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Wake me up when September ends
The macro landscape has looked fairly similar for the past few months. Softening inflation, weaker but still solid jobs market, 2% GDP growth, assets super buoyant (driven by megatech), housing prices solid, homebuilders ripping, China soft, etc. These things have all been mostly true all year. September FOMC is fully priced for a cut and that makes sense to me. The Fed is getting exactly what they wanted, and the soft landing has been delivered successfully. chart While the current pricing is of note, perhaps more notable is the lack of volatility. See how we were jumping around in one-cut increments there in ... (full story)