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US non-farm payrolls benchmark revisions -818K
Economists widely estimated that US non-farm payrolls would be revised lower from the prior numbers showing 2.9 million jobs added in the year ending in March, or 242,000 per month. Goldman Sachs had floated a range of 600K-1M job losses. One critical caveat is that these revisions are based on a reconciliation with initial jobless claims, which don't include illegal immigrants. Given the surge in border crossings, the non-farm payrolls numbers may be a better measure of actual job creation, because they aim to capture all hiring, including illegal immigrants.
Added at 10:38am
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This is the biggest negative revision to payrolls since the global financial crisis.
— zerohedge (@zerohedge) August 21, 2024
Crucially, it took place in an election year and was meant to pad the numbers, making the economy appear much stronger than it was https://t.co/WtjpNSaytR pic.twitter.com/EIHW5Ynjev
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