-
September ECB meeting preview: Easy does it
Following July’s pause, the ECB is widely seen resuming its easing path this week. Falling inflation, a strengthening euro and an expected Federal Reserve rate cut next week provide all the scope needed while a still very sluggish economy offers plenty of justification. Although there may be some reluctance on the part of the hawks, most Governing Council (GC) members are likely to favour a second 25 basis point cut that would put the key deposit rate at 3.50 percent. However, the central bank is also likely to repeat the recent limited forward guidance whereby it “will keep policy rates sufficiently restrictive ... (full story)