-
Euro Surges Against US Dollar Despite Negative Rates
By mid-August the euro (EUR) rose to its highest level against the US dollar (USD) since May 2018 (Figure 1). There are several possible reasons for EUR’s strength: 1. Europe continues to enact fiscal stimulus measures. 2. Uncertainty over outcomes of the US elections in November. 3. Negative rates, paradoxically. 4. The course of the pandemic is diverging between the continents. chart During the initial phase of the pandemic response, Europe and the US followed a similar course when it came to fiscal policy -- government spending soared and tax receipts dwindled, deepening budget deficits to levels not seen ... (full story)