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-   -   TMS and Me (https://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=511468)

LucasNguyen Nov 3, 2014 9:50am | Post# 21

Hi Pan, thank you for open new thread. Your story is same as me. It's very touching.

Direwolf Nov 4, 2014 8:22pm | Post# 22

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TDI & Me

TDI Green crossing Red is the main signal of TMS.
However as you might have guessed, if you blindly enter every cross, you're going to lose a lot of money.

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From the chart above, only 1 out of 5 crosses was profitable.
4 losers! Not too appealing eh.

How can we prevent the other 4? We first need to know what a good cross is.
And to know what a good cross is, you have to understand TDI.

This used to be such a mystery to me. It was Gil's guidance that showed me the answer and many more. Thank you Gil.

TDI

Dean Malone, the creator of TDI, wanted to know 3 things - Sentiment, Signal and Trend. So he created TDI to show exactly that.
Green - Sentiment (I like to call it Momentum)
Red - Signal
Yellow - Trend

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Dean explained TDI in his own video series. You can watch it here. Click on 4th link on the left.
http://www.compassfx.com/synergy/web...gy_Method.html

TDI was based on RSI so you'll see the same levels; 32, 50, 68.
Green's position according to these levels tells you Momentum.

Click to Enlarge

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Ok cool... So what?

Let's say you're trading Long. You want price to have momentum going up, right?
So you'll want green to head into the zone above 50. But not too far that it becomes overbought.

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Based on that alone you should be able to tell at glance now that only #2 is good.

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#1 was too low. Momentum was still strongly down.
#2 while the cross did happen below 50, it's heading there with plenty of room to move before hitting 68
#3 was so close to being overbought.

Of course there are times and places where #1 and #3 can be good. But I'm not going into those exceptions here.
And as a reminder, you want Green to have nice angle as well. You don't want green going flat.

Now to further stack the odds in our favour, we take Red and Yellow into consideration.

Red heading in the same direction as our trade is good. So #1 has better probability.
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And the same for Yellow. Yellow tells you trend. Trading with the trend means better probability.

Let's use what we know so far to determine these crosses.
Yellow is clearly heading up, so we will only consider buy signal.
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#1 and #2 were happening too far below 50 so we can quickly rule them out.
#3 and #4 were both good.

Simple, right?

Let's get back to our first chart. I marked the level 50 this time.

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#1 no trade. Buy signal too far below 50.
#2 I say 50-50. Green level looks ok, enough room to fall. With yellow. Although it was against red.
#3 no trade. Buy signal too far below 50.
#4 hopefully you can see now that this was an obvious good cross.
- Green had enough space to fall, red and yellow both heading down.
#5 no trade. Even worse than #1&#3, this buy signal happened all the way below 32.

Now. Based on TDI alone without looking at anything else, we were able to reduced our 4 losers into none (or 1 if you take #2)
And you should be able to do this in seconds. Trading Made Simple, eh?

Reminder 1 - you can not completely prevent every losers. It will happen. It's part of trading.
Best we can do is to stack as many odds in our favour as we possibly can.

Reminder 2 - TDI is just the start. Once you see a good cross, you will then look at other things to consider entering a trade.
For example, counting Heikin Ashi color change as per Big E's Rule.

Direwolf Nov 5, 2014 1:03am | Post# 23

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AUDCHF M30 today. BE and +15
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Direwolf Nov 5, 2014 1:21am | Post# 24

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Example of a real nice cross that just happened right now. GBPCHF M30.
I missed it. Price still falling as I type.
Click to Enlarge

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ChokdeeCF Nov 5, 2014 3:51am | Post# 25

Thanks a lot for posting this Direwolf! I've always had an interest in TDI and this is by far the best explanation I've seen.

Direwolf Nov 5, 2014 9:12am | Post# 26

2 Attachment(s)
glad you like it Chokdee

GBPJPY H1 +32 pips.
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CHFJPY M30 BE. Trailing stop doesn't like me lately lol, it would have hit TP other wise.
Click to Enlarge

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SeerEye Nov 6, 2014 1:01am | Post# 27

Good stuff!!

Direwolf Nov 6, 2014 7:37am | Post# 28

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Thanks for dropping by SeerEye

GBPCAD h1 +12 pips
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Direwolf Nov 6, 2014 8:18am | Post# 29

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USDCAD m30. +7 pips. Tiny, but I'll gladly take it
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heispark Nov 6, 2014 9:24am | Post# 30

USDCAD m30. +7 pips. Tiny, but I'll gladly take it {image}
Profit is profit. Good job!

mkfx Nov 6, 2014 8:15pm | Post# 31

USDCAD m30. +7 pips. Tiny, but I'll gladly take it {image}

Great trading .

Just keep repeating the same.

Direwolf Nov 6, 2014 9:59pm | Post# 32

3 Attachment(s)
Thank you Heispark, mkfx

Really nice TDI on AUDNZD H1 but I try to stay away when price just going back and forth around Moving Average.
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Here's what I mean in a hand-drawn chart.
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I'd rather wait for price to show clear movement in 1 direction and take the cross/bounce resuming the move. If it happens.
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Now that I think about it, it's the same idea as Sonic R 1-2-3?

Esosa Nov 6, 2014 10:14pm | Post# 33

Thank you Heispark, mkfx Really nice TDI on AUDNZD H1 but I try to stay away when price just going back and forth around Moving Average. {image} Here's what I mean in a hand-drawn chart. {image} I'd rather wait for price to show clear movement in 1 direction and take the cross/bounce resuming the move. If it happens. {image} Now that I think about it, it's the same idea as Sonic R 1-2-3?
Am really with you on this journey. Love your simple and detail approach and really looking forward to know more from you.

Thanks man, keep up the good work

Esosa Nov 6, 2014 10:16pm | Post# 34

How do you place stops and profit levels?

How do the channel help in filtering entries?

Direwolf Nov 6, 2014 10:41pm | Post# 35

4 Attachment(s)
Hi Esosa.

Coming from Price Action, I'm most familiar with using previous levels as my target.
For example. I look to the left and set my TP there.
Click to Enlarge

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I don't have exact rules about this, just, whatever I see at glance.
For example, if you go long you can see there's 2 possible targets; green and yellow.
I'd set mine at green. Some may set at yellow.
I like to take quick pips and move on. Personal preference.
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TMA channel is what other seniors are using and I adopt it.
They adjust the multiplier to find the best target.
For example. This chart. The area I marked yellow looks like a good level to TP.
TMA channel with multiplier of 2 (default) was a bit higher above it.
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Adjusting multipler to 1.5 would move the channel down to fit right at that level I want.
Then I can use the channel as my target.
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Sometimes the most suitable multiple would differ between short & long.
Take a look at GBPJPY H1. I'd say 2.5 for long, 2 for short.

TMA's middle line is just another kind of moving average also, if you already use MA in your filtering.

You can find many more variations over at the TMS thread.

Esosa Nov 6, 2014 11:01pm | Post# 36

Hi Esosa. Coming from Price Action, I'm most familiar with using previous levels as my target. For example. I look to the left and set my TP there. {image} I don't have exact rules about this, just, whatever I see at glance. For example, if you go long you can see there's 2 possible targets; green and yellow. I'd set mine at green. Some may set at yellow. I like to take quick pips and move on. Personal preference. {image} TMA channel is what other seniors are using and I adopt it. They adjust the multiplier to find the best target. For example....
Thanks my freind.

pls can you post the tdi channel

Direwolf Nov 6, 2014 11:30pm | Post# 37

It's a regular TMA True channel. You can download from my dropbox
https://www.dropbox.com/sh/ezbt6dmcj...qweS7HCQa?dl=0

Esosa Nov 7, 2014 1:55am | Post# 38

It's a regular TMA True channel. You can download from my dropbox https://www.dropbox.com/sh/ezbt6dmcj...qweS7HCQa?dl=0
there are 7 files there. Which do i download?

Direwolf Nov 7, 2014 2:24am | Post# 39

TMA True, of course

Direwolf Nov 7, 2014 3:55am | Post# 40

1 Attachment(s)
Another example of a very nice cross.

GBPAUD M30

Price resumed down move reaching TMA nicely.
TDI green heading down below 50, red heading in the same direction.
While yellow went up a bit, the over all direction was still down.

Click to Enlarge

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I missed it by the way


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