XM does not provide services to residents of the United States of America.

Technical Analysis – AUDUSD consolidates as rebound falters near 200-day SMA



AUDUSD had been stuck in a steep downtrend since early March but managed to recoup some losses after bouncing at the 30-month low of 0.6169. However, the pair has been trading without clear direction in the last couple of daily sessions as its advance came to a halt at the 200-day simple moving average (SMA).

The momentum indicators are reflecting a loss of positive momentum. Specifically, the MACD histogram is softening but remains above both zero and its red signal line, while the RSI is pointing downwards in the positive territory.

Should buying pressures persist, the price could challenge the 200-day SMA, which temporarily rejected the pair’s recent advance. Conquering this barricade, further upside moves may cease at 0.7008 before the August high of 0.7136 comes under examination. Even higher, the June peak of 0.7282 might prove a tough obstacle for the price to overcome.

On the flipside, bearish actions could send the price to test the recent support of 0.6728. Sliding beneath that floor, the bears may aim at 0.6668 before the 0.6584 support appears on the radar. A break below the latter may trigger a retreat towards the 0.6546 resistance region.

Overall, AUDUSD appears ready to retest its recent rejection point as the short-term oscillators suggest that near-term risks remain tilted to the upside. Therefore, a break above the 200-day SMA could signal the resumption of the pair’s recovery.

Disclaimer: The XM Group entities provide execution-only service and access to our Online Trading Facility, permitting a person to view and/or use the content available on or via the website, is not intended to change or expand on this, nor does it change or expand on this. Such access and use are always subject to: (i) Terms and Conditions; (ii) Risk Warnings; and (iii) Full Disclaimer. Such content is therefore provided as no more than general information. Particularly, please be aware that the contents of our Online Trading Facility are neither a solicitation, nor an offer to enter any transactions on the financial markets. Trading on any financial market involves a significant level of risk to your capital.

All material published on our Online Trading Facility is intended for educational/informational purposes only, and does not contain – nor should it be considered as containing – financial, investment tax or trading advice and recommendations; or a record of our trading prices; or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instruments; or unsolicited financial promotions to you.

Any third-party content, as well as content prepared by XM, such as: opinions, news, research, analyses, prices and other information or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an “as-is” basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, it would be considered as marketing communication under the relevant laws and regulations. Please ensure that you have read and understood our Notification on Non-Independent Investment. Research and Risk Warning concerning the foregoing information, which can be accessed here.

Risk Warning: Your capital is at risk. Leveraged products may not be suitable for everyone. Please consider our Risk Disclosure.