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Here Is What's Behind Today's Stunning US Payrolls Beat
For those who only look at headlines, today's payrolls report was a veritable shock: coming in at 467K, it was almost 4x the consensus median expectation of 125K, and was orders of magnitude above Goldman's forecast of -250K. Putting the stunning, 3-sigma beat in context, it came above all 78 estimates, and was more than double the highest forecast of 225K from HSBC. Even more ludicrous were historical adjustments which saw December increased from 199K to 510K, November from 249K to 647K and so on. After all even CNBC - while interviewing labor secretary Marty Walsh - couldn't believe the BLS data, prompting the ... (full story)
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traderathome
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JotaP
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JotaP
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