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  • Trump could be a game changer for forex, economics & politics

    From mahifx.com

    It’s happened again – commentators, bookies and the markets were wrong over the outcome of an election, in this case the US one where Donald Trump won. The consequences of his victory will be fundamental for markets, the global economy and geopolitics for years to come. The likelihood of this victory is a stronger USD (although that might not be tolerated for long by the new administration), and if some of his promises on trade protectionism are watered down it could even do some good for emerging market currencies, after all many commodities rallied and developing countries tend to produce them. Also, Trump ... (full story)

It's all over trump madness. Each and everything going wrong. hahaha.
Forex; the game of movements not the game of candles.
Forex commentators now a Trump victory as USD positive. A week ago before the election, a Trump victory was USD negative.

A lot has changed in a week.
Ecclesiastes 1:9
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Quoting newbegger
Forex commentators now a Trump victory as USD positive. A week ago before the election, a Trump victory was USD negative.

A lot has changed in a week.
But nothing has changed about the market. USD was strongly poised towards the upside and total of press supporting Clinton were positioned to credit her election as the cause of it. Even FED hold its horses and gave only one hike out of four perhaps to glorify her even further.
But the market is the market and this is first class lesson about it. The market will continue like if it was Hilary and not Trump the winner and even FED to its dismay will give the hikes it owes.
Just rofl with the media which will try to explain the unexplained and even cry out for the bad things coming from such a strong dollar.
Quoting Guest
But nothing has changed about the market. USD was strongly poised towards the upside and total of press supporting Clinton were positioned to credit her election as the cause of it. Even FED hold its horses and gave only one hike out of four perhaps to glorify her even further.
But the market is the market and this is first class lesson about it. The market will continue like if it was Hilary and not Trump the winner and even FED to its dismay will give the hikes it owes.
Just rofl with the media which will try to explain the unexplained and...
You are correct

Furthermore all the weakening prior to Grexit was in preparation for the strengthening that generally happens following Presidential elections. Check the charts focus USDJPY
Most expect the construction Stimulus that has been held back for 8 yrs to be injected soon.

For this reason I doubt that any possible rate hike if any at all wont be as big as last Dec
So no shocker in the market really....EURUSD normally goes down....USDJPY goes up in Dec....

Its the writers' job to explain this but non is needed.

In other words the justifications could have been ignored and just trade above scenario.

Afterall thats whats done in practice anyway as most trades are computerised
MSM beat the hell out of Trump in the election. He's now like the Springsteen song "Born in the USA". He's "like a dog that's been beat too much and spends half his time just covering up" The paradigm of a Trump rampage is pure delusion.

This is for Europeans who have limited understanding of US politics: The Republican party and Democrat party are just Elephants and Donkeys wandering around in the farmers field. They don't really run things. The farmer runs things. He's the wizard behind the curtain. Sooner or later POTUS realizes just how restricted he is. And THAT is why Obama is on a never ending golf vacation and Dubya was trimming shrubbery in Texas.
Quoting kenleander
MSM beat the hell out of Trump in the election. He's now like the Springsteen song "Born in the USA". He's "like a dog that's been beat too much and spends half his time just covering up" The paradigm of a Trump rampage is pure delusion.

This is for Europeans who have limited understanding of US politics: The Republican party and Democrat party are just Elephants and Donkeys wandering around in the farmers field. They don't really run things. The farmer runs things. He's the wizard behind the curtain. Sooner or later POTUS realizes...
Completely agree with the farmyard metaphor. It is the same in U.K. How 'Radical' Govt. with huge majorities soon become diluted once they meet with the financial wonks then the invisible hand-cuffs are fitted. To be honest, I think Trump will get bored by the flip-flop world of politics soon enough, he's used to making active-decisions.
WOW..I have never read soooo many thoughts on the TRUMP win/loose positions. I'm 70 so reading all the speculations put me to sleep. Figured the EUR would dive so entered at 1249 and sold at 908 (100 lots ). TURNED OFF COMPUTER otherwise I'm sure I would have lost as a huge profit makes my ego think I am in beatable..LOL. I'm now looking at NZD/USD. When it goes low enough I'll open to buy with a huge stop. I'll wait a while and probably will see 200K. Yup it's boring to make a trade and wait a month or two but at 70 who cares.
Quoting UnBearybull
Completely agree with the farmyard metaphor. It is the same in U.K. How 'Radical' Govt. with huge majorities soon become diluted once they meet with the financial wonks then the invisible hand-cuffs are fitted. To be honest, I think Trump will get bored by the flip-flop world of politics soon enough, he's used to making active-decisions.
LOL. I was going to make a comment about invisible handcuffs on Trump but my wife said "Oh don't say that!"
I think risky situation will come up soon cuz of uncertainties in the US. besides, USDJPY has gone up sufficiently (may go 110) and is time to sell it. the first big stop will be 105 and then all the way to 101-100, and if uncertainty continues 98 is on the cards.
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  • Posted: Nov 14, 2016 8:14am
  • Submitted by:
     MahiFX
    Category: Fundamental Analysis
    Comments: 11  /  Views: 4,767