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Is The Market Underestimating Euro Area Inflation?
Core and headline inflation data in the euro area finished 2019 above the ECB’s forecasts, as seasonally adjusted measures of underlying inflation climbed to their highest levels since 2013. Many leading indicators suggest that the upside evident in underlying inflation at the end of last year could continue in 2020. Early January commentary from multiple ECB officials suggests that optimism is slowly building within the Governing Council. Despite the near-term improvement and cautious optimism from some within the ECB, markets remain decidedly sceptical that the move is sustainable. The ECB’s preferred ... (full story)
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