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  #1  
Old Jun 1, 2010 11:53am
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Default ALF revisited - simple, effective daytrading

Why a new thread?

1. The original (over 1000 posts) is too long - discouraging for new participants.

2. The ALF method is herein improved and simplified. It will be more effective over different timeframes without the need to modify indicator settings.

Currency Pair And Timeframe:

Any pair, any timeframe.

What is ALF?

Adaptive Laguerre Filter - an indicator created by John Ehlers (www.mesasoftware.com). It is a superior overbought/oversold tool. There is a free technical paper at Ehlers' website entitled "Time Warp Without Space Travel" which you may download if you really want to know the gory details.

A few thread requests:

Let us refrain from discussing repainting - nothing I post here repaints any candle other than the current one. Period.

Some who followed the original thread will want to try comparing the TVI candles from that thread to the Fractal Candles introduced here. Go ahead, but please don't post screenshots of comparisons in this thread.

Entries, Exits, and Stops:

Entry Guidelines:

Best to trade with the prevailing trend (if there is one). Look at ALF - if it is significantly higher now than it was at the left side of the chart, trend is up, vice-versa for down. If it is about the same, market is ranging.

Do not trade when ALF is flat and PA is cycling back and forth through ALF in a narrow range (20-30 pips or less).

Enter on an open above/below ALF. PA should be appearing to pull away (or peel away) from ALF with candle range increasing over prior bars. The only exception to this is a large one-candle move through ALF - best to ambush this and not wait for the candle to close.

Stop Guidelines:

A few pips on the opposite side of ALF is generally a good place to set stops.

Exit Guidelines:

There are 3 possibilities.

1. PA re-connects with ALF. This is a good exit for trades in which ALF bends in the direction of the trade.

2. A candle of another color. An optional exit for shorter trades when ALF does not begin to follow PA.

3. Because you have a "feeling" about the trade, or the market is jumpy, you have gained 10-15 pips and would like to keep it.

What is Fractal_Candles_SR_v3 and what is it measuring?

Go here http://ta.mql4.com/indicators/bills/fractal or read Chapter 8 of "Trading Chaos" by Bill Williams - support and resistance as delineated by Williams Fractals is what Fractal_Candles is measuring. There are no moving averages involved - only Price Action.

Bars are colored based on the direction expected by the indicator. When bars are not colored they may be thought of as "wait and see" bars. Use common sense with these, however, and don't turn a win into a loss.

Indicators and template posted below:

Download and copy ALF.ex4 and Fractal_Candles_SR_v3.ex4 to the yourmt4/ experts/indicators folder and ALF_SR.tpl to the yourmt4/templates folder.

Will there be alerts?

Yes - there will be visual, audible and email alerts as soon as I determine the best way to implement them. Be patient.

If you find this thread to be interesting and helpful, don't forget to vote for it - not to gratify my ego but to attract more participants.
Attached Files
File Type: ex4 ALF.ex4 (4.9 KB, 322 views)
File Type: mq4 Fractal_Candles_SR_v3.mq4 (3.5 KB, 103 views)
File Type: ex4 Fractal_Candles_SR_v3.ex4 (6.7 KB, 79 views)
File Type: tpl ALF_SR.tpl (1.7 KB, 76 views)
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Last edited by Lou G, Jun 9, 2010 4:41pm (42 hr ago) Reason: new indicator
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  #4  
Old Jun 1, 2010 12:08pm
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Default Forgot the screenshot...

Looks pretty much like the original method - but it's not. It's better.

Try the TF of your choice...
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  #7  
Old Jun 1, 2010 12:24pm
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Default Why are some candles not green or red?

These are points of ambiguity (retracements or outright reversals) in PA - can be used as exits if you choose to do so.
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  #8  
Old Jun 1, 2010 12:27pm
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Default May I enter on color change...

... alone and not wait for cross of ALF?

Sure, if you are feeling adventurous

Put in some screen time first to get a feel for when this will work to your advantage.
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  #10  
Old Jun 1, 2010 1:11pm
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Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by cspip View Post
Is it the same indys or new and improved ?
ALF.ex4 is the same - ALF_Candles.ex4 is new and improved.
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  #12  
Old Jun 1, 2010 1:31pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cspip View Post
Can I post this version? I've added a shift para so it can be shifted right....
.....helps to keep in the trade that little bit longer

Does it really make that much difference? I assume it must work for you. I have no real objection but I always like to see the method tried as is before introducing modifications...
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  #16  
Old Jun 1, 2010 1:42pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by gopsat77 View Post
We have to wait for the candle to close for entry on color.
That's right?
Maybe - depends on the range of the candle and how active the market is. This is a judgment call - I would not wait for a 20-30+ pip candle to close before jumping on board. You can always exit with a small loss if PA turns against you...
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  #17  
Old Jun 1, 2010 1:54pm
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Default Pippo, RE: your May results

Saw your post on the original thread - astounding results!

Check this chart - month of May using the ALF_Candle on H4:
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  #21  
Old Jun 1, 2010 3:34pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by teknoesen View Post
Hi Lou,

is the short EURUSD on 15 min a valid entry? I guess the time of day is not ideal, but I enetered short on the break of previous low of 1.2258.

Eddie
Time of day is not ideal but it appears to be working out okay - don't expect huge profits, absent news to drive PA.

ALF_Candles will keep track of S/R for you so no need to second-guess it.

At first sign of reversal, grab the pips and get out...

See chart below - all good entries:
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  #22  
Old Jun 1, 2010 3:37pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by vince View Post
Hi. I'm new to this, can you please post some screenshots with enter/exit points. Thank you
Stick around - if this thread is anything like the first one, there will be many examples.
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  #24  
Old Jun 1, 2010 3:51pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Pippopotamus View Post
very hard not to make money trading Euro. However,witness the GBP results to understand the importance of diversity. I am convinced that ALF needs but very little filtering to be traded profitably...There are limits to the extent to which we can refine our entries/exits. We are working with a discontinuous function. I believe these limits are approachable by the simplest of techniques...As we do...We buy when price is going up. We sell when price is going down. The rest is up to the idiosyncrasies of PA, and trade mgt. Pippo ps. The,"Month of Trades,"...
True enough - Euro in May was like the fish in the proverbial barrel. Still, we shall see what happens if no more EU member nations go belly up...
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  #28  
Old Jun 1, 2010 3:59pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by teknoesen View Post
I took rofit at +10 pips. Where can i 'learn' a bit more about PA or will that only come with screentime?
Basically, with screen time but there are many books and articles on the subject. Google "Japanese candle interpretation" - you'll get a ton of results.

Looks like your trade was eventually good for 20+ but I am certainly not second-guessing you - 10 pips is always good...
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  #29  
Old Jun 1, 2010 4:03pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by howard View Post
I do not see any ALF candles on my chart which has black background, only the ALF line, any body knows why?
See post #1 - download and copy the indicators and template as directed. Then put the template on your chart from the icon on the right end of the MT4 toolbar.
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  #30  
Old Jun 1, 2010 4:08pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by evynsdad View Post
Lou, how do the candles keep track of S/R?
Everyone always wants to know what's up the magician's sleeve

Basically, by analyzing Bill Williams fractals as they develop, the indicator can infer price action. Best to read chapter 8 of the book suggested in post #1 but you can find a good explanation by googling "williams fractals".
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  #33  
Old Jun 1, 2010 4:29pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Pippopotamus View Post
In post #21 one of the red ALF candles referred to as a good entry closed above ALF. I thought a red close below ALF was needed for a qualified short entry.
It's actually possible to anticipate the ALF cross with the new indicator and get away with it, believe it or not.

Still, your point is well-taken. I should stay with a more conservative approach until everyone gets on track
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  #37  
Old Jun 1, 2010 4:49pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by gopsat77 View Post
Tell us something about re-entry Lou G
See the chart. Entry at down arrow, exit at the X (or when next bar shows green), re-enter at the down arrow as shown. A similar pattern occurs twice more in subsequent bars.
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  #40  
Old Jun 1, 2010 4:56pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by evynsdad View Post
Are you saying that, if the candle is either red or green, there is no need to look at support and resistance levels? Or am I misunderstanding?
You are not misunderstanding - the indicator does look at S/R levels and candles will change color when the levels are breached.

Color change also occurs at reversal and retracement points.

Put the attached indicator on your chart - it's a huge clue to how ALF_Candles does what it does.
Attached Files
File Type: ex4 Fractals.ex4 (7.7 KB, 80 views)
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  #41  
Old Jun 1, 2010 4:57pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Pippopotamus View Post
M15 trade...I have added my fetish...6 pd. Price Channel to help decide PA.
Excellent trade...
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  #42  
Old Jun 1, 2010 4:59pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cce View Post
Excellent upgrade...way to stay with the project...Look forward to your continued posts as well as those of others as this thread progresses...
Took a little trade during off hours after I got home from work...played out further than 6 pips but I was scalping after all...
Great addition to the candles...
Thanks much...
Cliff
Another good one...
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  #45  
Old Jun 1, 2010 5:16pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pbb View Post
Hi Lou,

Was with your prior thread from the beginning and really liked the way you managed that, just so straight forward. I am looking forward following this revisited thread and will reread a bit from "Trading Chaos" by Bill Williams (that's been a while). I have not been so great at posting charts myself, see if with the start of this new thread can change that!

Great to see you back so soon again!

pbb
"Trading Chaos" is his best, IMHO.
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  #52  
Old Jun 1, 2010 5:50pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tbone View Post
Thanks. You did have an outstanding trade! However, my problem is that I probably would have taken the short. I guess the thing that the long had going for it was that it broke previous highs while the short didn't break previous lows.
Why is it a problem if you did take the short? Looks like a small loss, which is then more than offset by a 177 pip win.
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  #55  
Old Jun 1, 2010 5:55pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by roachroach View Post
I also would have taken this trade. I just can't seem to recognize good trade signals with this system. I keep seeing a lot of signals turning into losers. Or maybe I'm missing something here... Too bad for me!

Great pips to everyone!
To you I say the same as I just did to tbone - your wins will exceed your losses. I know you must also have seen the signal Pippo refers to - 177 pips is HUGE.

Be patient, people! Put in that screen time that I continually rant about and all will become clear.
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  #59  
Old Jun 1, 2010 6:15pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dreamliner View Post
Much whipsaw around the blue line. If all you do is go short on a red candlestick below the blue, and long on a green candlestick above, you get whipsawed badly.
At times that's true. In the original thread I made a point of cautioning members to avoid trading when ALF is horizontal and PA is in a small trading range. I have not mentioned that here yet only because most of the folks posting here were also a part of the earlier thread but I will get around to it in fairly short order.
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  #62  
Old Jun 1, 2010 6:20pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by desi View Post
Thanks Lou for this simple system.
My question what is the initial SL you use for say 15m, 30m TF or you be in front of your screen and use your discretion?
I've used a 20 pip stop on M15 for quite a while with good results - I can't suggest what to use for other TFs.

Ideally, stops should be placed just above/below the last PA turning point but should not exceed 1-2% of account balance. Hope this helps.
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  #64  
Old Jun 1, 2010 6:25pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Orcinus View Post
Thank you!


Just took a 22 pips trade, new order open at trendline break. What do you guy's think about the entries? I'm looking for 20 pips + spread for now. Not the bets time to trade, but it felt good.
Looks good to me - terrible time of day to trade most of the time but very lively today for some reason.
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  #65  
Old Jun 1, 2010 6:37pm
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Default A whipsaw warning...

.. from Dreamliner (a few posts back).

DO NOT trade when ALF is flat and PA looks like this. Wait for PA to "peel away" from ALF.
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  #70  
Old Jun 1, 2010 7:44pm
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In addition, the desirability of trading with the larger trend has not been mentioned here (yet), although it was mentioned often in the original thread. We'll get there soon, I'm sure.
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  #96  
Old Jun 2, 2010 7:08am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by rnfuller102 View Post
Hi, Lou,
I would like to be able to change your default color and width settings on the ALF Candles Indicator and would be grateful if you could make that adjustment. I like the flexibility that would allow. Since I usually use lime green up candles and red down candles, your medium sea green and red with 5 width shows little or no contrast.
Thanks,
Raymond
You can change the colors and width to whatever you like:

press ctrl+i, highlight indicator in the box, click edit, click the inputs tab and change the settings...
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  #98  
Old Jun 2, 2010 7:37am
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Default When I am always around...

My primary trading hours are from 12:00gmt-16:00gmt (the overlap of London/New York) so I will always be here to answer questions and comment on your posts during that time.

During the next day or two I plan to address entry, stop and exit guidelines. I will write an individual post for each topic and also create a new section in Post #1 reiterating the same info so that Post #1 will always contain all pertinent information.

I'll also post "textbook" trade setups as they appear, primarily for winning trades because I don't think showing losing trades is helpful (though I may also post a loser or two).

I trade the EU exclusively but, as was demonstrated by many in the original thread, ALF works equally well with any pair - there were even a few good trades posted by a member who was trading oil futures.

I try to respond to all questions/problems so, if I do not respond immediately to a post, have patience - I'll get to it.

Consider this post a blanket "you're welcome" to all who have thanked me for my efforts - if you are following this thread, I do appreciate your participation.

Lou G
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  #102  
Old Jun 2, 2010 7:43am
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Default EU very volatile...

... so far today. Try dropping down to M5 on days like this and lowering your profit expectations.
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  #108  
Old Jun 2, 2010 7:58am
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Default Entry guidelines

Do not trade when ALF is flat and PA is cycling back and forth through ALF in a narrow range (20-30 pips or less).

Enter on an open above/below ALF with corresponding candle color. PA should be appearing to pull away (or peel away) from ALF with candle range increasing over prior bars. The only exception to this is a large one-candle move through ALF - best to ambush this and not wait for the candle to close.

I've marked 5 good entries on the chart below, 3 wins, 2 losses. This method is not 100% mechanical - pattern recognition is essential, thus my continual references to "screen time". Wait for good setups.
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  #109  
Old Jun 2, 2010 8:11am
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Default Stops

RE: the chart in Post #108:

A few pips on the opposite side of ALF is generally a good place to set stops.

Stops for retracements may need to be handled differently - I'll dig into that in a separate post.
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  #111  
Old Jun 2, 2010 8:15am
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Default Not a good trade...

Note the overall downtrend at this time - the last two moves of ALF are down with lower highs. Not a good time for a long trade.
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  #112  
Old Jun 2, 2010 8:34am
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Default Textbook short

This may turn out well:
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  #113  
Old Jun 2, 2010 8:46am
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Default Take profit

25-30 pips taken. Note long wicks, trade flattens out...
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  #114  
Old Jun 2, 2010 8:52am
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Default Is everyone with me?

RE: previous trade:

Essential to stay alert in jumpy markets - take a reasonable profit when it appears. This trade was good for minimum 10-15 pips, more if you were paying attention...
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  #116  
Old Jun 2, 2010 8:59am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by balle1973 View Post
I took +11 in the same trade.

Thanks once again
Good call - candle just went red again so possible re-entry - I did not take it.
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  #117  
Old Jun 2, 2010 9:06am
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Default Exits

RE: the current EU M5 chart:

A good time to talk about exits. There are 3 possibilities.

1. PA re-connects with ALF. This is a good exit for trades in which ALF bends in the direction of the trade.

2. A candle of another color. An optional exit for shorter trades when ALF does not begin to follow PA.

3. Because you have a "feeling" about the trade, or (as in today's case) the market is jumpy, you have gained 10-15 pips and would like to keep it.
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  #119  
Old Jun 2, 2010 9:08am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by evynsdad View Post
Right with you. Took +22 pips
Nice going. This is a tough day - no news to push things so take what the market gives you.
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  #120  
Old Jun 2, 2010 9:13am
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Default Okay, that trade is...

... officially over as PA/ALF meet. 1.2207 - 1.2193 equals +12 pips net spread, much more if you were on the case as it was happening.
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  #122  
Old Jun 2, 2010 9:24am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by driftwood View Post
Took 25pips with u LouG but on 15m.
Still looking both old and new for now.
+25 is good. You will gain confidence as you compare old/new - new is better

Share your M15 chart to help others.

Anyone confused about that last trade, speak up...
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  #123  
Old Jun 2, 2010 9:31am
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Default Is anyone long now?

If you are long at 1.2201 or so, I can't blame you - it looks good. Candle went green at that price.

Those more conservative will wait for an upturn in ALF to indicate a trend change.
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  #125  
Old Jun 2, 2010 9:40am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by balle1973 View Post
I am long now but I plan to take only +5 this time.
Long was counter-trend, IMHO - I did not bite, but those who did should do no worse than break even.

+5 is smart...
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  #126  
Old Jun 2, 2010 10:00am
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News coming in - hang loose...
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  #128  
Old Jun 2, 2010 10:41am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by rootkit View Post
Thanks very much for bringing us this simple and great system!!

Just curious about black/white bars? what's their indication/meaning?

thanks!
See post #7
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  #129  
Old Jun 2, 2010 10:45am
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Default Too volatile for me

Normally, I trade right up to the London close (90 minutes from now) but I'm officially hanging it up for today.

I will do a daily postmortem at 16:00 gmt...

Speaking of which, all references to the time of bars will be GMT - if your broker's server differs from this, be sure to calculate the offset so we can all be on the same page with bar references...
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  #133  
Old Jun 2, 2010 11:46am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by makka View Post
I have now removed the 2 x EX4 files - and metatrader works fine

Are there any incompatibilty issues with these EX4 files?
None reported. If you are absolutely positive that the ex4s were in the correct folder, you might want to google "mt4 windows 7 problems" and see if anyone has mentioned trouble.
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  #135  
Old Jun 2, 2010 11:53am
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Default 6/2/10 postmortem

One good trade today - 12:25 GMT, M5 EU short at 1.2207, profit between 12-30 pips depending on your trade management skills.

Not a bad day but not a good one either, just okay.

Shift your chart to D1 and notice the triple bottom forming - could this be the end of the downtrend? We'll see...
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  #137  
Old Jun 2, 2010 11:58am
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Default makka - one vote for windows 7

Quote:
Originally Posted by bbolss View Post
i have win 7 and all works fine
Well, time to be sure ex4s were in this folder:

yourmt4/experts/indicators

where "yourmt4" is the name of the folder where your broker has installed MT4.

Template goes in yourmt4/templates (NOT yourmt4/experts/templates).
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  #139  
Old Jun 2, 2010 12:52pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bpips View Post
My first ALF trade. Although pretty flat action I saw more buyers than sellers...nice set up +21 for this trade. Cant wait for more pips...
Nice work.
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  #142  
Old Jun 2, 2010 1:29pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MoneyMaker View Post
I'm liking what I see and how simple the method seems.
I'm looking forward to forward testing this.

What other times of day has this been used successfully on?

MM
Best used between 08:00 - 16:00 GMT. Some days the Asian open (00:00 - 04:00 GMT) is good as well - I usually check it to see if there is activity.
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  #159  
Old Jun 2, 2010 4:14pm
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Originally Posted by bnbb2004 View Post
Hi Lou!

Could you please tell me why you entered on the first down trade? I see that it's a red candle (close to ALF), but it looks like it initially may have started out green and then turned red. Could you please clarify this entry for me? TIA!
It would have been non-red for a few pips until it surpassed the preceding low when it would have become red. That would have been the entry point.

One of the things in my job jar is to implement split candles (bi-colored) to show actual entry points but it's lower in priority than a few other things.

Actually that example wasn't a part of a live trade - I just happened to pick that part of the chart to illustrate pullbacks/re-entries.
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  #164  
Old Jun 2, 2010 4:41pm
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Originally Posted by k2kv View Post
Thanks Lou,

Very nicely done, and looks like something we can all understand!

I would love to see more detail on exit strategy (my typical nemesis).

Thanks again for putting in so much time.

Happy pipping...
See post #117.
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  #165  
Old Jun 2, 2010 4:43pm
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Originally Posted by teknoesen View Post
HI Lou,

Took this short, however, ALF was still pointing upwards. (which I only realized after entering)

Will you regard this as a valid trade?

Rgds
Eddie
Yes. Slope of ALF is not a factor in this case.
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  #166  
Old Jun 2, 2010 5:03pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by f4mnect View Post
nice 689 pip spike on fxdd
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  #167  
Old Jun 2, 2010 6:15pm
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Default Post #1 updated

As promised, I've added sections to Post #1 on the topics Entries, Exits and Stops.

They're short but to the point (this is, after all, a simple method) and I will add to them as appropriate.
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  #180  
Old Jun 3, 2010 9:36am
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Default Another day of this?

I spent the last 15 minutes trying different TF's to see what looks the most tradeworthy. Guess I'll stick with M15 for now.

As everyone knows, tomorrow is NFP day (my least favorite trading day). I probably won't place many trades today or tomorrow but will be hanging around to answer questions...
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  #181  
Old Jun 3, 2010 9:39am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bpips View Post
Im 10 piping eu to death here...I think I like this method...
Not a bad way to trade in such a jumpy market...
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  #182  
Old Jun 3, 2010 9:40am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ido370 View Post
should be a valid setup right?
Attachment 484407

i mean the last short ofcourse
Sure, and so was the long before that.
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  #183  
Old Jun 3, 2010 9:42am
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Default More news...

... coming in 20 minutes. I'll wait and see what happens.
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  #184  
Old Jun 3, 2010 9:51am
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Default While we have some time on our hands...

... has everyone who has had platform/indicator issues gotten them resolved?

I hate seeing a post that says "the indicators don't appear" followed by a half dozen members riding to the rescue, followed by .......... nothing!

If you are having trouble getting the setup working, speak now.
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  #187  
Old Jun 3, 2010 9:56am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by evynsdad View Post
Lou G, do you look/trust to see what effect the news has on the market by price action, or do you try to follow a gut instinct?
Sort of gut instinct, based on a few years of watching my stops being taken out on NFP day only to have the trade turn good a moment later...
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  #188  
Old Jun 3, 2010 10:02am
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Default Entry guideline number one, in action

I posted some entry guidelines in Post #1

This is an example of when not to trade:
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  #190  
Old Jun 3, 2010 10:29am
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Default What's behind the curtain?

The two indicators posted below are the ones I used to develop the ALF_Candles indicator. They will help you understand why the indicator colors the candles the way it does.

The diamond shapes are Williams Fractals - the lines connecting them are therefore assumed to be S/R levels.

Note that when the indicator sees the first half of a fractal, it assumes that an actual fractal will occur (until proven otherwise). This is why the S/R lines track trends closely when they occur and remain the same when PA reverses.

At a fractal point one of two things will happen - PA will reverse or continue in the previous direction. ALF_Candles attempts to anticipate PA based on this behavior. It's not always right (what is?) but it's right a lot of the time, which is all we need to make pips.

Try not to post trades using these indicators - I'd like to keep the presentation of the method as simple as possible - but use them as much as you want to understand how ALF_Candles works.

Have fun...
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File Type: ex4 Fractals.ex4 (7.7 KB, 68 views)
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  #192  
Old Jun 3, 2010 10:41am
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Default A good short

Candle turned red at the line - enter there and see what happens
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  #194  
Old Jun 3, 2010 10:45am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MoneyMaker View Post
Out with +20
Nice trade - a bit hard to read the charts though, even when they are expanded...
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  #195  
Old Jun 3, 2010 10:50am
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Default And get out

Exit when the candle turns green - +25-30 pips - you can always re-enter if this turns out to be a retracement...
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  #197  
Old Jun 3, 2010 11:06am
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Default When ALF changes direction...

... curving up/down, it is busy deciding where parity is between overbought/oversold. eventually it will find that point, PA will cross and we'll start over again.
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  #198  
Old Jun 3, 2010 11:11am
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Has everyone with questions read the Entry, Exit and Stop guidelines in Post #1?

The exit from my previous trade exemplified Exit Guidelines 2 and 3:

I felt that 25-30 pips was enough for right now (guideline 3) and candle went green (guideline 2).

Speak up if you don't get it - we'll kick it around some more.
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  #201  
Old Jun 3, 2010 11:24am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by k2kv View Post
Lou,

On your last trade, did you enter when the first candle turned red below the ALF? Or, did you enter on the third candle, after price went back up to the line and came back down?

Just trying to get a better sense of how you're seeing things.

Been profitable thus far, thanks for your efforts!

Thanks!
See post #192 - entry when the candle turned red (below support). Had you entered two bars earlier (on M15) a 20 pip stop just above ALF would have been enough to save the trade.

Glad you're being profitable...
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  #202  
Old Jun 3, 2010 11:27am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by forexweasel View Post
Hey lou, +85 today using the old indies on m30. I have a question: can the settings on alf candles be changed? I am using 5/12/12 on the old indie, I don't see the settings on the new one. thanks.

fw
Nope - that's the advantage. I have freed myself from the tyranny of fixed periods. The new indicator responds only to PA, which is why your chart can now be shifted between TF's without tinkering with settings.
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  #205  
Old Jun 3, 2010 11:38am
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Originally Posted by Mombone View Post
Lou

If I missed this forgive me. I know there is no repainting issues with candles. You say when candle turns red enter short. If in same candle price moves back up won't current candle change back to different color? I guess what I'm saying is that you don't wait for candle close
Yes, that can happen - it's the nature of Forex. PA can always turn against you. That's where vigilance and trade management enter the equation.

If you are in profit and get that "bad feeling", take some pips and run.
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  #206  
Old Jun 3, 2010 11:42am
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Default Retracement (or not)

Here's a good example of a possible retracement using the previous short trade (still in progress).

If you entered at the first blue arrow, you have a small profit but it's in jeopardy.

Better to wait and see if the candle indicated by the second arrow goes below support and turns red.

Or, assuming you entered as mentioned, take the +10-15 and close it out - your choice.
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  #209  
Old Jun 3, 2010 11:57am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by NewbieFxFx View Post
Hello Lou G,

I don't have the same colors, I don't know why. And as colors are important to decide whether or not to enter...
Here is my chart on EUR/USD 15m using Alpari UK.

Thanks for your help.
They look the same to me (in the area we're analyzing). Expand your chart one click so the charts are on the same scale...
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  #210  
Old Jun 3, 2010 12:05pm
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Default Okay, let's review

Entry short at the open of bar A was legit and would have required a stop >= 18 pips to keep the trade alive (stop just north of ALF).

Entry at bar B when it turned red at 1.2230 was also good.

First possible exit at bar C (exit rule #2) when bar turned green (which it did as soon as it opened) was good for +30 or so.

If you stayed in the trade, the final exit (if PA ever gets there) will be at bar D somewhere in the future when PA and ALF meet (exit rule #1). Note that ALF is currently at 1.2205 so profit cannot be less than +25 if you hang on for the duration.

Is everybody good? If not, speak up - that's why I'm here.

And let's not forget, it could still go lower...
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Last edited by Lou G, Jun 3, 2010 12:08pm Reason: more info
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  #212  
Old Jun 3, 2010 12:18pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mombone View Post
Looks good. I re-entered around 2188. Did you see that also?? Great system. Thanks for the system and your time.

Mombone
Yeah, the retracement was good as well - nice trading. I'm trying to deal with one thing at a time here since we have members who have varying skill/knowledge levels.

The whole reason for simplifying this method is to make it accessible to the less-experienced while keeping it sophisticated enough for everyone.
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  #214  
Old Jun 3, 2010 12:29pm
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Default 6/3/10 postmortem

London is closed and my trading is over for today. One trade (examined in exhaustive detail), +30 pips or so. Another okay day.

Those curious about how and why ALF_Candles does what it does, see post #190.

I check in here during non-trading hours so if you have questions or comments, post them.

Lou G
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  #216  
Old Jun 3, 2010 12:34pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by rootkit View Post
Thanks for making this example, which makes me understand the system better.
Just curious, what if "C" is a black/white bar, does that make it an exit? what's difference between black and white bars?
Well, it could be an exit if you are uncertain and want to play it safe. Generally speaking, the non-colored bars are meant to be "wait and see" bars. They are not perfect though, so use common sense and don't "wait and see" yourself into hitting a stop or turning a win into a loss.

That does not completely answer your question, however. The non-colored bars are bars that are moving counter to the direction ALF_Candles thinks they should be.
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Last edited by Lou G, Jun 3, 2010 12:40pm Reason: more data
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  #217  
Old Jun 3, 2010 12:37pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Trader88 View Post
EURUSD, EURJPY and GBP USD market still look very bearish...anyone still short?
I wish I was but I try to keep trading hours separate from the rest of my life, sometimes leaving a bunch of pips on the table
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  #218  
Old Jun 3, 2010 12:54pm
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Default Unsolicited advice...

... for demo-addicted traders.

I know that this is true because I have done it:

If you are demo-addicted but really want to learn to trade, open a mini account and trade real money. Use 10 cent pips if you have to. Trading only on demo is like playing Monopoly when you aspire to be a real estate investor.

Trading real money changes the game, even if a 20 pip stop represents a risk of $10 or less. You will absolutely do things differently when cash is involved.

IMHO...
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  #220  
Old Jun 3, 2010 1:02pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pbb View Post
Absolutely and to add to this: be sure to use a broker with a low spread. When you only target at say 15 pips, the lower the spread the better.
Yes - main reason I trade EU.
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  #221  
Old Jun 3, 2010 1:05pm
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Default Another suggestion

Use buy, sell and close scripts that you can hot-key to place and close trades.

If you can't find such scripts by searching (but you can) I will post the ones I use (once I modify them - right now they only work on 4 decimal brokers).
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  #223  
Old Jun 3, 2010 1:45pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lou G View Post
Use buy, sell and close scripts that you can hot-key to place and close trades.

If you can't find such scripts by searching (but you can) I will post the ones I use (once I modify them - right now they only work on 4 decimal brokers).
EDIT: Or, since using scripts will force you to learn how to compile code, use F9 to get into the standard ordering screen, place your order instantly by clicking BUY or SELL and set stop/take profit later by using the MT4 order-modify process. Lots will use the default you have set in Tools/Options/Trade on your MT4 platform.

Either way, the point is to place your order promptly once a decision to trade is reached. Practice doing this on demo (the only thing demo is really good for).
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  #226  
Old Jun 3, 2010 2:12pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hoichoi View Post
Made +20 today GU but left a lot on the table

LouG please do comment

thanks

All looks good to me. You might want to post your charts as thumbnails in the future to avoid having them re-appear when quoted - try File/Save As Picture/Active Chart (as is)/OK and then save your chart and post from there...
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  #227  
Old Jun 3, 2010 2:14pm
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Default That earlier trade...

... is still alive. Good for 70+ pips last I looked.
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  #229  
Old Jun 3, 2010 2:21pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MrSmith View Post
Excellent.
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  #231  
Old Jun 3, 2010 2:30pm
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I did exhaustive demo trading, which was somewhat beneficial, but when I started live trading -- that was a completely different experience. The adrenalin and emotions have to be felt in order to understand how to deal with them and make the correct decisions without letting them influence your rules.
Thank you!

I put "Trading In The Zone" by Mark Douglas on the required reading list for the original ALF thread. That still holds good...
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  #232  
Old Jun 3, 2010 2:58pm
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Default Finally...

...an illustration of Exit Rule #1.

PA and ALF meet - +49 pips net spread.

Obviously, this exit rule is only invoked when the price move is long enough to allow ALF to bend with the trade.

Shorter trades need either rule #2 or 3.
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  #233  
Old Jun 3, 2010 3:11pm
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Default Philosophical thought for the day

Think of this method as a toolbox containing the best power tools money can buy. They will make your job of building a house much easier - but you will still have to learn how to build a house.
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  #237  
Old Jun 4, 2010 7:26am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bnbb2004 View Post
Lou,

For a short trade, are you waiting for the color of the candle to change red in color before entering below the ALF (if candle is peeling/pulling away)? B/c the candle could start out as black/white and change colors...Right? TIA!
ALF_Candles also looks at S/R - better if PA breaks through prior S/R before taking the trade. The color change takes place when S/R is broken.
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  #239  
Old Jun 4, 2010 8:07am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by driftwood View Post
Big move down but I most happy with the 25pips I take on NFP day Thx again to you LouG
Hats off to those brave enough to trade on NFP day - nice going.
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  #242  
Old Jun 4, 2010 8:56am
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Default What I'm working on

This weekend I'm continuing work on ALF_Candles. There are a few small things about it that I'm not totally pleased with.

I'm also thinking about how to handle the alerts - I know this is important to many of you and I am working on it. Not as easy as it seems to find a useful way to do it and not throw an alert when it isn't useful. Be patient...
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  #245  
Old Jun 4, 2010 11:05am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Pippopotamus View Post
My current Aud/Usd trade using these tools. Only this and Aud/Jpy trade remain open. Rest closed at b/e + a few pips for a bottle of wine. I know this is not the standard method as outlined by Lou and will not post any additional such trades if he prefers. I entered on break of Fractal support rather than waiting for candle close.
I only provide the tools. I don't push my way of using them unless I see someone who obviously is not getting it on their own.

You're an experienced trader - do as you see fit and share with the rest when what you do is successful.
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  #247  
Old Jun 4, 2010 11:35am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Pippopotamus View Post
Aud trades working out nicely. Breaks of Fractal S/R viv a vis Alf produce stellar entries, IMHO. The Aud/Jpy trade. Will close up shop at 16:00 GMT.
I'm almost ready to call it quits now (15:30 GMT). The good short move on EU took place before I was awake and then died out. There was a short signal on M15 a few minutes ago but I did not take it because it's Friday and PA will most likely bounce off 1.2000...

No trades for me today.
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  #249  
Old Jun 4, 2010 11:39am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MoneyMaker View Post
Here's my 2nd trade of the day, closed for +15 bringing the daily total to +31.
Yes - another member who gets it. Thanks for posting - it's a big help to those who are not quite there yet.
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  #250  
Old Jun 4, 2010 11:43am
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Default An annoying glitch in ALF_Candles

I mentioned in an earlier post that a few things in the indicator were annoying me - here's the main one. A bar can be both an up and a down fractal at the same time. The indicator needs to deal with that and it isn't - the two black bars following the double fractal should be red, not black.

I'll work on it and fix it by Monday (hopefully).
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  #251  
Old Jun 4, 2010 11:49am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by trade4fun View Post
checked your system today lou,

and again well layout system. i tried your system today. and i at the moment 100+ pips on eu / usa.

just a matter of time now till it goes under 1.20.

maybe a good idea setting for an alarm is this.

when ALF goes flat dont trade. when ALF goes up or down like 10 degrees or more, give alarm for trade. when ALF reaches again the 10 degrees point. stop trade.

just an idea. dont know it is possible to program, but i think would cover some of the problems?
I have some minor problems in ALF_Candles that need to be corrected before I get to alerts (what I do to solve Problem A will affect Problem B sort of thing) but thanks for suggesting. I will get to it...
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  #253  
Old Jun 4, 2010 12:06pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Pippopotamus View Post
I thought a candle turns red as it passes below a current Fractal support level, and vice versa for green.
They do, but they also change color when direction change is possible but has not yet been confirmed by an actual TL break. In the case you mention, an up move has been rejected (temporarily) but there is no nearby support (yet). This is what I'm trying to fix...
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  #255  
Old Jun 4, 2010 12:13pm
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Default 6/4/10 postmortem

Dumb day for me but not for some others.

Thanks to the posters of winning trades, especially those trading pairs other than EU - keep 'em coming, it helps the newer people.

Those who are struggling - study the above-mentioned winning trades and don't be hesitant to ask questions if you don't get it. It IS gettable (there are enough wins to substantiate that) but we each progress at different rates.

Post losses that you don't understand to the forum (rather than PM me) - many here are better traders than I and will be glad to help...
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  #257  
Old Jun 4, 2010 12:35pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Pippopotamus View Post
at the risk of being tedious. Isn't the L of large green candle a Fractal? Edit: Have closed my Aud trades for +116, and +89, even though the move looks to still have legs..
Large green candle is both H and L - that's one of the problems I'm going to work on this weekend.

Nice trades on your part...

EDIT: the fractal support line is working fine - candle goes red as it passes through BUT - the previous three bars should be red also (because the fractal high occurred most recently and was rejected.

Hope that's clear
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  #259  
Old Jun 4, 2010 12:53pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by driftwood View Post
Hello LouG, why not low for to turn red be low in front of that one what is 7 candles back from big green plz?
I'm already confused enough
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  #260  
Old Jun 4, 2010 12:56pm
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Default Two quotes...

...from Albert Einstein:

"Every explanation should be as simple as possible - but not more simple".

"If you can't explain it to a six-year-old you don't understand it yourself".
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  #266  
Old Jun 6, 2010 10:43am
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Default Pippo...

You have Private Messaging turned off so I was unable to reply to your message...
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  #267  
Old Jun 6, 2010 10:54am
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Default ALF_Candles updated

I posted an improved version of ALF_Candles. See Post #1 - download ALF_Candles_v2.ex4 and install as before.

Improvements:

1. Corrected handling of fractal candles and double fractals (candles which are both an up and a down fractal). If you have no clear idea of what fractals are, I've added a link to a concise explanation - see Post #1 under the heading "what are ALF candles".

2. Split candles (2 colors) that show the exact point at which the candle passed through support or resistance.

Normally I would delay posting a revision of this magnitude until I had spent some time testing in a live environment (did the work while the market was closed), but I'm pretty confident with the changes so anyone who wants to beta test this, go right ahead.

I did not update the template, so you may do that on your own if the indicator works properly for you.
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  #268  
Old Jun 6, 2010 11:01am
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Default If you have deep pockets...

... and would like to trade once a day, check the posted chart with the revised ALF_Candles:

Candles that are completely black/white are stopped out (or a total loss if you are daring enough to trade naked). Candles that show any trace of red/green are wins and the difference between open and high/low is the value of the stop needed to cash in...
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  #272  
Old Jun 6, 2010 12:30pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bpips View Post
Thanks LouG for the updated candles. I thought I understood before but this makes it a little more clear.

If I am correct there are two ways to enter one when a candle closes below/above the blue line.

And the second way would be for a candle to break the low or high of a fractal and be either above or below the blue line.

Is it that simple?

I posted what I thought may be two good shorts below the blue line and fractals being broken yellow arrow is entry candle?

thanks again for your work
Yes, it's that simple. No need to wait for the break of S/R once PA is already above/below ALF, though...
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  #273  
Old Jun 6, 2010 12:32pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by newbie2 View Post
Lou G

Please could you clarify the colours for the ALF_Candles v2?

The original ALF_Candles had 5 line indices, which were set with the template as:
0 Black
1 Black
2 Medium Sea Green (width 5)
3 Red (width 5)
4 Black

However, ALF_Candles version 2 has 6 lines

Many thanks for coding some excellent indicators!
I needed an extra index buffer to effect the changes. The ones you have identified as Black are actually not black - the arrays are set to DRAW_NONE so they will never appear unless the source code is changed.
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  #274  
Old Jun 6, 2010 12:38pm
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Default RE: the D1 chart in post #268

I would trade this way if I were adequately capitalized - no more b.s. waiting for news, just place a trade at 00:00 GMT once a day.

I'd have to pull money out of something else but it might be worth it...
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  #279  
Old Jun 6, 2010 9:34pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MoneyMaker View Post
I was reading thru the original thread over the weekend and just wanted to respond to this. If you can't get over the fact that you are gonna leave pips on the table, walk away now before you lose everything. Greed and fear has no place in trading.
It gets me how people will constantly try to pick the top or bottom to the pip. Quit trying, YOU WILL LOSE.
Yes, absolutely. My job is to make pips, not call market turns.
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  #280  
Old Jun 6, 2010 9:35pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MoneyMaker View Post
Exited 1/2 at 74.933 for +37 at hesitation and moved my stop to 75.10 for a lock of +20 for the rest, but decided to close the last half @ 74.77 when it pulled back for +53 more for a total of 90 pips tonight. Think I'm done til tomorrow. No need to be greedy.

Nice trading.
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  #292  
Old Jun 7, 2010 9:53am
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Default MrChips...

... either of the replies you've received could be right. The entry is indeed counter-trend but also a bit late - entry at the arrow with a 20 pip stop and you are still in this trade.

Considering the trend to be up and not taking a short would have saved the loss.

So, which is right? Market appears to be shifting from trending to ranging so perhaps getting in earlier would have been best. Ah, hindsight...

A word about stops - IMHO, stops are not meant to be hit - if the trade turns against you in a meaningful way, exit and live to fight another day,
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  #293  
Old Jun 7, 2010 9:57am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bbolss View Post
hi Lou
thanx for update ! its very nice idea to paint not all candle !

but i think there is some litle error
switch now to m1 and see
for me it is painting something strange sometimes
check image
best regards

edit
on m5 also have one candle like this
about 1:20 and my broker is gmt-1 if i remembour right
I'm not seeing that on my chart but I'll watch for it.
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  #294  
Old Jun 7, 2010 10:00am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by unclek6 View Post
Lou,
thanks for opening this thread. I am testing on an IBFS Demo account in 4h TF. I have a question about the Color tab in the properties of ALF.

# 0 gives me the color I set. What are #1 - #5 used for. Or are they just place holders for now?
The only color you can change is shown on the Inputs Tab - the other arrays are not meant to be seen
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  #296  
Old Jun 7, 2010 10:01am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bpips View Post
thank you very much i like filters
I like filters too - ALF is a filter - not sure I need another filter at this time.
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  #297  
Old Jun 7, 2010 10:12am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mannai70 View Post
Hi,

I've been following the old thread as well as the new updated one and I would like to thank Lou G for his fantastic work.

I've tried to see if there was any way to filter out some of the bad or range bound trades and while understanding that there is nothing that will ever be able to completely keep you out of these trades, I think I've found something that may help most of the times though.

It's an indicator called NVO (Normal Volume Oscillator). I found it over at the Sonic R thread (so credits go to Sonic and his thread).

Basically how...
Thanks for your input. NVO appears to be a good indicator but not something I'd like to add to the method at this time.
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  #300  
Old Jun 7, 2010 10:30am
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Default Will this work?

Short as shown - wicked volatility on EU today. We'll see...
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  #301  
Old Jun 7, 2010 10:34am
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Default RE: last trade

Took +11 pips and chickened out (or is it the other way 'round)?

VERY jumpy right now.
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  #303  
Old Jun 7, 2010 10:45am
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Everybody with me on this. It's what I saw prior to the last trade.

Didn't really need the trendline though - ALF_Candles told me what to do.

Open below ALF (entry guideline) and take some pips if you can...
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  #309  
Old Jun 7, 2010 11:59am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The7 View Post
Do we have to put both versions of the Alf Candles indicator on the chart at the same time? Because if we dont some candles are only half coloured.
Thank you...
They are supposed to be partially colored - check the explanation of what ALF_Candles_v2 is doing - it's in Post #1.
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  #310  
Old Jun 7, 2010 12:02pm
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Default 6/7/10 postmortem

Very thin soup today. +11 pips on one trade.

The new ALF_Candles_v2 appears to be functioning as it should but I will put in my own "screen time" over the next few days and correct any bugs that show up.

EDIT: I take it back, there IS a small coloring bug on the current bar that appears only occasionally.

It does not appear to be serious enough to pull the plug on the indicator, though. I'll work on it...
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  #311  
Old Jun 7, 2010 12:55pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by balle1973 View Post
Hi Lou

I took the same trade. +10

can you please upload the scripts for putting order.

Thanks
These are the scripts I use for buy, sell and close. Keep in mind that you need to know how to compile them in MT4 if you want to change any parameters - they are scripts, which means they execute on the fly and do not pause to ask for input from you.

Best to set them up as MT4 hotkeys - see MT4 help for how to do this.

Also, they are set up to work with 4 decimal brokers - if your broker is 5 decimal, multiply stop/take profit amount by 10.
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  #316  
Old Jun 7, 2010 4:33pm
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Default Reaction to ALF_Candles_v2

I'm pleased that so many have had winning trades with the indicator (including myself).

I'm aware that there are some minor coloring problems - rest assured that I will resolve them as soon as I can.

Ain't beta fun?
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  #317  
Old Jun 7, 2010 5:07pm
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Amazing that this thread has already grown to more than 300 posts.

If you are new to ALF and have joined the thread at the current post (as all of us have done at some point), please take a few minutes to read Post #1 before asking questions. I'm making a major attempt to update that post with all info necessary to understand and trade th ALF method.

Thanks,

Lou G
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  #319  
Old Jun 7, 2010 6:43pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by trade4fun View Post
Lou,

thanks for you wonderfull work. i tested the new indicator as well on the AUSUSD on 15 min. chart and made a + 40 pips.

i know your asking why AUSUSd ??? aint that the fun of it

eur/usd is already tested to death here. so i thought lets try it on different one, to see how good ALF really is. fortunate AUS was fighting a losing battle against the USa dollar as shown in picture below. could have jumped earlier. but i had not started AUSUD earlier.

so far it really is good. i really like the new setup of half candles filled. combine that...
You're welcome - I'm glad it's working for you.
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  #321  
Old Jun 7, 2010 10:54pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by forexweasel View Post
Lou, I am really confused with the v2 candle indicator....
Yes, TVI has been replaced by ALF_Candles_v2.
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  #332  
Old Jun 8, 2010 9:31am
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Default ALF_Candles_v2 updated version

As of a minute ago I replaced ALF_Candles_v2 with a new version:

1. Small bug in coloring current candle fixed.

2. Split (2 color) candles removed. This "feature" was causing more confusion than it was worth. I thought it was a good idea when I did it but I ended up not liking it either.

Updated version posted below and in Post #1.
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  #333  
Old Jun 8, 2010 9:39am
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Default Long trade

A little speculative - we'll see...

Long as PA crossed ALF.
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  #335  
Old Jun 8, 2010 10:08am
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Default Do as I say, not as I (sometimes) do...

In retrospect, not a smart trade but I'm still alive. Came 1 pip from stopping out...
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  #337  
Old Jun 8, 2010 10:16am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Vantage View Post
Lou I thought you were more of a trend trader and avoided the counter trend stuff.
I know, I know - I just closed that non-trade for a small loss. Don't know what I was thinking
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  #342  
Old Jun 8, 2010 10:40am
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Sorry to have caused confusion - I should (and usually do) know better.

We are entering a no-trade zone.
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  #343  
Old Jun 8, 2010 10:43am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kosomolate View Post
Hi Lou G

any reason for no going SHORT @ the cross down RED circle

kos

Yes, I saw the higher lows and interpreted the trend as up - I was wrong.
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  #344  
Old Jun 8, 2010 10:46am
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Just had a look at M5 - too choppy there as well - long wicks everywhere I look. I will sit this market out.

See entry rule #1 - "do not trade when ALF is flat and PA is cycling back and forth through ALF".
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  #349  
Old Jun 8, 2010 11:44am
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Default 6/8/10 postmortem

I'd say the consensus is "not a good trading day".

One small loss for me (-12 pips) leaving me about even for the week.
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  #357  
Old Jun 8, 2010 3:59pm
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Default Thanks to all who have posted on this page...

... so far. Today turned out to be the wrong day to roll out a new version of ALF_Candles.

In replacing the TVI as a supplementary indicator for ALF i had hoped to provide something more flexible for different TF's that would work as well without tinkering. Seems to be working okay in that area.

I learn as much from your posts as you do from mine, often more, so keep 'em coming.

Lou G
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  #365  
Old Jun 9, 2010 8:08am
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Default A fast +20 on EU

Textbook M15 long trade - EU more tradable today.

This version of the indicator (with S/R) posted below,

EDIT: sorry, I posted the wrong indi - hereby corrected
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  #366  
Old Jun 9, 2010 8:22am
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Default ALF_Candles source code

I'll post the source code over the weekend and maybe even make the split candles optional if I have time and can get it working...
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  #368  
Old Jun 9, 2010 9:23am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by desi View Post
Lou G,
Any difference between ALF_candles_v2 (post #1) and Fractal_candals_v2 other than the fractals levels? Thanks.
Nope.
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  #369  
Old Jun 9, 2010 9:28am
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Default Well, that was easier then I expected

Just posted the source and executable for Fractal_Candles_SR_v3 (see Post #1).

This is the parent indicator for all current versions of ALF_Candles.

Split candles are a user option on the Inputs Tab and you may see/not see the fractal S/R by tinkering with the Color Tab in the usual way.

Have fun...
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  #372  
Old Jun 9, 2010 10:27am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MoneyMaker View Post
Drag it over to the indicator panel 2 more times.
This will not work the way you think - it was covered in the original thread. Multiple indicators in the data window do not show accurate values (although the colors may be correct). Try adding a zero level to each indicator and you'll see what I mean...

Also, TVI has been superseded by ALF_Candles (or Fractal_Candles). Using them together is sort of pointless, IMHO.
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  #373  
Old Jun 9, 2010 10:43am
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Default Did you get on this?

The long trade posted earlier turned into an excellent trade...
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  #375  
Old Jun 9, 2010 10:50am
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Quote:
Originally Posted by balle1973 View Post
Hi Lou

But this trade did not occur in NY session.

Thanks
Trade as shown began at 7:45 NY time. I happened to be at the computer 15 minutes before NY open.
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  #376  
Old Jun 9, 2010 11:19am
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Default And still going...

Nearly 100 pips so far...
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  #379  
Old Jun 9, 2010 11:44am (47 hr ago)
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Default 6/9/10 postmortem

Consider post #376 to be the postmortem for today

Even the part after the retracement was worth having.
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  #382  
Old Jun 9, 2010 12:31pm (46 hr ago)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MoneyMaker View Post
I agree wholeheartedly, was just answering their question.
When I posted that chart I was reading thru the other thread and came upon the whole discussion of it. Kinda why I dropped them from my charts...... it's amazing how little "work" people want to do to succeed.
Gimme this gimme that.....
EA this, EA that....just truely amazing
As you have stated many times, screen time will help develop pattern recognition.

As Aristotle said "We are what we repeatedly do. Excellence ,therefore, is not an act but a habit."

MM
Interestingly, my oldest grandson attends a private school for gifted children where that quote is the school motto. He won the Spelling Bee Championship this year for his grade level - the winning word was "metamorphosis"...

He is 6 years old.
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Old Jun 9, 2010 12:46pm (46 hr ago)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MoneyMaker View Post
May your grandson take after you then......truely gifted.

Thank you for a wonderful method Lou.
You're welcome and thanks for the compliment. The whole family is incredibly proud of young Jacob (and of his younger brother).
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  #386  
Old Jun 9, 2010 4:33pm (42 hr ago)
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In Post #1 of the original thread, I mentioned that I nearly started the thread with ALF alone and no companion indicator.

I still believe that, with enough experience, I will be able to trade with only ALF on the chart.

Fractal_Candles_SR_v3 sure does help, though...
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  #387  
Old Jun 9, 2010 4:51pm (42 hr ago)
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Default Post #1 updated...

... with a new template. Also removed deprecated indicators.
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  #401  
Old Jun 10, 2010 7:39am (27 hr ago)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MoneyMaker View Post
Here's my understanding of what they are after watching price action a bit.
White candles are the bullish candles (provided that white is the setting you have in your chart properties) with the green portion being the part that broke resistance within so many candles back.
And the black candles are the bearish (again provided thats the color you have selected in properties) with the red being that part that broke support within the last # of candles.

Lou may be able to clear it better.

MM
Thanks MM - I could not have explained it better.
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  #402  
Old Jun 10, 2010 7:44am (27 hr ago)
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Risky to trade against the prevailing trend. If you do it anyway, be prepared to take small gains and exit as soon as you see the slightest sign of trouble.

As for finding the trend if you are in doubt - try switching to H1 from M15 and see what it looks like there. Than you can go back to M5 or M15 with an understanding of the bigger picture.
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Old Jun 10, 2010 8:44am (26 hr ago)
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Default Having trouble with retracements?

A few here are having difficulty understanding retracements and how to trade them. This is an important chunk of knowledge you need to grasp.

Trends rarely move uninterrupted from inception to conclusion, There are usually points along the way when PA seems to have a "second thought" about the trend. PA stops and actually backs up a bit before continuing.

Examine the swing move (or trend) in the chart. The move begins at "High" and continues to "Low" with two points of hesitation marked A and B.

The move starts at 05:45 GMT and ends at 08:00 - the retracements occur at 07:00 and 07:30.

Using these times as a reference, shift your chart to M5 and see what's happening inside the M15 candles. I'll post that M5 chart later and continue this discussion.
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  #406  
Old Jun 10, 2010 8:53am (26 hr ago)
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Default Retracements, continued

Here's the same swing move on M5 with the same places marked.

Notice that the retracement highs (A and B) are descending from the point marked "High". Also notice the potential re-entry points when the candles turned red again. If you chose to take profits when PA reversed these would be the places to enter short again.

I hope this is some help.
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  #407  
Old Jun 10, 2010 9:04am (26 hr ago)
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Default +16 fast pips

Just went long when candle split at resistance, exit at bar close - +16 pips in a hurry.

Overall trend still up but getting a bit shaky (maybe).
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  #409  
Old Jun 10, 2010 9:15am (26 hr ago)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MoneyMaker View Post
First, reread post 1. Reread until something clicks. (hint: it may be an aha moment)
I highly suggest reading Lou's first ALF/TVI thread.
If you've done your homework, you're waiting for the green and red colors.
Any candle open above or below ALF is a potential entry - you need to look at the overall trend to decide if it's a good entry or not:

If PA is chopping back and forth through a flat ALF, wait.

If PA is moving up or down through ALF (preferably from a bar or two prior to crossing) your odds of a good trade go up.

It really is all about pattern recognition and takes some screen time to see clearly. Have a look at Post #407...
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  #411  
Old Jun 10, 2010 9:21am (26 hr ago)
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Default Look at this

Does everyone see the large up trend with two retracements along the way?

If not, speak up and I will mark them for you...

These retracements are so large they could be traded counter-trend (but let's leave that until later).
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  #413  
Old Jun 10, 2010 9:28am (25 hr ago)
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Default D1 chart

Has the Euro finally turned the corner?
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  #414  
Old Jun 10, 2010 9:40am (25 hr ago)
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Default A decent day so far

Up +30 or so on two trades within the the current up swing.
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  #416  
Old Jun 10, 2010 9:48am (25 hr ago)
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Originally Posted by Pippopotamus View Post
Not Kosher, but thematic(reformed??). TP is calculated vs ALF value at time of entry. Aud/Usd has already reached TP for 245 pips. 4 additional trades open, 3 are pos., 1 neg.
Good to see you here, Pippo. You have an interesting way of using the indicators.
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  #417  
Old Jun 10, 2010 10:01am (25 hr ago)
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Default I feel I'm over-posting...

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but I want everyone to "get" this...
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  #419  
Old Jun 10, 2010 10:06am (25 hr ago)
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Originally Posted by evynsdad View Post
Caught the last nice move, I bailed at the last surge over 1.2100.

Lou G, after I enter a trade I tend to switch back and forth between ALF view and 1m w/Bollinger Bands. I've been doing this awhile but am definitely still learning. It seems by my observation, that the rallies seem to end with a last surge on the 1m chart. Does that sound accurate to you?

Steve
I'm a devout pragmatist - if it works for you...
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  #421  
Old Jun 10, 2010 10:26am (25 hr ago)
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Don't forget, if the split candles don't float your boat, you can turn them off on the Inputs Tab.

I have both running, split on my live account and non-split on demo. I was originally undecided but I'm getting to like the split version.
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  #423  
Old Jun 10, 2010 10:46am (24 hr ago)
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Originally Posted by pilotui View Post
What a very effective system you have...I bagged some good pips today (Live) and wanted to thank you.

I have added a filter of my own that I think really helps pinpoint actual entries vs quick dips. If you allow, I would like to post it...if not I understand.

Thanks

Darren
I'm glad you're making pips.

Plenty of members have posted their take on additional indicators - why not you? I will most likely not make it an official part of the ALF method (since I have spent many months developing ALF as it is) but, if you think it might help someone...
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  #428  
Old Jun 10, 2010 10:58am (24 hr ago)
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Default The absolute worst you should have done...

... is +25 pips (if you stringently followed the entry/exit rules in Post #1).

Entry at the arrow (an open above ALF and in the direction of the prevailing trend).

Exit when PA and ALF re-connect.
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  #430  
Old Jun 10, 2010 11:16am (24 hr ago)
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Default 6/10/10 postmortem

An earlier review of the day's trade(s) as I have some errands to run.

One (or more) good trade(s) depending on how you dealt with the uptrend.

+25 - 60 or so pips.

A good day.
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  #432  
Old Jun 10, 2010 11:39am (23 hr ago)
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Originally Posted by pilotui View Post
Yes Sir, I will...I just know what it's like when people hi-jack a thread with every indicator under the sun...

Ok, it's a simple Stochastic Histogram that I have tooled up.

It overlays to Stochastic histo's when the Green one (faster) breaks zero line on or around the same time ALF is penetrated...thats a valid signal (could be a quick trip, could be along one)

When the Black one (slower) breaks zero line after the Green one (depending on how long it takes) you now have confirmation to hold the trade longer.

When the Black and Green go through...
Colud you possibly rename your indicator to something not using "ALF" I would like to keep the distinction between the ALF method and other approaches clear.

Thanks,

Lou G
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  #438  
Old Jun 10, 2010 5:08pm (18 hr ago)
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Originally Posted by pilotui View Post
Sorry, for making multiple posts here.

I re-named the indy...please check the paperclip and get the newly named indy: Ultimate filter.mq4

If you want to add my indy to your current template just drag and drop 1, with the settings 20, 2, 2...
Thanks for renaming the indi, Darren. I've already become "Mr. ALF" to many out here and wanted to avoid confusion.

I wish you good trading,

Lou G
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  #442  
Old Jun 10, 2010 8:02pm (15 hr ago)
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Originally Posted by Dr.Scalpall View Post
Hi Pilotui,
Thanks for posting the indicator, I've been trading lou's approach (original TVI aswell) with CCI 34 confirmation which is very similar to your stoch indy - It's kept me out of many a sticky moment . e-mail alert is a bonus until Lou manages to find time to program the feature into fractal candles.

Thanks again

Doc.
Actually, it's less a case of finding time than it is finding the most useful place to put the alert.

Look for something concrete by Monday...
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  #445  
Old Jun 11, 2010 9:24am (2 hr 1 min ago)
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Originally Posted by fuzzle View Post
Hi Lou, nice system you have!

I downloaded the indicators and tpl from post #1 put I don't know how to get the split candles? The only options in the input tab are candle width and up/down bar?

Thanks
Look in MT4 navigator - do you have Fractal_Candles_SR_v3?

That's the one you need - both the ex4 and source code are in Post #1.
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  #446  
Old Jun 11, 2010 9:35am (1 hr 51 min ago)
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Default Watching EU M5 today

Started on M15 but didn't like the look - M5 seems better for trading at this time. Chart shows a good short trade:
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  #448  
Old Jun 11, 2010 10:26am (59 min ago)
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Default What I look for

Shortly before NY open, I pull up EU H1 to get a feel for market action. Today ALF on H1 was basically flat so no trend of any consequence therefore (for me) market may be ranging.

Switch to M15 - didn't like the look. It is ranging but ALF still pretty flat.

This is how I ended up at M5 which looks very tradable.
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  #451  
Old Jun 11, 2010 10:55am (31 min ago)
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Originally Posted by bcarbon View Post
I did download the newer version and still didn't get the split candles; but as soon as I deleted the old version (fractral candles v2) the split candles showed up.
If I had to do it again I would close that chart, open a new one and start downloading the new template and indicators from the beginning. Otherwise, make sure you delete the older version.

Bcarbon
The key here is to shut down MT4 and restart - I have many versions of the indicators on my system and they all play nice in the sandbox

Nothing needs to be deleted, IMHO. MT4 WILL NOT pick up on new stuff unless it is shut down/restarted...
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  #452  
Old Jun 11, 2010 11:05am (20 min ago)
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I just now detected a small bug in the split candles (not to worry - does not interfere with trading in any way).

I'll fix it over the weekend, along with adding the long-awaited alerts.
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  #453  
Old Jun 11, 2010 11:09am (17 min ago)
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Default Another good short

And yet one more:
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  #454  
Old Jun 11, 2010 11:21am (4 min ago)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lou G View Post
I just now detected a small bug in the split candles (not to worry - does not interfere with trading in any way).

I'll fix it over the weekend, along with adding the long-awaited alerts.
I take it back - no bug there at all - Fractal_Candles_SR_v3 is doing just what it should.

I will have the version with alerts (including email) ready on Monday.
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