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Week Ahead: Strong US Jobs Data Failed to Sustain Dollar Rally, Can the March CPI do Better?
The March US employment data were stronger than expected and lend support to the re-acceleration hypothesis and an extension of US exceptionalism. In Q1 24, nonfarm payrolls rose by an average of 276k. It was the strongest quarter in a year and compares with an average monthly job gain of about 251k in 2023. The unemployment rate slipped as the household survey jumped around 500k after falling in the previous two months. The workweek increased, and the participation rate rose. Reasons to dismiss the employment data are becoming thinner. The economy is still growing faster than what the Fed regards as the long-term ... (full story)