Press Inflation rate of +3.2% expected in November 2023

Press release No. 458 of 29 November 2023

Consumer price index, November 2023:
+3.2% on the same month a year earlier (provisional)
-0.4% on the previous month (provisional)

Harmonised index of consumer prices, November 2023
+2.3% on the same month a year earlier (provisional)
-0.7% on the previous month (provisional)

WIESBADEN – The inflation rate in Germany is expected to be +3.2% in November 2023. This is the lowest level since June 2021 (+2.4%). The inflation rate is measured as the change in the consumer price index (CPI) compared with the same month a year earlier. Based on the results available so far, the Federal Statistical Office (Destatis) also reports that consumer prices are expected to decline by 0.4% on October 2023. The inflation rate excluding food and energy, often referred to as core inflation, is expected to be +3.8%.

Year-on-year change in the consumer price index
regarding selected product groups
Overall index / subindexWeightAugust
2023
September
2023
October
2023
November
20231
per thousandpercent
1: Provisional figures.
2: Core inflation.
3: Household energy and motor fuels.
Overall index1,0006.14.53.83.2
Overall index excluding food and energy2821.415.54.64.33.8
Services503.365.14.03.93.4
Goods496.647.15.03.63.0
including:
Energy373.908.31.0-3.2-4.5
Food104.699.07.56.15.5

The year-on-year drop in energy prices of 4.5% had a particularly dampening effect on the rate of inflation in November 2023. A base effect due to the very high energy price level in the previous year applied here. In addition, food prices (+5.5%) did not rise as much in November 2023 as in the previous months.

Inflation Calculator for personal rate of inflation:

Consumers can use the Personal Inflation Calculator (only in German) of the Federal Statistical Office to adapt their monthly consumption expenditure on individual product groups according to their own consumption patterns and to calculate their personal inflation rate.

Methodological notes:

The consumer price index (CPI) and the harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) differ in coverage and methodology. In contrast to the HICP, the CPI also includes household expenditure on owner-occupied housing, games of chance and broadcasting fees. In addition, the HICP product weights are updated annually and past data are generally not revised (only in German). As the weight of housing is much smaller in the HICP basket, price increases in other product groups have a larger impact on the HICP than on the CPI.

More information:

The final results for November 2023 will be released on 8 December 2023.

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