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Japan prepares for a President Trump
Market implications for Japan seem to be centered around the yen. Former President Trump has promised personal[ii] and corporate tax cuts, import tariffs and the deportation of illegal immigrants. Although uncertainty remains about their extent and timing, these policies are expected to be inflationary as the economy gets a jolt and import and wage costs rise. Rising US growth and inflation expectations are having knock-on effects on Japanese stocks, interest rates, and the yen, which may see a restart in the Japanese retail-led yen carry trade depicted in the next graph. As the next graph shows, rising Japanese 30 ... (full story)