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King Dollar's Trump Rally: What Does it Mean for Macro?
The U.S. Dollar gained more than 7.6% in Q4 of 2024, which would be the highest quarterly gain for the currency since 2015. And for some additional scope, this would be the third highest quarterly jump for DXY in more than 30 years. There was a similar move in 2022 when DXY added 7.1% in Q3 of that year, but this was followed shortly after by a strong reversal that then led to two years of ranging price behavior before the currency ultimately broke out last November. With DXY it’s important to remember that it’s a basket of underlying currencies. I had looked at this in the article, USD: Behind the U.S. Dollar, ... (full story)