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AUD/USD

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  • Post# 54,361
  • Quote
  • Oct 21, 2012 1:01pm
  • kiranitoot
    Joined Mar 2012 | 212 Posts | Status: Tip of the iceberg
Quoting maximmm
You know how it is - the saying is, 95% of traders lose their money -
the key is to think like the winning 5 per cent - the question is, what are they thinking?!^^

Otherwise - I suspect that the key to being in the 5% margin lies in sound trade money management - since even the best sometimes make incorrect guesses.
GUESSES? No smart trader would just guess. Well, unless you're lucky, you'll never win by just guessing.

This is why people come to the conclusion that Forex is High Risk. It's because of people who are lazy to do their homework and just guess.

Sure. Not everyone wins but those 5% rarely lose because they don't guess. That's where the expect the unexpected comes.
  • Post# 54,362
  • Quote
  • Oct 21, 2012 2:58pm
  • mrbandwidth
    Joined Feb 2010 | 978 Posts | Status: Member
gap down?

310...
Use me as a contrarian indicator :p
  • Post# 54,363
  • Quote
  • Oct 21, 2012 3:03pm
  • 100PipsADay
    Joined May 2012 | 2,728 Posts | Status: The Trend Is Your Friend
Quoting mrbandwidth
gap down?

310...
Yep!

My analysis still stands in regards to AUD being mostly bullish this week.
  • Post# 54,364
  • Quote
  • Oct 21, 2012 3:12pm
  • paulyjah
    Joined Sep 2008 | 171 Posts | Status: forexpillar
Quoting 100PipsADay
Yep!

My analysis still stands in regards to AUD being mostly bullish this week.
1.0300 is the major handle.
forexpillar:Discipline & patience Trader
  • Post# 54,365
  • Quote
  • Oct 21, 2012 4:31pm
  • fxjawn
    Joined Jun 2011 | 12,711 Posts | Status: UN-RE-TIRED
Quoting Wulfgar
Hey my friends

While Ill still be trading the forex on the larger TF swings, upon review of the current macro economic climate Ill be turning the bulk of my attention to the futures markets. Specifically the ES, CL and 6E/6A as well as some other equities and indices.

Volume is down tremendously in forex due to all the CB interference and it has chased many of the larger players out of the FX markets. Friday was an excellent elegant example of such deleveraging. The Dow drops the most in 4 months along with the spx and nasdaq on tremendous volume...
lol
  • Post# 54,366
  • Quote
  • Oct 21, 2012 4:43pm
  • Wulfgar
    Joined Apr 2011 | 5,578 Posts | Status: That the best u can do, u pansies?
Quoting mrbandwidth
gap down?

310...
The LOD is 1.03065
"Be Kind, for everyone u meet is fighting a hard battle"- Plato
  • Post# 54,367
  • Quote
  • Oct 21, 2012 4:52pm
  • richy
    Joined Mar 2006 | 168 Posts | Status: Member
Quoting fxjawn
lol
lol
  • Post# 54,368
  • Quote
  • Oct 21, 2012 5:02pm
  • fxjawn
    Joined Jun 2011 | 12,711 Posts | Status: UN-RE-TIRED
Quoting richy
lol


hope you have a good week man
  • Post# 54,369
  • Quote
  • Oct 21, 2012 6:22pm
  • GnarlyPips
    Joined Apr 2012 | 809 Posts | Status: Toker
Some levels to watch for. 1.0365 and 1.0275.

1H
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Play the players, not the cards.
  • Post# 54,370
  • Quote
  • Oct 21, 2012 6:26pm | Edited at 6:46pm
  • fxtyrant
    Joined Jan 2010 | 5,166 Posts | Status: Member
prolly not the best time to hold Long on AUDUSD at these levels...
XAUUSD look destined for 1650 area again....

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PS. for anyone wondering who i am... well its me bguguen, a frequent contributor on this forum, i just managed to get my username changed and thats all.... im still around, still bearish on AUDUSD till we see 0.98....
Bot or not, profit is the name of the game!
  • Post# 54,371
  • Quote
  • Oct 21, 2012 7:14pm | Edited at 7:26pm
  • bogus
    Joined Mar 2007 | 1,821 Posts | Status: Vincit qui se vincit
Hello all. I'm currently short a/u on long e/a.
Looks like e/a is forming a rounding bottom on 15 minute chart.
1.0288 is next support for a/u providing it breaks the round number.
Trade YOUR plan.
  • Post# 54,372
  • Quote
  • Oct 21, 2012 7:30pm
  • bogus
    Joined Mar 2007 | 1,821 Posts | Status: Vincit qui se vincit
Chart
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Trade YOUR plan.
  • Post# 54,373
  • Quote
  • Oct 21, 2012 7:33pm
  • aleneznm
    Joined Apr 2011 | 8 Posts | Status: Member
Quoting bogus
Chart
Dear All @

I think AUD/USD is good price to buy Now at 1.0302

What your call
  • Post# 54,374
  • Quote
  • Oct 21, 2012 7:38pm
  • fxtyrant
    Joined Jan 2010 | 5,166 Posts | Status: Member
Quoting aleneznm
Dear All @

I think AUD/USD is good price to buy Now at 1.0302

What your call
i see AUDUSD down to 1.0250 very soon.
Bot or not, profit is the name of the game!
  • Post# 54,375
  • Quote
  • Oct 21, 2012 7:41pm
  • 100PipsADay
    Joined May 2012 | 2,728 Posts | Status: The Trend Is Your Friend
Quoting aleneznm
Dear All @

I think AUD/USD is good price to buy Now at 1.0302

What your call

Nice bullish engulfing candle forming on the M30

Based off of the past 10 year statistics I have a 75% chance that the gap will be filled with AUD/JPY TODAY! Odds are definitely in my favor...
  • Post# 54,376
  • Quote
  • Oct 21, 2012 7:45pm
  • fxtyrant
    Joined Jan 2010 | 5,166 Posts | Status: Member
Quoting 100PipsADay
Nice bullish engulfing candle forming on the M30

Based off of the past 10 year statistics I have a 75% chance that the gap will be filled with AUD/JPY TODAY! Odds are definitely in my favor...
gaps will be filled sooner or later, doesnt mean itll happen right away,
Besids AUDUSD looking heavy down to test the upwards trendling at 1.0250, which corresponds well to Silver and Gold Sell off... Gold is being sold off targeting 1650....

maybe time to revisit your strategy?? cuz i see a bearish gold....
Bot or not, profit is the name of the game!
  • Post# 54,377
  • Quote
  • Oct 21, 2012 7:47pm
  • sidhujag
    Joined Apr 2009 | 3,761 Posts | Status: Member
Quoting fxtyrant
i see AUDUSD down to 1.0250 very soon.
ya maybe but its the wrong time to trade.. we are on a bearish correction w1 on a bullish trend d1 on a bearish correction m15.. So bad choice
to get in this pair now
  • Post# 54,378
  • Quote
  • Oct 21, 2012 7:48pm
  • sidhujag
    Joined Apr 2009 | 3,761 Posts | Status: Member
Quoting fxtyrant
gaps will be filled sooner or later, doesnt mean itll happen right away,
Besids AUDUSD looking heavy down to test the upwards trendling at 1.0250, which corresponds well to Silver and Gold Sell off... Gold is being sold off targeting 1650....

maybe time to revisit your strategy?? cuz i see a bearish gold....
50 pips im au equals 50 dollars gold since when? golds due for a correction... Its been selling off while au rises so check your strategy. A 25 rise im gold and we can see 1.450
  • Post# 54,379
  • Quote
  • Oct 21, 2012 7:50pm
  • 100PipsADay
    Joined May 2012 | 2,728 Posts | Status: The Trend Is Your Friend
Quoting fxtyrant
gaps will be filled sooner or later, doesnt mean itll happen right away,
Besids AUDUSD looking heavy down to test the upwards trendling at 1.0250, which corresponds well to Silver and Gold Sell off... Gold is being sold off targeting 1650....

maybe time to revisit your strategy?? cuz i see a bearish gold....
I understand Gaps get filled sooner or later. But based off of statistics from 2002-2010 AUD/JPY gaps were filled the same day 75% of the time in the 8 years worth of statistics.

This is why I said the odds are in my favor! I don't mean sometime, I mean today...

Also, as JP pointed out multiple times, correlation between Gold and AUD is non-existent more than often, so that doesn't hold much water.
  • Post# 54,380
  • Quote
  • Oct 21, 2012 7:50pm
  • fxtyrant
    Joined Jan 2010 | 5,166 Posts | Status: Member
Quoting sidhujag
50 pips im au equals 50 dollars gold since when?
i never said 50 pips in AU = 50 dollars in gold... All im saying is.... Its not time to be bullish on AU given the circumstance that Gold broke below to open up 1650 as a possible location before any reacting.....
Bot or not, profit is the name of the game!
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