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Fed’s Williams Says Long-Term Trends Still Back Low Neutral Rate
Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams said the longer-term trends that led to declines in neutral levels for interest rates before the pandemic still prevail. “My own Holston-Laubach-Williams estimates for r-star in the United States, for Canada and the euro area are about the same level as they were before the pandemic,” Williams said Friday on a panel organized by the Central Reserve Bank of Peru, referring to his model’s estimate for the neutral rate which neither stimulates nor slows the economy. That suggests underlying trends that supported low rates pre-pandemic “are still very much ... (full story)