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Bitcoin & Big-Tech Battered, Bonds & Black Gold Bid As Rate-Cut Expectations Soar
A quiet macro day ahead of the coming storm with just soft-survey data hitting. But having said that US Empire Fed Manufacturing exploded higher (smashing expectations by six standard deviations in September, +11.5 vs -4.0 exp, vs -4.7 prior)... chart However, it was the WSJ's Greg Ip that prompted some chaos in markets with his weekend piece pitching 50bps cut this week. The market is now pricing in around 70% odds of a 50bps cut this week... chart We do noted that 2025 rate-cut expectations are drifting lower as 2024 dovishly increases... chart Interestingly, before we dive into the details of market moves ... (full story)