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  • Rosengren: This Time is Different: Lessons from Past Tightening Cycles - The Implications for Monetary Policy

    From bostonfed.org

    Speaking today to the Forecasters Club of New York, Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren explained his views on the future trajectory of interest rate increases, citing a number of reasons to expect a more gradual normalization process compared to the last two tightening cycles (1994 and 2004). He called this more modest tightening path "both necessary and appropriate" given his analysis of the data. In particular, Rosengren noted that inflation is lower and real GDP growth is slower than at the beginning of the previous two tightening episodes. Concerning growth, Rosengren observed that over the past four quarters ... (full story)

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  • Comment #1
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  • Sep 1, 2015 1:43pm Sep 1, 2015 1:43pm
  •  Graviton
  • Joined Apr 2010 | Status: Member | 30 Comments
A little bird told me the Fed will move the rates up 1/8th of a point if employment numbers are good and there is no change in inflation. If employment numbers are bad and/or inflation goes down, there will be no change. If inflation goes up and employment numbers are also good, they will consider a 1/4 point move up instead. I'm not sure if that helps since they see incoming data before we do and will probably make a decision based on data we haven't seen yet.
 
 
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  • Sep 1, 2015 2:36pm Sep 1, 2015 2:36pm
  •  Guest
  • | IP XXX.XXX.166.3
I'm thinking 15-bps.
 
 
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  • | IP X.XXX.250.73
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  • Posted: Sep 1, 2015 1:12pm
  • Submitted by:
     Newsstand
    Category: Medium Impact Breaking News
    Comments: 2  /  Views: 1,644
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