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  • Goldman Sachs now says US GDP will shrink 24% next quarter amid the coronavirus pandemic

    From markets.businessinsider.com

    After already saying the coronavirus outbreak will push the US into a recession, Goldman Sachs on Friday updated its estimates and now thinks the fallout could be even worse than it expected. Goldman Sachs dramatically cut its US economic forecast and is now expecting gross domestic product to decline by 24% in the second quarter of 2020 because of the coronavirus pandemic. A drop of that size would be a record, nearly 2 1/2 times the 10% drop seen in 1958. "The sudden stop in US economic activity in response to the virus is unprecedented, and the early data points over the last week strengthen our confidence that ... (full story)

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  • Post #1
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  • Mar 20, 2020 3:45pm Mar 20, 2020 3:45pm
  •  Skracor247
  • Joined Oct 2008 | Status: Price made me do it. (0.0) | 360 Comments
We all know it is going to shrink. How can people spend money if they are supposed to go to work only? How can you stay employed if people are not buying your goods and services?

This is a wacky situation.
 
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  • Post #2
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  • Mar 20, 2020 3:59pm Mar 20, 2020 3:59pm
  •  Banditten
  • Joined Sep 2019 | Status: Member | 812 Comments
They cant. So Yea numbers will be bad så never Before. End of story. No need to try to Guess how bad. Thats like picking the low in the market.

Se are closing down the world because of this and dont get me wrong here but I could use a more nuanced debate about this. Was there other option? What would Happens if we did not close down? Yea more people would die. Thats a fact. On the other hand I argue that the human costs of closing down by far will exceed the numbers of potential deaths. We will see a massive numbers of unemployed, massive numbers of people who cannot pay their debt and selfemployed Going bankrupt. All lives that will Maybe never be the same again and they would probably rather send a shitty week on toilet Than loosing everything. So there are more Than one side to this story in my view.
 
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  • Post #3
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  • Mar 20, 2020 5:06pm Mar 20, 2020 5:06pm
  •  Vancarbon
  • Joined Jul 2019 | Status: Member | 589 Comments
Goldman , who said Oil was going to $200 . They'll say anything to give their trading desks an hedge .

Then the reverse rhetoric when they've " filled their boots"
 
 
  • Post #4
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  • Mar 20, 2020 5:38pm Mar 20, 2020 5:38pm
  •  nbfx
  • Joined Oct 2010 | Status: Member | 1,325 Comments
Quoting Vancarbon
Disliked
Goldman , who said Oil was going to $200 . They'll say anything to give their trading desks an hedge . Then the reverse rhetoric when they've " filled their boots"
Ignored
LOL what was that phrase from the film Wall Street? "Blue Horseshoe loves Anacot Steel"

(or maybe hates if they're short?)
 
 
  • Post #5
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  • Mar 21, 2020 7:33am Mar 21, 2020 7:33am
  •  Not-KPMG
  • Joined Jun 2015 | Status: Member | 7,592 Comments
I wonder why
Attached Image
 
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  • Posted: Mar 20, 2020 3:39pm
  • Submitted by:
     Newsstand
    Category: Fundamental Analysis
    Comments: 5  /  Views: 4,747
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