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The Fed looks set to signal a pivot later this month
CIO sees room for the ECB to cut rates again in September, following the first reduction in June. Markets are now pricing in a 65% probability of a September rate cut. With the Federal Reserve also likely to start easing policy in September, and the Bank of England potentially in August, the global rate-cutting cycle remains on track despite inflation jitters in some parts of the world. Economic activity in the Eurozone remains weak, with decelerating core inflation. Eurozone GDP growth was just 0.3% in the first quarter of 2024. While that is better than the 0.1% contraction in the last quarter of 2023, it follows ... (full story)