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September BoE MPC Preview: Levels versus trends
Investors are split on this month’s BoE MPC announcement but the majority call is for no change. The August reduction in Bank Rate to 5.0 percent only got through by the tightest of margins (5-4) with Chief Economist Huw Pill voting against the move and Governor Andrew Bailey stressing the need for careful easing going forward. Still, with inflation down again and wage growth slowing, a small minority of forecasters anticipate a second 25 basis point reduction that would put Bank Rate at 4.75 percent, its lowest level since June 2023. Indeed, potentially increasing the chances of a cut is the arrival on the MPC of ... (full story)