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US presidential election: Three scenarios for markets
No one can predict what's going to happen on 5 November when Americans go to the polls to elect either Donald Trump or Kamala Harris. However, we have tried to look at various scenarios which could affect asset classes via domestic, foreign and trade policy. We'll be writing extensively on this over the coming weeks. So think of this as an introduction. Our emphasis is very much on the factors that could shape the future, rather than the point forecasts themselves. Scenario 1: Trump clean sweep Donald Trump wins the Presidency and Republicans win control in Congress image Scenario 1: The winners and losers in ... (full story)