Informations rapides
8 March 2019
2019- n° 60
In January 2019, manufacturing output accelerated (+1.0%) Industrial production index - January 2019

In January 2019, output increased in the manufacturing industry (+1.0% after +0.4% in December) as well as in the whole industry (+1.3% after a stability).

Informations rapides
No 60
Paru le :Paru le08/03/2019
Prochaine parution le : 05/06/2024 at 08:45 - April 2024
Please note: Reviewing of the methodology of the industrial production indices

Since the implementation of the new basis 2015 in March 2018, the industrial production indices (IPI) are reviewed at the rate of one fifth of the series each year. This annual update will make it possible to improve the relevance of the IPI with regards to the evolution of technologies and production processes, by adapting the way of measuring a product, by including emerging products or, on the contrary, removing old products. The first annual review is implemented with this publication in march 2019. It has significantly improved the coverage of the industrial production index and has lead to introduce three new indices : Industrial manufacture of bread and fresh pastry, Manufacture of other articles of paper and paperboard and Pre-press and pre-media services. The adjusted series have been backward-reviewed from 2015. This can generate revisions on indices, even if they are rather moderate at an aggregated level. In parallel with this modification, SA-WDA models have been reestimated on a sub-period (since 2005) to adjust indices on the recent past, in order to provide improved fit and better robustness (SA-WDA models were until now estimated on the whole period, i.e. 1990 to 2019).

In January 2019, output increased in the manufacturing industry (+1.0% after +0.4% in December) as well as in the whole industry (+1.3% after a stability).

Manufacturing output went down over the last three months (−0.3%)

Manufacturing output went down over the last three months (−0.3%), as well as in industry as a whole (−0.4%).

Over the last three months, output decreased in “other manufacturing” (−0.9%), in mining and quarrying, energy, water supply (−0.9%) and in the manufacture of coke and refined petroleum products (−5.0%). It diminished sligthly in the manufacture of machinery and equipment goods (−0.3%) and in the manufacture of food products and beverages (−0.2%). Conversely, it grew in the manufacture of transport equipment (+2.5%).

Monthly Industrial Production Indices

Monthly Industrial Production Indices
(C1) (C3) (C4) (C5) CZ
2014-01 99.5 99.44 96.89 98.11 98.32
2014-02 100.86 102.11 96.52 100.2 99.99
2014-03 98.51 102.03 97.29 99.65 99.45
2014-04 100.61 99.3 97.74 99.93 99.59
2014-05 98.68 96.19 94.58 96.8 96.63
2014-06 99.11 100.06 99.05 98.89 99.04
2014-07 99.56 101.22 102.71 99.45 100.11
2014-08 98.74 94.44 99.7 98.75 98.21
2014-09 99.96 98.93 97.19 99.56 99.19
2014-10 98.92 97.18 97.58 97.94 97.93
2014-11 97.61 98.18 92.43 97.59 96.95
2014-12 99.18 103.5 98.58 98.67 99.47
2015-01 99.0 98.25 98.86 99.18 99.0
2015-02 98.24 97.3 102.12 99.44 99.38
2015-03 100.17 98.58 99.96 99.54 99.76
2015-04 99.74 99.82 96.92 99.79 99.41
2015-05 100.26 103.64 100.32 100.51 100.89
2015-06 100.78 102.44 99.61 99.47 100.02
2015-07 100.34 96.51 96.94 99.26 98.64
2015-08 99.76 100.72 102.78 99.89 100.25
2015-09 100.66 104.23 102.66 100.02 101.15
2015-10 100.4 101.68 102.14 99.89 100.6
2015-11 99.92 99.19 98.73 100.54 99.97
2015-12 100.73 97.63 98.96 102.48 100.93
2016-01 100.97 100.72 106.41 102.21 102.34
2016-02 99.89 101.05 105.15 99.98 100.84
2016-03 99.59 97.53 102.3 99.25 99.52
2016-04 98.22 99.48 108.04 99.96 100.77
2016-05 97.45 99.11 103.91 100.51 100.05
2016-06 97.27 96.48 104.29 99.35 98.95
2016-07 98.5 97.35 101.82 100.05 99.67
2016-08 99.46 102.01 105.15 101.32 101.62
2016-09 99.99 99.73 101.54 100.14 100.23
2016-10 99.2 97.19 104.31 98.57 99.31
2016-11 99.91 102.12 106.37 102.45 102.64
2016-12 99.87 99.6 104.46 100.62 100.94
2017-01 97.46 99.13 104.71 100.25 100.18
2017-02 99.27 101.3 103.76 101.32 101.18
2017-03 99.55 102.0 109.54 102.38 102.72
2017-04 98.74 102.96 102.55 102.27 101.81
2017-05 99.97 105.63 110.43 103.52 104.14
2017-06 99.87 103.54 106.45 102.62 102.85
2017-07 99.55 104.37 109.13 103.27 103.53
2017-08 100.05 102.17 115.61 102.03 103.48
2017-09 99.46 103.14 112.91 103.8 104.12
2017-10 99.11 107.77 112.82 105.43 105.59
2017-11 99.32 104.23 115.74 105.21 105.45
2017-12 97.94 107.39 113.4 106.07 105.78
2018-01 98.54 105.99 112.27 102.8 103.75
2018-02 98.25 104.78 108.2 103.29 103.26
2018-03 98.77 107.12 108.05 104.39 104.2
2018-04 99.0 103.35 113.13 103.91 104.03
2018-05 99.15 104.71 110.41 103.25 103.37
2018-06 98.14 103.98 114.15 103.89 104.18
2018-07 97.19 105.3 117.12 103.32 104.32
2018-08 97.97 105.61 112.73 104.58 104.61
2018-09 96.39 103.34 111.89 103.57 103.37
2018-10 97.31 106.74 111.76 104.58 104.52
2018-11 96.03 104.45 114.17 102.9 103.28
2018-12 97.24 102.14 117.12 103.06 103.67
2019-01 97.75 108.13 113.38 104.04 104.71
  • Légend: CZ: Manufacturing - (C1): Manufacture of food products and beverages - (C3): Machinery and equipment goods - (C4): Manufacture of transport equipment - (C5): Other manufacturing.

Monthly Industrial Production Indices

  • Légend: CZ: Manufacturing - (C1): Manufacture of food products and beverages - (C3): Machinery and equipment goods - (C4): Manufacture of transport equipment - (C5): Other manufacturing.
  • Sources: INSEE, SSP, SDES.

Over a year, manufacturing output diminished (−1.1%)

Manufacturing output of the last three months diminished compared to the same three months a year ago (−1.1%), as well as the output in the whole industry (−1.0%).

Over a year, output also decreased in “other manufacturing” (−1.3%), in the manufacture of food products and beverages (−1.6%), in the manufacture of machinery and equipment goods (−0.9%), in coke and refined petroleum products (−7.9%) and in mining and quarrying, energy, water supply (−0.4%). On the contrary, it increased in the manufacture of transport equipment (+1.0%).

Variation in the Industrial Production

2015 based, SA–WDA changes in %
Variation in the Industrial Production (2015 based, SA–WDA changes in %)
NA : A10, (A17) Janv. / Dec. Dec. / Nov. Q–o-Q change (1) Year-on-year change (2)
BE: INDUSTRY 1.3 0.0 –0.4 –1.0
CZ: Manufacturing 1.0 0.4 –0.3 –1.1
(C1): Manufacture of food products and beverages 0.5 1.3 –0.2 –1.6
(C2): Manufacture of coke and refined petroleum products 4.4 4.1 –5.0 –7.9
(C3): Machinery and equipment goods 5.9 –2.2 –0.3 –0.9
(C4): Manufacture of transport equipment –3.2 2.6 2.5 1.0
(C5): Other manufacturing 1.0 0.2 –0.9 –1.3
DE: Mining and quarrying; energy; water supply; waste management 3.1 –2.2 –0.9 –0.4
FZ: CONSTRUCTION –5.4 3.7 0.0 0.0
  • The codes correspond to the level of aggregation A 10 (A 17) of the "NA" aggregated classification based on the French classification of activities NAF rev.2.
  • (1) Last three months / previous three months
  • (2) Last three months / same three months of previous year
  • Sources : Insee, SSP, SDES

In January, output bounced back in machinery and equipment goods (+5.9% after −2.2%)

Output bounced back in the manufacture of computer, electronic and optical products (+8,3% after –1.4%), in that of machinery and equipment n.e.c. (+5.1% after −3.2%) and in that of electrical equipment (+2.6% after –1.9%).

Output bounced back in mining and quarrying; energy; water supply (+3.1% after −2.2%)

Output bounced back particularly thanks to electric power generation, transmission and distribution (+3.4% after −2.5%).

Output accelerated in “other manufacturing” (+1.0% after +0.2%)

Output bounced back markedly in other manufacturing, repair and installation of machinery and equipment (+8.4% after −8.1%). It went up in the manufacture of basic metals and fabricated metal products (+0.9% after +0.2%), in the manufacture of wood, paper and printing industries (+1.1% after a virtual stability) and in the manufacture of textiles, wearing apparel, leather and related products (+1.2% after +2.1%). On the contrary, it went down in pharmaceuticals (−10.0% after +10.3%) and in manufacturing of rubber and plastics products, and other non-metallic mineral products (−0.4% after +2.3%).

Output increased again in the manufacture of food products and beverages (+0.5% after +1.3%)

Output went up moderately. It increased in the manufacture of bakery and farinaceous products and in the processing and preserving of fish, crustaceans and molluscs whereas it fell in the manufacture of dairy products.

Output kept increasing in petroleum and refined products (+4.4% after +4.1%)

Output continued to increase in petroleum and refined products.

Output slipped back in the manufacture of transport equipment (−3.2% after +2.6%)

Output dropped back in the manufacture of other transport equipment (−8.0% after +2.7%). Conversely, it accelerated in that of motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers (+3.2% after +2.4%).

Revisions

Going with this publication, some adjustments in the computation process have been made (see note). As a consequence, revisions are higher than usual.

Variation in the Industrial Production

2015 based, SA-WDA changes in %
Variation in the Industrial Production (2015 based, SA-WDA changes in %)
NA : A10, (A17), [A38 or A64] Jan. 2018 Jan. / Dec. Dec. / Nov. Quarter-on-quarter change
BE: INDUSTRY 104.1 1.3 0.0 –0.4
CZ: Manufacturing 104.7 1.0 0.4 –0.3
(C1): Man. of food products and beverages 97.8 0.5 1.3 –0.2
(C2): Man. of coke and refined petroleum products 96.3 4.4 4.1 –5.0
(C3): Machinery and equipment goods 108.1 5.9 –2.2 –0.3
[CI] Man. of computer, electronic and optical products 116.1 8.3 –1.4 –0.3
[CJ] Man. of electrical equipment 100.0 2.6 –1.9 1.5
[CK] Man. of machinery and equipment n.e.c. (1) 104.9 5.1 –3.2 –1.2
(C4): Man. of transport equipment 113.4 –3.2 2.6 2.5
[CL1] Man. of motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers 115.3 3.2 2.4 2.3
[CL2] Man. of other transport equipment 111.9 –8.0 2.7 2.6
(C5): Other manufacturing 104.0 1.0 0.2 –0.9
[CB] Man. of textiles, wearing apparel, leather and related products 98.9 1.2 2.1 1.1
[CC] Man. of wood and paper products; printing and reproduction of recorded media 100.5 1.1 0.0 –1.1
[CE] Man. of chemicals and chemical products 105.5 0.0 3.3 –2.0
[CF] Man. of basic pharmaceutical products and pharmaceutical preparations 106.7 –10.0 10.3 2.5
[CG] Man. of rubber and plastics products, and other nonmetallic mineral products 105.0 –0.4 2.3 –1.6
[CH] Man. of basic metals and fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment 103.7 0.9 0.2 –1.5
[CM] Other manufacturing; repair and installation of machinery and equipment 103.8 8.4 –8.1 –0.9
DE: Mining and quarrying; energy; water supply; waste management 100.9 3.1 –2.2 –0.9
[BZ] Mining and quarrying 103.7 –3.1 5.8 –1.9
[DZ] Electricity, gas, steam and air-conditioning supply 101.3 3.4 –2.5 –0.6
[EZ] Water supply; sewerage, waste management and remediation 94.9 2.9 –3.3 –4.2
FZ: CONSTRUCTION 100.7 –5.4 3.7 0.0
MIGs (2)
Capital goods 109.7 3.3 –2.5 0.4
Intermediate goods 102.6 0.7 1.2 –1.1
Consumer durables 101.4 2.6 3.8 0.8
Consumer non-durables 99.1 –2.3 3.2 –0.2
Energy 100.4 3.4 –2.2 –1.2
  • (1) n.e.c. : not elsewhere classifiable
  • 2) Main industrial groupings: definition in Commission regulation EC of 14 June 2007
  • Sources : Insee, SSP, SDES

Revision of variations

(in percentage point)
Revision of variations ((in percentage point))
Dec./ Nov. Nov./ Oct. Oct. / Sept. Q4 2018 / Q3 2018 2018 / 2017
Industry (BE) –0.84 0.43 –0.36 –0.02 –0.24
raw serie 0.22 0.50 0.36 0.60 –0.08
SA-WDA parameters –1.06 –0.07 –0.72 –0.62 –0.16
Manufacturing (CZ) –0.58 0.36 –0.42 0.14 –0.24
raw serie 0.23 0.42 0.32 0.47 –0.05
SA–WDA parameters –0.81 –0.06 –0.74 –0.33 –0.19
  • How to read it: in the manufacturing sector, the SA–WDA variation between October 2018 and November 2018 is revised by −0.14 points, −0.14 points are due to the revision of the raw series and 0.00 points to the updating of the SA–WDA parameters.
  • Sources : Insee, SSP, SDES

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