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  • US Fed mulls more rate hikes amid banking uncertainty

    From brecorder.com

    American banks will be paying especially close attention to the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate decision on Wednesday, as the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) continues to reverberate through financial markets. The majority of futures traders predict the Fed will increase its benchmark lending rate by 25 basis points to a range of 4.75-5.00 percent, according to CME Group. That would be in line with the size of the US central bank’s previous rate hike in February, and mark the ninth increase since it began tightening monetary conditions last year in a bid to tackle rising inflation. But despite these ... (full story)

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  • Comment #1
  • Quote
  • Edited 8:13am Mar 22, 2023 7:38am | Edited 8:13am
  •  foto
  • Joined Jan 2007 | Status: Member | 2553 Comments
Fed is not going to confirm a bank crisis is underway by doing nothing.
They will signal that things are under control.

Still have much work to do on inflation. Even though monetary policy can not address supply constraints which have come from poor energy policies.

Until economy shows some real cracks they must stick with their current program.

Bank crisis is far from over as lending is falling evidenced by continued contraction in money supply.

add: am in camp of .25 rise but a cautionary statement about being watch full, but not a dovish outlook.
Market is priced too dovish on Fed at this point.

add#2 Yellen does not have statutory authority to put US Treasury behind a full backing of all deposits. Which is what it would take, even if she talks as if she did.
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  • Comment #2
  • Quote
  • Mar 22, 2023 8:40am Mar 22, 2023 8:40am
  •  Spik
  • | Joined Jul 2010 | Status: Senior member | 292 Comments
"Bank crisis is far from over as lending is falling evidenced by continued contraction in money supply."

Dunno. Money supply (with regard to market value) stabilized pretty well in the last 12 months or so:
https://en.macromicro.me/collections...e5000-to-us-m2
 
 
  • Comment #3
  • Quote
  • Mar 22, 2023 8:51am Mar 22, 2023 8:51am
  •  Banditten
  • Joined Sep 2019 | Status: Member | 1092 Comments
I need to go bad before it can be better. Problem is that as soon as something is breaking FED rushes to help with more QE.
 
 
  • Comment #4
  • Quote
  • Mar 22, 2023 9:06am Mar 22, 2023 9:06am
  •  Ferna
  • Joined Dec 2022 | Status: Member | 130 Comments
"Cohesive nationally owned sustainable development strategies, supported by integrated national+financing frameworks, will be at the heart of our efforts. We reiterate that each country has primary responsibility for its own economic and social development and that the role of national policies+and development strategies+cannot be overemphasized.We will respect each country’s policy space and leadership to implement policies for poverty eradication and sustainable development, while remaining consistent with relevant international rules and commitments.At the same time, national development efforts+need to be supported by an enabling international economic environment, including coherent and mutually supporting world trade, monetary and financial systems, and strengthened and enhanced global economic governance.Processes to develop and facilitate the availability of appropriate knowledge and technologies globally, as well as capacityJbuilding, are also critical. We commit to pursuing policy coherence and an enabling environment for sustainable development at all levels and by all actors, and to reinvigorating the Global Partnership for SustainableDevelopment."
Memories is all that remains…
 
 
  • Comment #5
  • Quote
  • Mar 22, 2023 9:07am Mar 22, 2023 9:07am
  •  Ferna
  • Joined Dec 2022 | Status: Member | 130 Comments
Hell of an approach to poverty eradication, by killing the poor.
Memories is all that remains…
 
 
  • Comment #6
  • Quote
  • Mar 22, 2023 10:53am Mar 22, 2023 10:53am
  •  DooPrimeClea
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Feb 2023 | 45 Comments
Quoting Ferna
Disliked
Hell of an approach to poverty eradication, by killing the poor.
Ignored
Keeping it 0 for way too long, the trick is to pull back as much and as much of that cash as possible, additionally new owners will appear to fill the GAP.
Starlink Return Today: 6.9%
 
 
  • Comment #7
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  • Mar 22, 2023 12:19pm Mar 22, 2023 12:19pm
  •  Ferna
  • Joined Dec 2022 | Status: Member | 130 Comments
Quoting DooPrimeClea
Disliked
{quote} Keeping it 0 for way too long, the trick is to pull back as much and as much of that cash as possible, additionally new owners will appear to fill the GAP.
Ignored
They want to crash the system and replace it with techno-feodalism.
Memories is all that remains…
 
 
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    • Older Stories  
    ‘Cannabis in Germany will be a success story’: Europe’s biggest economy moves closer to weed...

    From cnbc.com|Mar 22, 2023

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    USDJPY finds support ahead of FOMC, but bears still loom

    From xm.com|Mar 22, 2023

    USDJPY turned green ahead of Wednesday’s FOMC policy announcement, pivoting on the tentative support trendline that joins the lows from January and February on Tuesday. ...

    Scholz Advisers See German Economy Growing by 0.2% This Year

    From bnnbloomberg.ca|Mar 22, 2023

    Germany will likely avoid a contraction this year and is set to eke out growth of 0.2%, Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s advisers predicted, though they warned that the situation remains ...

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    UK inflation unexpectedly rises for first time in four months

    From monetamarkets.com|Mar 22, 2023|1 comment

    Asian equity markets are again up this morning following gains in US and European markets yesterday. That suggests markets are more hopeful that the recent problems revealed at ...

    ECB's Rehn: euro-area bank buffers more than double those of the debt crisis

    From @financialjuice|Mar 22, 2023|1 comment

    tweet at 8:12am: ECB'S REHN: EURO-AREA BANK BUFFERS MORE THAN DOUBLE THOSE OF THE DEBT CRISIS. tweet at 8:13am: ECB'S REHN: STRONG CAPITAL BUFFERS OF EURO-AREA BANKS ARE NOW ASSISTING.

    New Housing Price Index, February 2023

    From statcan.gc.ca|Mar 22, 2023

    The national index declined 0.2% month over month in February, following a similar decrease in January. The index has been down in five of the last six months. In February, prices ...

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  • Story Stats
  • Posted: Mar 22, 2023 7:03am
  • Submitted by:
     Newsstand
    Category: Fundamental Analysis
    Comments: 7  /  Views: 2,524
  • Linked events:
    USD Federal Funds Rate
    USD FOMC Statement
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