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  • Shorting the euro remains a great opportunity as European downturn worsens

    From marketsnow.com

    In our last take on the euro in April, we wrote that the bullish case for the currency was running out of drivers. Specifically, we wrote that decelerating Eurozone growth (in rate-of-change terms), changes in trading patterns and overly bullish speculator sentiment was likely to weigh on the euro in the future. At the time, EUR/USD was trading around 1.23, near its 2018 high just above 1.2550. As a ‘risk on’ currency, the euro tends to weaken when Eurozone growth is decelerating in rate-of-change terms. Looking at the data, Eurozone growth peaked in late 2017. However, the euro did not start weakening until the ... (full story)

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  • Comment #1
  • Quote
  • Aug 27, 2018 7:04pm Aug 27, 2018 7:04pm
  •  Superflex
  • | Joined Nov 2017 | Status: Member | 49 Comments
I think its going to hit 1750-75, before down trend continues. But I could be wrong.
 
 
  • Comment #2
  • Quote
  • Aug 27, 2018 7:18pm Aug 27, 2018 7:18pm
  •  lasty
  • Joined Aug 2008 | Status: Member | 1423 Comments
Euro has defied gravity and now Macron says he doesnt need US security and wants EU to go it alone .. Toys out of the pram but this will cost them big time with more money spent on defense.

Italy says it wont pay EU because of migrant stand off .

The EU is a basket case.

There appears to be some "artificial" support and I wouldnt be surprised if it was concerted CB's holding back a crisis .. sooner or later the market wins like it did with the SNB ..
 
1
  • Comment #3
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  • Aug 28, 2018 3:40am Aug 28, 2018 3:40am
  •  syntaxfx
  • | Joined Oct 2017 | Status: Member | 98 Comments
Quoting lasty
Disliked
Euro has defied gravity and now Macron says he doesnt need US security and wants EU to go it alone .. Toys out of the pram but this will cost them big time with more money spent on defense. .
Ignored
Still, the defence spending will provide jobs that would have gone to the US. And if Macron can engage the Germans, the trade war with the US will hot up a bit and provide more trading opportunities for us.
SyntaxFX
 
 
  • Comment #4
  • Quote
  • Aug 28, 2018 4:21am Aug 28, 2018 4:21am
  •  Guest
  • | IP XX.XX.125.41
The idological politicization of almost every news item, by specific agenda driven commentators, at the expense of dispassionate economic fx focused analysis is an unfortunate theme of these forums, and is both a distraction for traders and readers and has become an almost comic if somewhat irritating feature. An interesting economic analysis on medium outlook for Euro, becomes an opportunity to introduce irrelevant geopolitical defense issues. And an opportunity to sloganise euro-phobia, and divert reader attention from market focused issues.
As predictable, as it is unhelpful, and distractive, to most readers trading day.
Sad
 
 
  • Comment #5
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  • Aug 28, 2018 5:42am Aug 28, 2018 5:42am
  •  alexflibero
  • | Joined Mar 2016 | Status: Member | 20 Comments
Quote
Disliked
Still, the defence spending will provide jobs that would have gone to the US. And if Macron can engage the Germans, the trade war with the US will hot up a bit and provide more trading opportunities for us.

Interesting comment but France, Italy and Germany have reduced their spend from some years so now only few things remain in the US portfolio (eg. F35). I think EU could have a more powerful defence but only at EU level.
We absolutely need to avoid a single state escalation.
The history must train us on that.
 
 
  • Comment #6
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  • Aug 29, 2018 12:57am Aug 29, 2018 12:57am
  •  syntaxfx
  • | Joined Oct 2017 | Status: Member | 98 Comments
Quoting alexflibero
Disliked
{quote} The history must train us on that.
Ignored
Since when did the human race learn from history?
SyntaxFX
 
 
  • Comment #7
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  • Aug 29, 2018 5:33am Aug 29, 2018 5:33am
  •  alexflibero
  • | Joined Mar 2016 | Status: Member | 20 Comments
It's the time to do it.
 
 
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  •  Guest
  • | IP X.XXX.47.240
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  • Posted: Aug 27, 2018 6:54pm
  • Submitted by:
     MarketsNow
    Category: Fundamental Analysis
    Comments: 7  /  Views: 3,884
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