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  • How An Inverted Yield Curve Actually Amplifies A Recession As Banks Tighten Credit

    From speculatorsanonymous.com

    Back in August, I wrote about the deeply inverting U.S. yield curve and how it indicated deflation and slowing growth ahead (which is what we’ve seen). But – since then – I’ve seen media pundits shrug off any further downside. Or as it’s popularly termed now, “the economy is heading towards a soft landing.” I’ve seen respected analysts and pundits say things like: “Yield inversion doesn’t indicate anything anymore.” Or that, “in an era of quantitative easing (QE), inverted curves matter little.” Or my personal favorite, “this time will be different.” And while that is definitely a ... (full story)

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  • Comment #1
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  • Jan 24, 2023 8:02pm Jan 24, 2023 8:02pm
  •  Ftmofx
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Feb 2022 | 570 Comments | Online Now
USD is firming and is being more strong gradually
 
 
  • Comment #2
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  • Jan 24, 2023 8:10pm Jan 24, 2023 8:10pm
  •  2547
  • | Joined Jul 2022 | Status: Member | 28 Comments
Quoting Ftmofx
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USD is firming and is being more strong gradually
Ignored
yeah i expect sudden big news this week
 
 
  • Comment #3
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  • Jan 24, 2023 9:32pm Jan 24, 2023 9:32pm
  •  Steven1
  • Joined Jun 2012 | Status: Member | 64 Comments
Quoting Ftmofx
Disliked
USD is firming and is being more strong gradually
Ignored
USD is in a downtrend - how is it firming? talking rubbish. U don't get a hero medal for TRYING to call the bottom of a downtrend. Just plain stupid. Professional traders don't call the bottom of a trend - they instead ride the trend for all of its profits
here is the daily chart of the US dollar chart - in a clear downtrend for the last 3 months - moving averages clearly going down since November - it is not rocket science
I have been calling for the US dollar to go down for the last 3 months - amazing how many people trade against the trend - 99% of them will lose money doing that - basic maths
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  • Comment #4
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  • Jan 24, 2023 9:47pm Jan 24, 2023 9:47pm
  •  Ftmofx
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Feb 2022 | 570 Comments | Online Now
Quoting Steven1
Disliked
{quote} USD is in a downtrend - how is it firming? talking rubbish. U don't get a hero medal for TRYING to call the bottom of a downtrend. Just plain stupid. Professional traders don't call the bottom of a trend - they instead ride the trend for all of its profits here is the daily chart of the US dollar chart - in a clear downtrend for the last 3 months - moving averages clearly going down since November - it is not rocket science I have been calling for the US dollar to go down for the last 3 months - amazing how many people trade against the...
Ignored
I agree with as downtrend but go to the RSI day and weekly chart. USD/JPY has completed the Day and Weekly bearish chart now and starting a new wave in the day and weekly. RSI leg up now, then you will ugly comments.
 
 
  • Comment #5
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  • Jan 24, 2023 10:00pm Jan 24, 2023 10:00pm
  •  Steven1
  • Joined Jun 2012 | Status: Member | 64 Comments
Quoting Ftmofx
Disliked
{quote} I agree with as downtrend but go to the RSI day and weekly chart. USD/JPY has completed the Day and Weekly bearish chart now and starting a new wave in the day and weekly. RSI leg up now, then you will ugly comments.
Ignored
Why are u talking about the usd/yen??? In the first post above u said the USD is firming - that is not the usd/yen - the biggest component of the USD index is the euro at 55% of the USD index - the yen is nothing - so the yen should be left out of it - USD is the USD index basket
 
 
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    Consumer Price Index, Australia, December 2022

    From abs.gov.au|Jan 24, 2023|4 comments

    Key statistics: The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 1.9% this quarter. Over the twelve months to the December 2022 quarter, the CPI rose 7.8%. The most significant price rises ...

    Monthly Consumer Price Index Indicator, December 2022

    From abs.gov.au|Jan 24, 2023

    Key statistics: The monthly CPI indicator rose 8.4% in the twelve months to December. The most significant price rises were Housing (+10.1 per cent), Food and non-alcoholic ...

    How to position for USD weakness?

    From andreassteno.substack.com|Jan 24, 2023

    In this article we will let the data do most of the talking - exactly like we prefer - and briefly boil down the most striking conclusions, which we can extrapolate. We find that ...

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    Australian Dollar Jumps on Hot CPI Data. Where to for AUD/USD?

    From dailyfx.com|Jan 24, 2023

    The Australian Dollar made a 5-moNth high in the aftermath of headline CPI of 7.8% beating forecasts of 7.6% year-on-year to the end of December and against 7.3% previously. The ...

    UK Businesses Signal Output Fell at Sharpest Pace in Two Years

    From bnnbloomberg.ca|Jan 24, 2023

    Number of UK Firms Facing Collapse Jumps by Over a ThirdBritish companies signaled output dropped at the fastest pace since the start of the pandemic as the government budget ...

    Credit card summary

    From rbnz.govt.nz|Jan 24, 2023

    Key points for December 2022: • Seasonally adjusted domestic billings on New Zealand issued cards fell from $3.8 billion in November to $3.7 billion in December. • Seasonally ...

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  • Posted: Jan 24, 2023 7:40pm
  • Submitted by:
     MagicDonVito
    Category: Fundamental Analysis
    Comments: 5  /  Views: 589
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