & goo.gl/MxYGqW



ENG.:
--A recent slide by BoA & Merril Lynch 10-y gov.bond averaged yields of some advanced countries), has been used for graphical considerations about the stock market and QE.
--The chart structure show a relation between the systemic QE financial ecosystem and the new secular (double) lows of averaged curve in this decade.
--The chart structure show a possible continuation bearish behavior of averaged curve, with a final target at negative 0.50-0.48%, with possible important bullish effects on equity assets.

☒ AIM
Recently a very interesting slide by BoA & Merril Lynch (and published also by Bloomberg) appeared on social stream. The slide shows the cumulative graph of 10-year government bond averaged yields of some leading advanced countries: UK, USA, France, Australia, Switzerland, Japan.
The curve shows a pyramidal evolution that will be illustrated below.
Currently it is on a double local low and on a more than century minimum!!
Let's analyze the structure and the graphic implications with the methods of the Graphical Contest, after some little modification of chart.

☒ Evolution of the cumulative averaged curve.
The first section of the curve is an about perfect pyramid, with a last century opening at 3.3-3.4%, a subsequent surge at 6% (around 1920), and a return to the base of the pyramid, or just below (2.8-2.9%: second half years "40).
A new bullish phase starts after the minimum is reached.
This time decidedly more violent and lasting, ending with a maximum of 13% (around 1982).
From the top point, the curve starts again a bearish slope, with numerous local interruptions, but remaining always in descending trend.
He comes back to the base (about 3%) closing a complete pyramid for the second time.
In this case, however, unlike the fifty years of the previous century, the pyramid base is consistently broken and never recovered until now.
In fact the current prices are far from the threshold of the lows of the last century at 2.5-3.0%, stopping at 0.5% of cumulative curve.
This value, moreover, has been reached twice in this decade (the last 5 years) forming a very interesting double local low right on the minimum level at 120 years of the cumulative curve.
What graphical considerations can be made ??

☒ Graphic considerations.
The first consideration is the inclusion of the systemic QE ecosystem on the 120-year chart.
It can be seen immediately that the yields collapse process has been underway for several decades.
The QE therefore did not cause this large collapse, but was simply inserted into this multi-decade trend.
But QE caused a relevant graphic event: the decisive "drilling" of the absolute secular minimums, with a bearish projection still evolving.
The huge area (in gray) pyramid from around 1950 to 2010 functions as an immense Graphical Contest, activated downward by systemic QE.
The target can be calculated only in% and is equal to just over 80% of loss from the lows of the last century: target estimated at -0.48% !!!
A second structure, much smaller both in price and in time, is the double local minimum (on the absolute low of the chart: area in fuxia) which is being structured from 2014 until now.
This double minimum is evolving, and according to the Graphical Contest rules, the target (bullish / bearish) is obtained by translation of the area in terms of breaking the extremes.
The bullish projection will not change the main trend in action from 1982-1983, as the target is below the lows of the last century, and therefore, under the point of intervention of systemic QE.
The bearish projection almost perfectly coincides with the gray Graphical Contest target.

☒ What are the implications for the current phase on stock market?
A bearish continuation of the cumulative averaged yield curve would activate the two Graphical Contests, with projections of about 1% below the current minimum: from + 0.50% to about -0.50%.
In terms of overall price movement magnitude, it is concluded that in the event of a downward activation, there would still be 2X of movement to be made!!
This magnitude would represent an impressive bullish fuel for the stock market, perhaps epic-epoch-making!
On the other hand, a stop of the downside and then a bullish activation of the double minimum, would result in an important liquidity-loss even from the stock market and therefore a downward correction, even of a certain magnitude, on global equity benchmarks.



ITA.:
☒ OBIETTIVI
Recentemente apparsa una slide molto interessante redatta da BoA & Merril Lynch e ripresa da Bloomberg. La slide mostra il grafico cumulativo degli yields dei bond governativi 10 anni dei principali paesi avanzati: UK, USA, Francia, Australia, Svizzera, Giappone. La curva mostra una evoluzione piramidale che verr di seguito illustrata. Attualmente si trova su un doppio minimo locale e sui minimi pi che secolari!! Analizziamone la struttura e le implicazioni grafiche con le metodiche del Graphical Contest.

☒ Evoluzione della curva cumulativa.
Il primo tratto della curva una perfetta piramide o quasi, con apertura di secolo scorso a quota 3.3-3.4%, successiva impennata a quota 6% (1920 circa) e ritorno alla base della piramide o poco sotto (2.8-2.9%: seconda met anni "40).
Dopo il conseguimento del minimo parte una nuova fase rialzista.
Questa volta decisamente pi violenta e duratura, che termina con un massimo a quota 13% (1982 circa).
Dal punto di massimo poi intraprende nuovamente una vistosa pendenza ribassista, con numerose interruzioni locali ma rimanendo sempre in trend discendente.
Giunge nuovamente alla base (3% circa) chiudendo per la seconda volta una piramide completa.
In questo caso per, a differenza del cinquantennio di inizio secolo, la base viene consistentemente superata al ribasso e mai pi ripresa.
Infatti le attuali quotazioni sono ben lontane dalla soglia dei minimi del secolo scorso a quota 2.5-3.0%, sostando addirittura a 0.5% cumulativo.
Tale valore del resto stato raggiunto due volte in questo decennio (ultimi 5 anni) formando un interessantissimo doppio minimo locale proprio sul minimo a 120 anni della curva cumulativa.
Quali considerazioni grafiche possibile effettuare??

☒ Considerazioni grafiche.
La prima considerazione da fare l'inserimento dell'ecosistema dei QE sistemici sul grafico a 120 anni.
Si vede subito che il processo di collasso degli yields era in atto da alcuni decenni.
Il QE quindi non ha causato questo collasso ma si semplicemente inserito in questo trend multi decennale.
Ma il QE ha causato un evento grafico rilevante: la perforazione decisa dei minimi assoluti secolari, con proiezione ribassista tuttora in evoluzione.
L'immensa area (in grigio) piramidale dal 1950 al 2010 circa funziona come un immenso Graphical Contest, attivato al ribasso proprio dal QE.
Il target pu essere calcolato solo in % ed pari a poco oltre 80% di perdita dai minimi del secolo scorso: target stimabile a quota -0.48%!!!
Una seconda struttura, molto pi minuta sia in prezzo sia in tempo, il doppio minimo locale (sui minimi assoluti del grafico: area in fuxia) che si sta strutturando dal 2014 in poi.
Questo doppio minimo in evoluzione ed in accordo con le regole del Graphical Contest si ottiene per traslazione dell'area, un target rialzista ed uno ribassista in coso di rottura degli estremi.
La proiezione rialzista non muter il trend principale in atto dal 1982-1983, in quanto il target si colloca sotto i minimi del secolo scorso e quindi sotto il punto di intervento dei QE sistemici.
La proiezione ribassista coincide quasi perfettamente col target del Graphical Contest grigio.

☒ Quali risvolti per l'attuale fase azionaria??
Una prosecuzione ribassista dell'indice cumulativo proposto attiverebbe i due Graphical Contests con proiezioni di circa 1% sotto i minimi attuali: da +0.50% a -0.50% circa.
In termini di magnitudo complessiva di movimento prezzi, si conclude che in caso di attivazione al ribasso, ci sarebbero ancora 2X di movimento da compiere!!
Questa magnitudo rappresenterebbe un imponente combustibile rialzista per l'azionario, forse epico-epocale!!
Dall'altro lato uno stop del ribasso e poi una attivazione rialzista del doppio minimo, si tradurrebbe in una importante sottrazione di liquidit anche dall'azionario e quindi di una correzione ribassista anche di una certa entit.



SEE also Financial QE studies


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Sal.Vi Jul 29, 2019 4:54am | Post# 424

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Mediterranean Refugee State of DATA according to UNHCR.


By..0000-0001-5086-7401 & goo.gl/MxYGqW


Previous data

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Sal.Vi Aug 8, 2019 4:49am | Post# 425

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Major Cannabis or Marijuana ETF vs. SP500: no SkyRocket??


By..0000-0001-5086-7401 & lnkd.in/erZ48tm


SEE also Financial QE studies

ETF list -- https://www.finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=...&ty=c&ta=0&p=w


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Sal.Vi Aug 8, 2019 7:16am | Post# 426

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Evolution of crypto-asset state of the charts, after LYBRA event, according to Graphical Contest rules {M/10}.

By..0000-0001-5086-7401 & lnkd.in/erZ48tm




See also previous posts & charts {Aug.2018 - Aug.2018 - Apr.2019 - May.2019 -Jun.2019 - Jun.2019 - Jun.2019 - Jun.2019 - Jul.2019 - Jul.2019 - Jul.2019}.




☒ Chart sources.
TradingView.


☒ REFERENCES.
Perch nacque il BitCoin? Le possibili cause socio-finanziarie. Why BitCoin was born? Searching for possible socio-financial causes. - https://www.researchgate.net/publication/320490915

Is BitCoin a coin??? Il BitCoin una moneta??? - https://www.researchgate.net/publication/321622236
Long-term charts on BitCoin (BitStamp), with some theoretically interesting price-areas. -https://www.researchgate.net/publication/320490556

First steps of BitCoin prices, from BitCoinMarket, MtGox, and exchanges aggregated values. -https://www.researchgate.net/publication/319965271

Follow the cryptomarket ecosystem the same graphical pattern of the previous hysterical events of regular financial curves (markets - assets)? - https://www.researchgate.net/publication/319866229

BitCoin: note su grafici di lungo termine e criptomoneta come nuova ideologia. -https://www.academia.edu/35085968/
Notes and charts about the possible re-start of BitCoin bull trend. - https://www.academia.edu/35407789/

Bitcoin: un breve punto della situazione grafica. - https://www.proiezionidiborsa.it/bitcoin-un-breve-punto-della-situazione-grafica/
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Sal.Vi Aug 9, 2019 5:23am | Post# 427

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Return on Gobal Assets

By..0000-0001-5086-7401 & lnkd.in/erZ48tm


SEE also Financial QE studies




Source: The Rate of Return on Everything, 1870–2015 -- BY: Oscar Jord, Katharina Knoll, Dmitry Kuvshinov, Moritz Schularick, Alan M. Taylor z
☒-{ Contact }-►►♡█║▌│││█║℠ ™║▌║▌▌║█♡◀ #KSaddhaPhPKamp
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Sal.Vi Aug 13, 2019 9:12am | Post# 428

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Graphical Analysis applied to AAII indicator (American Association of Individual Investors).

By..0000-0001-5086-7401 & lnkd.in/erZ48tm


Aim of the post.
In this post there is an attempt of graphical analysis on the curves of
America Association of Individual Investors.
These curves (StockCharts source) are Ratio and Spread of Bear vs. Bull components of survey (previous post: n.
3370; n.76; N.245), and for comparative only, also in Bull vs. Bear.


SEE also Financial QE studies


Source: The Rate of Return on Everything, 18702015 -- BY: Oscar Jord, Katharina Knoll, Dmitry Kuvshinov, Moritz Schularick, Alan M. Taylor z
☒-{ Contact }-►►♡█║▌│││█║℠ ║▌║▌▌║█♡◀ #KSaddhaPhPKamp
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Sal.Vi Aug 19, 2019 7:29am | Post# 429

1 Attachment(s)

Evolution of crypto-asset state of the charts, after LIBRA event, according to Graphical Contest rules {M/10}.

By..0000-0001-5086-7401 & lnkd.in/erZ48tm




See also previous posts & charts {Aug.2018 - Aug.2018 - Apr.2019 - May.2019 -Jun.2019 - Jun.2019 - Jun.2019 - Jun.2019 - Jul.2019 - Jul.2019 - Jul.2019 - Aug.2019}.


☒ REFERENCES.
Perch nacque il BitCoin? Le possibili cause socio-finanziarie. Why BitCoin was born? Searching for possible socio-financial causes. - https://www.researchgate.net/publication/320490915

Is BitCoin a coin??? Il BitCoin una moneta??? - https://www.researchgate.net/publication/321622236
Long-term charts on BitCoin (BitStamp), with some theoretically interesting price-areas. -https://www.researchgate.net/publication/320490556

First steps of BitCoin prices, from BitCoinMarket, MtGox, and exchanges aggregated values. -https://www.researchgate.net/publication/319965271

Follow the cryptomarket ecosystem the same graphical pattern of the previous hysterical events of regular financial curves (markets - assets)? - https://www.researchgate.net/publication/319866229

BitCoin: note su grafici di lungo termine e criptomoneta come nuova ideologia. -https://www.academia.edu/35085968/
Notes and charts about the possible re-start of BitCoin bull trend. - https://www.academia.edu/35407789/

Bitcoin: un breve punto della situazione grafica. - https://www.proiezionidiborsa.it/bitcoin-un-breve-punto-della-situazione-grafica/

☒-{ Contact }-►►♡█║▌│││█║℠ ™║▌║▌▌║█♡◀ #KSaddhaPhPKamp
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Sal.Vi Aug 21, 2019 8:08am | Post# 430

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SPREAD between Governative Bond Yields 10y vs. 02y of Germany, France, Spain, Italy and main 4 of EuroArea, according to Graphical Contest rules {M/10}.

By..0000-0001-5086-7401 & lnkd.in/erZ48tm


SEE also other Financial QE studies




Source: The Rate of Return on Everything, 18702015 -- BY: Oscar Jord, Katharina Knoll, Dmitry Kuvshinov, Moritz Schularick, Alan M. Taylor z
☒-{ Contact }-►►♡█║▌│││█║℠ ║▌║▌▌║█♡◀ #KSaddhaPhPKamp
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Sal.Vi Aug 21, 2019 9:05am | Post# 431

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Renminbi-Yuan vs. US Dollar & Euro, according to Graphical Contest rules {M/10}.

By..0000-0001-5086-7401 & lnkd.in/erZ48tm


SEE also other Financial QE studies




Source: The Rate of Return on Everything, 18702015 -- BY: Oscar Jord, Katharina Knoll, Dmitry Kuvshinov, Moritz Schularick, Alan M. Taylor z
☒-{ Contact }-►►♡█║▌│││█║℠ ║▌║▌▌║█♡◀ #KSaddhaPhPKamp
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Sal.Vi Aug 21, 2019 11:46am | Post# 432

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Cumulative SPREAD curve on 10y and 30 y Governative Bond Yields "(Italy) vs. (Germany+France+Spain)", according to Graphical Contest rules {M/10}.

By..0000-0001-5086-7401 & lnkd.in/erZ48tm


SEE also other Financial QE studies




Source: The Rate of Return on Everything, 18702015 -- BY: Oscar Jord, Katharina Knoll, Dmitry Kuvshinov, Moritz Schularick, Alan M. Taylor z
☒-{ Contact }-►►♡█║▌│││█║℠ ║▌║▌▌║█♡◀ #KSaddhaPhPKamp
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Sal.Vi Aug 25, 2019 3:35pm | Post# 433

1 Attachment(s)

Evolution of crypto-asset state of the capitalization, after LIBRA event (big-cap., exc.: BTC).

By..0000-0001-5086-7401 & lnkd.in/erZ48tm




See also previous posts & charts {Aug.2018 - Aug.2018 - Apr.2019 - May.2019 -Jun.2019 - Jun.2019 - Jun.2019 - Jun.2019 - Jul.2019 - Jul.2019 - Jul.2019 -Aug.2019 - Aug.2019}.


☒ REFERENCES.
Perch nacque il BitCoin? Le possibili cause socio-finanziarie. Why BitCoin was born? Searching for possible socio-financial causes. - https://www.researchgate.net/publication/320490915

Is BitCoin a coin??? Il BitCoin una moneta??? - https://www.researchgate.net/publication/321622236
Long-term charts on BitCoin (BitStamp), with some theoretically interesting price-areas. -https://www.researchgate.net/publication/320490556

First steps of BitCoin prices, from BitCoinMarket, MtGox, and exchanges aggregated values. -https://www.researchgate.net/publication/319965271

Follow the cryptomarket ecosystem the same graphical pattern of the previous hysterical events of regular financial curves (markets - assets)? - https://www.researchgate.net/publication/319866229

BitCoin: note su grafici di lungo termine e criptomoneta come nuova ideologia. -https://www.academia.edu/35085968/
Notes and charts about the possible re-start of BitCoin bull trend. - https://www.academia.edu/35407789/

Bitcoin: un breve punto della situazione grafica. - https://www.proiezionidiborsa.it/bitcoin-un-breve-punto-della-situazione-grafica/

☒-{ Contact }-►►♡█║▌│││█║℠ ║▌║▌▌║█♡◀ #KSaddhaPhPKamp
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Sal.Vi Aug 28, 2019 7:26am | Post# 434

1 Attachment(s)

Annual GDP (%)-curve of Italy, Germany, France, and government stability.

By..0000-0001-5086-7401 & lnkd.in/erZ48tm



SEE also previous CHARTS.



SEE also other Financial QE studies

Source: The Rate of Return on Everything, 18702015 -- BY: Oscar Jord, Katharina Knoll, Dmitry Kuvshinov, Moritz Schularick, Alan M. Taylor z
☒-{ Contact }-►►♡█║▌│││█║℠ ║▌║▌▌║█♡◀ #KSaddhaPhPKamp
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Sal.Vi Aug 29, 2019 5:22am | Post# 435

1 Attachment(s)

Rhodium & Iridium again in the PGM-Sky?? Precious Platinum (Rare) Metal Group State of the Charts, according to Graphical Contest rules {M/10}.

By..0000-0001-5086-7401 & lnkd.in/erZ48tm



SEE also other Financial QE studies

Source: The Rate of Return on Everything, 18702015 -- BY: Oscar Jord, Katharina Knoll, Dmitry Kuvshinov, Moritz Schularick, Alan M. Taylor z
☒-{ Contact }-►►♡█║▌│││█║℠ ║▌║▌▌║█♡◀ #KSaddhaPhPKamp
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Sal.Vi Sep 9, 2019 8:58am | Post# 436

2 Attachment(s)

Evolution of crypto-asset state of the capitalization, after LIBRA event (big-cap., exc.: BTC).

By..0000-0001-5086-7401 & lnkd.in/erZ48tm




See also previous posts & charts {Aug.2018 - Aug.2018 - Apr.2019 - May.2019 -Jun.2019 - Jun.2019 - Jun.2019 - Jun.2019 - Jul.2019 - Jul.2019 - Jul.2019 -Aug.2019 - Aug.2019 - Aug.2019}.


☒ REFERENCES.
Perch nacque il BitCoin? Le possibili cause socio-finanziarie. Why BitCoin was born? Searching for possible socio-financial causes. - https://www.researchgate.net/publication/320490915

Is BitCoin a coin??? Il BitCoin una moneta??? - https://www.researchgate.net/publication/321622236
Long-term charts on BitCoin (BitStamp), with some theoretically interesting price-areas. -https://www.researchgate.net/publication/320490556

First steps of BitCoin prices, from BitCoinMarket, MtGox, and exchanges aggregated values. -https://www.researchgate.net/publication/319965271

Follow the cryptomarket ecosystem the same graphical pattern of the previous hysterical events of regular financial curves (markets - assets)? - https://www.researchgate.net/publication/319866229

BitCoin: note su grafici di lungo termine e criptomoneta come nuova ideologia. -https://www.academia.edu/35085968/
Notes and charts about the possible re-start of BitCoin bull trend. - https://www.academia.edu/35407789/

Bitcoin: un breve punto della situazione grafica. - https://www.proiezionidiborsa.it/bitcoin-un-breve-punto-della-situazione-grafica/

☒-{ Contact }-►►♡█║▌│││█║℠ ║▌║▌▌║█♡◀ #KSaddhaPhPKamp
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Sal.Vi Sep 15, 2019 5:11am | Post# 437

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Emerging Economies free of Systemic Risk??? Worlds Financial Weak Spots.

By..0000-0001-5086-7401 & lnkd.in/erZ48tm




Where will the next financial crisis come from? The short answer is: We dont know. We can, however, look for vulnerabilities in the system that, if left untreated, can develop into problems. What do we mean by a vulnerability? It is an area of weakness that can amplify and spread an unexpected economic shock, increasing the level of risk to the financial system. Imagine the impact of an earthquake on a house built on sand, as opposed to bedrock. In the financial world, cracks in the bedrock can arise from high levels of debt and mismatches of institutions risk factors such as currencies or the maturities of their exposures. Government debt in the euro area remains one of the most serious vulnerabilities. One such weak spot is the debt level in US corporations and the risks investors in their securities take. Lending to heavily indebted companies with weak credit ratings is on the rise and may be a widening crack in the system. This and other vulnerabilities are reflected in the Chart of the Week on a five-point scale ranging from lowest (dark green) to highest (red) for six sectors and five country groups. The chart shows the distribution of vulnerabilities across six sectors in five regions. It was constructed using dozens of indicators going back up to two decades. You can read all the details in the Online Annex to the April 2019 Global Financial Stability Report.
The chart shows that vulnerabilities are elevated in several sectors by historical standards. Government debt in the euro area remains one of the most serious vulnerabilities dogging the global financial system and is also elevated in the United States and many emerging market countries. In advanced economies outside the euro area, household borrowing is high. In China, vulnerabilities are high in several sectors, including nonbank financial institutions.
Knowing where vulnerabilities are high or rising can help policy makers take steps to protect their financial systems, as well as the global financial system. Steps may include having banks raise more capital, reducing levels of public debt, or imposing curbs on borrowing by households or corporations. But data gaps remain an important obstacle to a comprehensive vulnerability analysis and should be filled....... https://blogs.imf.org/2019/06/20/mapping-the-worlds-financial-weak-spots/
.
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Sal.Vi Sep 15, 2019 8:09am | Post# 438

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WTI Crude OIL Future: State of (long-term) Charts, with Graphical Contest & M/10 rules.

By..0000-0001-5086-7401 & lnkd.in/erZ48tm



☒☒ ABSTRACT
ENG. In this technical report there is a personal view on graphical evolution of WTI or Crude Oil Future, based on GraphicalContest & M/10 rules and also to some analogy with the historical phase 1990-2000. Main results are as follows.
-Price steps of up-action Scenario:
Prices well above top of current September.
Prices well above MID-level (82.20 US$), from secondary low Nov.2001 to final historical top Jul.2008 (147.27 US$).
Prices well above historical top (147.27 US$).
Final target 384 US$ (Apr.2026?).
-Price steps against up-action Scenario.
Prices below current secondary low of 50.52 US$.
Prices below the base of ascending blue channel.
Prices below the low area 2008-2009 with possible loss of 75.8%.
Energy stock sector shows an important level of bottom building in mid-long term frame (15-25 years).
The magnitude of possible bottom zone is very similar to 1998-2000.
ITA. In questo studio tecnico c' una visione personale sull'evoluzione grafica di WTI o Crude Oil Future, basata sulle regole del GraphicalContest & M/10 e anche su alcune analogie con la fase storica 1990-2000. I risultati principali sono i seguenti.
-Step di prezzi per lo scenario rialzista:
Prezzi ben al di sopra del massimo dell'attuale settembre.
Prezzi ben al di sopra del livello medio (82.20 US$), dal minimo secondario di Nov.2001 al massimo storico finale di luglio 2008 (147.27 US$).
Prezzi ben al di sopra del massimo storico (147.27 US$).
Obiettivo finale 384 US$ (Aprile 2026?).
- Step di prezzi per lo scenario ribassista.
Prezzi inferiori al minimo secondario corrente di 50.52 US$.
Prezzi sotto la base del canale blu crescente.
Prezzi al di sotto dell'area di minimi 2008-2009, presenta una possibile perdita del 75.8%.
Il settore azionario energetico mostra un processo importante di costruzione di minimi di medio-lungo termine (15-25 anni).
L'entit della possibile zona di minimi molto simile a quella del 1998-2000.

☒☒ AIM
In this technical report there is a personal view on graphical evolution of WTI or Crude Oil Future, based on GraphicalContest & M/10 rules and also to some analogy with the historical phase 1990-2000.
Data were obtained from:
-- breadth indicators (StockCharts source) – data in simple ema-format;
-- price curve (sources: TradingView CL1!. FRED) – monthly, semi-log, candles or close.



☒☒ Breadth Indicators.

Bullish % shows the phase 2015-2017 at bottom ever values of the chart.
Year 2019 realize the second low ever!!
Bullish % ratio "energy sector vs. SP500", shows bottom ever values of chart (2015-2017).
Year 2019 a little above the chart low area 2015-2017!!

Spread or difference "Advance vs. Decline", both in price and volume, shows key bottoms in Dec.2018, and also bottom ever values of the chart during the phase 2014-2016!!
Spread "New High vs. New Low", shows historical low in Dec.2018, and also a sequence of key bottoms during the phase 2014-2016!!
The relative ratio of this spread (New High vs. New Low) between "energy sector vs. SP500" shows two impressive lows 2015-2017, and current values are at secondary lows level area.

Energy Stocks above 200 exp.mov.aver., shows minimal values in 2019 but above its previous key bottom phases.
Energy Stocks above 20 exp.mov.aver., shows historical low values in 2019.

Ratio between Bullish% vs. CBOE Volatility Index on USO ETF, shows minimal values in 2019, according to previous decade key lows.
Ratio between the Spread "New High vs. New Low" vs. "CBOE Volatility Index on USO ETF", shows a large bottom area (2014-2019) on the lows of 10y chart!!

XLE vs. SPY ratio shows a complete pyramid graphical structure 1999-2019.

These data about the energy stock sector shows an important level of bottom building in mid-long term frame (15-25 years).
The magnitude of possible bottom zone is very similar to 1998-2000.



☒☒ WTI long term chart (key graphical elements).
Monthly bar count from spike top Oct.1990 to key low Dec.1998 = 98.
Monthly bar count from spike top Oct.1990 to key top Sep.2000 = 119.
Monthly bar count from spike top Oct.1990 to key secondary low Nov.2001 = 133.
Monthly bar count from key secondary low Nov.2001 to final historical top Jul.2008 = 80.
Price magnitude increase from key secondary low Nov.2001 (17.12 US$) to final historical top Jul.2008 (147.27 US$) = 7.6X (or 760%).
Price zone from low Apr.1986 (9.75 US$) to spike top Oct.1990 (41.15 US$) = 4.2X (or 422%) = 172.8 US$ (realized: 147.3 US$).



☒☒ Targets according to bars and price counts, applied to the historical top Jul.2008.
historical top Jul.2008 + 98 monthly bars = Sep.2016.
historical top Jul.2008 + 119 monthly bars = Jun.2018.
historical top Jul.2008 + 133 monthly bars = Aug.2019.
80 monthly bar count from Aug.2019 = Apr.2026 (see also the time of diamond close of BRENT WTI Sum-Index).
7.6X or 760%, from the 133 monthly bar low (50.52 US$) = 384 US$.



☒☒ Price steps of up-action Scenario.
Prices well above M/10 (about current September top).
Prices well above MID-level (82.20 US$), from secondary low Nov.2001 to final historical top Jul.2008 (147.27 US$).
Prices well above historical top (147.27 US$).



☒☒ Price steps against up-action Scenario.
Prices below current secondary low of 50.52 US$.
Prices below the base of ascending blue channel.
Prices below the low area 2008-2009 shows a possible loss of 75.8%. This % is obtained with the GraphicalContest applied to 2008 very large inside bar yearly of the sum future BRENT+WTI.



REFERENCES
Salvatore Vicidomini, 2013 - Financial Markets Observatory Lab. Notes and charts about L.S. Crude Oil Index. - https://www.researchgate.net/publication/269517698
Salvatore Vicidomini, 2014 - Financial Markets Observatory Lab. Notes and charts about the key levels of the WTI oil, on very long term charts. - https://www.researchgate.net/publication/269572385
Salvatore Vicidomini, 2015 - Financial Markets Observatory Lab. Notes and charts about the OIL Benchmarks WTI & BRENT: Current Situation of some Indicators, with Annotations on Possible QE Role. - https://www.researchgate.net/publication/282002813
Salvatore Vicidomini, 2015 - Financial Markets Observatory Lab. Notes and charts about the Net CoT Charts of Gold, US Dollar, Euro, and WTI Oil. - https://www.researchgate.net/publication/286199418
Salvatore Vicidomini, 2016 - Financial Markets Observatory Lab. Notes and charts about the Volatility and Breadth Indicators of US Stocks of S&P Energy Sector. - https://www.researchgate.net/publication/290937930



SEE also other Financial QE studies



Source: The Rate of Return on Everything, 1870–2015 -- BY: Oscar Jord, Katharina Knoll, Dmitry Kuvshinov, Moritz Schularick, Alan M. Taylor z
☒-{ Contact }-►►♡█║▌│││█║℠ ™║▌║▌▌║█♡◀ #KSaddhaPhPKamp
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Sal.Vi Sep 19, 2019 2:57pm | Post# 439

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SP Index Value vs. Growth (as Ratio, Spread and their MACD): an impressive strength of Growth, according to Graphical Contest rules. A continuation decrease or an historical reversal??

By..0000-0001-5086-7401 & lnkd.in/erZ48tm



SEE also energy stocks situation and other Financial QE studies


Source: The Rate of Return on Everything, 18702015 -- BY: Oscar Jord, Katharina Knoll, Dmitry Kuvshinov, Moritz Schularick, Alan M. Taylor z
☒-{ Contact }-►►♡█║▌│││█║℠ ║▌║▌▌║█♡◀ #KSaddhaPhPKamp
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Sal.Vi Sep 22, 2019 8:47am | Post# 440

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Evolution of crypto-asset state of the capitalization, after LIBRA event (big-cap. > 1mld US$).

By..0000-0001-5086-7401 & lnkd.in/erZ48tm




See also previous posts & charts {Aug.2018 - Aug.2018 - Apr.2019 - May.2019 -Jun.2019 - Jun.2019 - Jun.2019 - Jun.2019 - Jul.2019 - Jul.2019 - Jul.2019 -Aug.2019 - Aug.2019 - Aug.2019 - Sep.2019}.


☒ REFERENCES.
Perch nacque il BitCoin? Le possibili cause socio-finanziarie. Why BitCoin was born? Searching for possible socio-financial causes. - https://www.researchgate.net/publication/320490915

Is BitCoin a coin??? Il BitCoin una moneta??? - https://www.researchgate.net/publication/321622236
Long-term charts on BitCoin (BitStamp), with some theoretically interesting price-areas. -https://www.researchgate.net/publication/320490556

First steps of BitCoin prices, from BitCoinMarket, MtGox, and exchanges aggregated values. -https://www.researchgate.net/publication/319965271

Follow the cryptomarket ecosystem the same graphical pattern of the previous hysterical events of regular financial curves (markets - assets)? - https://www.researchgate.net/publication/319866229

BitCoin: note su grafici di lungo termine e criptomoneta come nuova ideologia. -https://www.academia.edu/35085968/
Notes and charts about the possible re-start of BitCoin bull trend. - https://www.academia.edu/35407789/

Bitcoin: un breve punto della situazione grafica. - https://www.proiezionidiborsa.it/bitcoin-un-breve-punto-della-situazione-grafica/

☒-{ Contact }-►►♡█║▌│││█║℠ ║▌║▌▌║█♡◀ #KSaddhaPhPKamp
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