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  • Here is what Fed officials have said about timing of a rate hike

    From marketwatch.com

    With the labor market continuing to sizzle, the timing of the first rate hike has come more sharply into focus. Many Fed watchers think the first rate hike will come at the June meeting. They argue the labor market, with the unemployment rate falling to 5.5% in February, shows a strong economy and that the central bank risks falling behind the curve on inflation. On the other side are economists who think the Fed should delay a move until inflation moves higher. They see low price level as a potential worrisome sign of weaker demand in the economy. Where do Fed officials fall? Three Fed officials have come out in ... (full story)

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  • Comment #1
  • Quote
  • Mar 17, 2015 8:37am Mar 17, 2015 8:37am
  •  traderathome
  • Joined Mar 2008 | Status: PVSRA with Traderathome | 1519 Comments
"They argue the labor market, with the unemployment rate falling to 5.5% in February, shows a strong economy and that the central bank risks falling behind the curve on inflation." -

Their argument assumes the 5.5% unemployment rate is indicative of a strong economy. It isn't. Part time jobs are replacing lost full time jobs. The average income of the labor force continues to drop!

Those that are either ignorant or deceivers that are pushing their own agenda do not have strong footing when arguing their positions.
 
 
  • Comment #2
  • Quote
  • Mar 17, 2015 8:39am Mar 17, 2015 8:39am
  •  joancb
  • | Joined Aug 2011 | Status: Member | 310 Comments
so yes or not to raise ?
 
 
  • Comment #3
  • Quote
  • Mar 17, 2015 8:43am Mar 17, 2015 8:43am
  •  alexpi
  • | Joined Jan 2015 | Status: On Discipline Road | 213 Comments
Quoting traderathome
Disliked
"They argue the labor market, with the unemployment rate falling to 5.5% in February, shows a strong economy and that the central bank risks falling behind the curve on inflation." -

Their argument assumes the 5.5% unemployment rate is indicative of a strong economy. It isn't. Part time jobs are replacing lost full time jobs. The average income of the labor force continues to drop!

Those that are either ignorant or deceivers that are pushing their own agenda do not have strong footing when arguing their positions.
Ignored

To be fair they probably know this, it's very interesting to see how they'll handle the situation. To me it seems like any amount of rate tightening will drop the real economy into a double dip scenario.
 
 
  • Comment #4
  • Quote
  • Mar 17, 2015 9:01am Mar 17, 2015 9:01am
  •  PA is King
  • Joined Jun 2013 | Status: Member | 2571 Comments
Anyone remember when Bernanke said the Fed will raise rates when unemployment hits 6.5%??? Then when it did, the Fed changed their tune and came out with an excuse not to raise rates? lmao. I will never believe in the FED!
 
 
  • Comment #5
  • Quote
  • Mar 17, 2015 9:16am Mar 17, 2015 9:16am
  •  Guest
  • | IP XX.XXX.40.86
PA do some research on how the gov't gets unemployment numbers and you will see why this isn't a good measure of the economy. We have the lowest labor market participation in 45 years. If this its the only stat people are basing a rate hike on then they need to reevaluate.
 
 
  • Comment #6
  • Quote
  • Mar 17, 2015 9:18am Mar 17, 2015 9:18am
  •  MetroFX
  • | Joined Mar 2014 | Status: Member | 21 Comments
Quoting PA is King
Disliked
Anyone remember when Bernanke said the Fed will raise rates when unemployment hits 6.5%??? Then when it did, the Fed changed their tune and came out with an excuse not to raise rates? lmao. I will never believe in the FED!
Ignored
Not to be the devils advocate, but they probably expected inflation to be way higher when they reached 6.5% and oil prices going down arent helping.

I think they will increase the rate by 0.25% is not much and at some point they have to increase it.
 
 
  • Comment #7
  • Quote
  • Mar 17, 2015 11:18am Mar 17, 2015 11:18am
  •  Ojiego
  • | Joined Jan 2015 | Status: Critical Source | 1011 Comments
Sadly, I will not be on seat during FOMC tomorrow .... , I hope market remains largely neutral to commence movement on Thursday when Philly Fed and job rates are announced.

Fingers crossed
 
 
  • Comment #8
  • Quote
  • Mar 18, 2015 5:30am Mar 18, 2015 5:30am
  •  Fire5ale
  • | Joined Apr 2014 | Status: Member | 6 Comments
i think PA will be mostly like corrective then.
im sure PA will not simply bashing, but downhill seems expected by trader.IMHO
 
 
  • Comment #9
  • Quote
  • Mar 18, 2015 6:37am Mar 18, 2015 6:37am
  •  Ill-b-back
  • Joined May 2011 | Status: Get to the Chopper | 3897 Comments
Quoting traderathome
Disliked
"They argue the labor market, with the unemployment rate falling to 5.5% in February, shows a strong economy and that the central bank risks falling behind the curve on inflation." -

Their argument assumes the 5.5% unemployment rate is indicative of a strong economy. It isn't. Part time jobs are replacing lost full time jobs. The average income of the labor force continues to drop!

Those that are either ignorant or deceivers that are pushing their own agenda do not have strong footing when arguing their positions.
Ignored
It's 2007 all over again.

Buy the dip they say,

Fundamentals are strong they argue,

Never had a nation wide housing crash before and highly unlikely to happen Ben proclaimed....
Come with me if you want to live....
 
 
  • New Comment
  •  Guest
  • | IP X.XXX.47.240
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  • Story Stats
  • Posted: Mar 17, 2015 7:34am
  • Submitted by:
     Newsstand
    Category: Fundamental Analysis
    Comments: 9  /  Views: 3,567
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