XM does not provide services to residents of the United States of America.

Technical Analysis – USDCAD marks bullish wave in short-term



  • USDCAD meets 20-day SMA
  • Technical signals mixed; downtrend well intact
USDCAD has been rising since the end of 2023 after the bounce off the 1.3175 support level and is currently reaching the short-term 20-day simple moving average (SMA) near 1.3373, but is still developing beneath the descending trend line.

The MACD and the RSI are confirming the bullish move in the market as the first one is holding above its trigger line, and the latter is pointing marginally up near the neutral threshold of 50. However, the stochastic oscillator is suggesting an overstretched market and is ticking lower above the 80 level, indicating a potential downside correction.

To attract new buyers, the bulls will have to surpass the nearby resistance of the 20-day SMA at 1.3373 and move beyond the 1.3415 barrier. In this case, the price could pick up steam towards the important falling trend line and the 200-day SMA around 1.3480. Another successful battle there could see the price jumping into the 50-day SMA at 1.3570.

Hence, a downside correction could still be possible in the coming sessions. If the pair slumps below the five-month low of 1.3175 it could stabilize near the 1.3150 support. Otherwise, the sell-off could expand towards the 1.3090 territory.

To sum up, USDCAD has not eliminated downside risks yet, despite marking a positive wave. To boost buying confidence, the pair will need to crawl above 1.3480.

Disclaimer: The XM Group entities provide execution-only service and access to our Online Trading Facility, permitting a person to view and/or use the content available on or via the website, is not intended to change or expand on this, nor does it change or expand on this. Such access and use are always subject to: (i) Terms and Conditions; (ii) Risk Warnings; and (iii) Full Disclaimer. Such content is therefore provided as no more than general information. Particularly, please be aware that the contents of our Online Trading Facility are neither a solicitation, nor an offer to enter any transactions on the financial markets. Trading on any financial market involves a significant level of risk to your capital.

All material published on our Online Trading Facility is intended for educational/informational purposes only, and does not contain – nor should it be considered as containing – financial, investment tax or trading advice and recommendations; or a record of our trading prices; or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instruments; or unsolicited financial promotions to you.

Any third-party content, as well as content prepared by XM, such as: opinions, news, research, analyses, prices and other information or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an “as-is” basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, it would be considered as marketing communication under the relevant laws and regulations. Please ensure that you have read and understood our Notification on Non-Independent Investment. Research and Risk Warning concerning the foregoing information, which can be accessed here.

Risk Warning: Your capital is at risk. Leveraged products may not be suitable for everyone. Please consider our Risk Disclosure.