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A Spurt of Better US Data Keeps a Soft Landing on Track
Economic indicators have gotten so downbeat over the last two months, with most coming in far below economists’ forecasts, that one would be forgiven for wondering if the economy would ever stabilize or just keep heading south until mass layoffs ensue. We did see a big 20k spike in initial jobless claims last week to 243k, which may raise a few eyebrows about a further slowdown in the job market, though we suspect the spike had more to do with the timing of hurricane Beryl than with the bottom falling out of the labor market. Of course, all these darkening clouds have come with a bright silver lining of moderating ... (full story)