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  • EUR/USD Forecast Mar. 6-10

    From forexcrunch.com

    EUR/USD traded in a wider range and eventually closed towards the higher end of the range. Will it remain in the range or make a break? The big event of the week is undoubtedly the ECB decision, which also consists of new forecasts. Here is an outlook for the highlights of this week and an updated technical analysis for EUR/USD. Inflation data in the euro-zone, which reached 2%, continued putting pressure on Draghi, especially from his German peers. Developments in the French elections helped the euro. In the US, Donald Trump's priorities do not provide the necessary fuel for the dollar, but upbeat expectations for ... (full story)

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  • Post #1
  • Quote
  • Edited at 6:21pm Mar 5, 2017 4:20am | Edited at 6:21pm
  •  rafat habeb
  • Joined Nov 2008 | Status: Trading New ideas vs old style | 378 Comments
new range of 1.0678 upside to 1.0425 downside till 1.6978
1
  • Post #2
  • Quote
  • Mar 5, 2017 4:32am Mar 5, 2017 4:32am
  •  zerotmoal
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Dec 2010 | 362 Comments
Inflation data in the euro-zone, which reached 2%, that's the worst by the way for Draghi . french election won't depend on polls !!!
1
  • Post #3
  • Quote
  • Mar 5, 2017 5:19am Mar 5, 2017 5:19am
  •  Not-KPMG
  • Joined Jun 2015 | Status: Member | 7,089 Comments | Invisible
Yohay is back.
Was bullish last. oooops

Quote :
...multi-year low of 1.0340. Only 1.0150 separates the pair from parity at this point.

I am bearish on EUR/USD

Draghi is likely to do his best to weigh on the euro. It seems that he got his magic back after a few failed attempts and he could certainly hit the common currency as core inflation remains subdued. In the US, while Trump could certainly disappoint once again, the hawkishness of the Federal Reserve is certainly dominant.
EndQuote.

Now I'm worried. If Yohay (my trusted indi) is bearish the Euro may spike up really hard. i mean 0700 is possible

I'm short.... Let's see 0500 and decide there.

Nice summary BTW if we forget the most important news..... But who cares of NFP etc??? Or Friday doesn't count? Which is good point - Friday is spike day.
Nice review of ECB dilemma.
2
  • Post #4
  • Quote
  • Mar 5, 2017 5:27am Mar 5, 2017 5:27am
  •  NotAtrader
  • Joined Oct 2016 | Status: Not A Trader. A Money Machine. | 2,232 Comments
Quoting Not-KPMG
Disliked
Yohay is back. Was bullish last. oooops Quote : ...multi-year low of 1.0340. Only 1.0150 separates the pair from parity at this point. I am bearish on EUR/USD Draghi is likely to do his best to weigh on the euro. It seems that he got his magic back after a few failed attempts and he could certainly hit the common currency as core inflation remains subdued. In the US, while Trump could certainly disappoint once again, the hawkishness of the Federal Reserve is certainly dominant. EndQuote. Now I'm worried. If Yohay (my trusted indi) is bearish...
Ignored
He could be right for ones LOL
  • Post #5
  • Quote
  • Mar 5, 2017 7:12am Mar 5, 2017 7:12am
  •  Ghassforex
  • Joined Sep 2016 | Status: Member | 1,119 Comments
Quoting Not-KPMG
Disliked
Yohay is back. Was bullish last. oooops Quote : ...multi-year low of 1.0340. Only 1.0150 separates the pair from parity at this point. I am bearish on EUR/USD Draghi is likely to do his best to weigh on the euro. It seems that he got his magic back after a few failed attempts and he could certainly hit the common currency as core inflation remains subdued. In the US, while Trump could certainly disappoint once again, the hawkishness of the Federal Reserve is certainly dominant. EndQuote. Now I'm worried. If Yohay (my trusted indi) is bearish...
Ignored
Before Alan Greenspan & Jean Claude Trichet always surprise the market .....The question Yellen will do the same on March 15 !!!!???.....The NFP next Friday will be a key and send a strong message for market but we must to keep in mind last June 2016 market priced also around 80 % hike rate but NFP data was very bad forecast predictions were 156 results were 38 It was a reason for FED to push hike rate to DEC .....If Fed need a new reason to push hike rate for May or June NFP is a joker we must keep eyes open on data results next week .GOOD LUCK for all .
  • Post #6
  • Quote
  • Mar 5, 2017 8:26am Mar 5, 2017 8:26am
  •  Roszey
  • Joined Nov 2013 | Status: Busy | 25 Comments | Invisible
Quoting Ghassforex
Disliked
{quote} Before Alan Greenspan & Jean Claude Trichet always surprise the market .....The question Yellen will do the same on March 15 !!!!???.....The NFP next Friday will be a key and send a strong message for market but we must to keep in mind last June 2016 market priced also around 80 % hike rate but NFP data was very bad forecast predictions were 156 results were 38 It was a reason for FED to push hike rate to DEC .....If Fed need a new reason to push hike rate for May or June NFP is a joker we must keep eyes open on data results next week...
Ignored
So your point is NFP will determine whether Yellen will hike rate or not...??
1
  • Post #7
  • Quote
  • Mar 5, 2017 8:32am Mar 5, 2017 8:32am
  •  NotAtrader
  • Joined Oct 2016 | Status: Not A Trader. A Money Machine. | 2,232 Comments
Quoting Roszey
Disliked
{quote} So your point is NFP will determine whether Yellen will hike rate or not...??
Ignored
I guess yes this is his point.
Look at this:
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-ch...183000776.html
  • Post #8
  • Quote
  • Mar 5, 2017 9:01am Mar 5, 2017 9:01am
  •  Ghassforex
  • Joined Sep 2016 | Status: Member | 1,119 Comments
Quoting Roszey
Disliked
{quote} So your point is NFP will determine whether Yellen will hike rate or not...??
Ignored
Indeed ...
  • Post #9
  • Quote
  • Mar 5, 2017 9:11am Mar 5, 2017 9:11am
  •  Ghassforex
  • Joined Sep 2016 | Status: Member | 1,119 Comments
Quoting NotAtrader
Disliked
{quote} I guess yes this is his point. Look at this: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-ch...183000776.html
Ignored
Better to hold on.... keep on mode wait and see ....Friday will make picture more clear ...G.L
1
  • Post #10
  • Quote
  • Mar 5, 2017 9:21am Mar 5, 2017 9:21am
  •  priceaction1
  • Joined Apr 2013 | Status: Now I know you | 73 Comments
Quoting Not-KPMG
Disliked
Yohay is back. Was bullish last. oooops Quote : ...multi-year low of 1.0340. Only 1.0150 separates the pair from parity at this point. I am bearish on EUR/USD Draghi is likely to do his best to weigh on the euro. It seems that he got his magic back after a few failed attempts and he could certainly hit the common currency as core inflation remains subdued. In the US, while Trump could certainly disappoint once again, the hawkishness of the Federal Reserve is certainly dominant. EndQuote. Now I'm worried. If Yohay (my trusted indi) is bearish...
Ignored
remember , when strong wind comes.


Maybe you strong as a giant tree,
But to survive , be like a bamboo tree.

regards

bend to meet the challenge, then back to strong as giant, still standing.
Singleness to task at hand.
The job description of a trader is profitability.
Being wrong or correct is just mind and expectations.Book bottom line is the gauge.

by grate master fti
1
  • Post #11
  • Quote
  • Mar 5, 2017 4:54pm Mar 5, 2017 4:54pm
  •  Guest
  • | IP XXX.XX.7.236
Greek debt resurfaces with a vengeance:
http://davidstockmanscontracorner.co...ms-bankruptcy/
  • Post #12
  • Quote
  • Mar 5, 2017 5:42pm Mar 5, 2017 5:42pm
  •  Not-KPMG
  • Joined Jun 2015 | Status: Member | 7,089 Comments | Invisible
Quoting g_5d06f7df
Disliked
Greek debt resurfaces with a vengeance: http://davidstockmanscontracorner.co...ms-bankruptcy/
Ignored
It says Feb2015????
Are you slow????
  • Post #13
  • Quote
  • Mar 5, 2017 9:21pm Mar 5, 2017 9:21pm
  •  COGSx86
  • Joined Dec 2013 | Status: Member | 402 Comments
If short term treasury yields continue the trend we will see rates rise in march.

Last week was the largest 1 week rise for 3 month treasuries, in 8 years!

.515 to current price of .698
  •  Guest
  • | IP X.XXX.70.175
Join FF
  • Story Stats
  • Posted: Mar 5, 2017 4:00am
  • Submitted by:
     Yohay
    Category: Fundamental Analysis
    Comments: 13  /  Views: 9,273
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