What to make of USD/CHF at parity?
As James Knightley noted in his review of the September US CPI release, core inflation has not been this high since 1982. This suggests there will be no letup in the Fed's hawkish rhetoric and, consequently, markets are still searching for the terminal rate of this Fed hiking cycle. Those trying to pick a top in the cycle are continuing to be swept away. From pricing the Fed terminal rate at 4.45% barely two weeks ago, 23 March Fed fund futures now price the top near 4.90%. The poor inflation print saw some immediate bearish flattening of the US 2-10 year Treasury curve (US two-year Treasury yields are now 4.45% ... (full story)