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  #1  
Old Aug 26, 2007 7:19pm
mikelath's Avatar
trading for living
 
Member Since May 2007
1 Vouchers  339 Posts
Dollar Daily95pips

Hi all and welcome to the DAILY95PIPS strategy.

Before we start I urge you to paper trade any new strategy including this one before committing any of your own funds. Thorough testing is crucial before taking any strategy live.

Also bear in mind that this system is by no means new and may look familiar to some of you. I am simply passing it on from my predecessors/mentors in the hope that it adds to your existing trading arsenal and increases your trading results.

The basis of this system is VERY simple and has proven to be profitable, though I am adjusting the money management/profit targets. So results for this revised version will be realised on this thread. I must also emphasise the well known phrase that "past performance is no guarantee of future returns".

I will add the daily trading results to this thread as we go along. See post#1602 for updated results for the current week. Weekly and individual pairs results are at post #1602. Monthly totals are at post#1602. (Please disregard the next post #2 as I am unable to add to it.)

That being said, let us proceed with the strategy.

OVERVIEW:
This is a pure "set and forget" system where trades are placed at the same time everyday. The option is also there for those inclined to monitor their positions to adjust stop levels as profit targets are reached. Please note that there is currently an Expert Advisor being developed that automates the trading of this strategy, thus keeping to the set and forget objective. Please click on the paperclip at the top right hand side of the page to find the current versions. For those new to using Expert Advisors you will need a broker that uses an MT4 platform such as North Finance, IBFX, ODL, FXDD to name a few. For instruction on installing EA's go to: http://www.halcyonfx.com/howtoinstall.htm

By setting multiple profit targets we are exercising money management, while aiming for 95pips profit from a 50pip move in price.
We will simply be placing orders 5pips above the previous days HIGH and 5pips below the previous days LOW.(Actually, it's more like the previous 17hrs at 5pm EST.)
Use a 30pip stop loss for all orders.
Orders are placed on Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday and Friday.

EXECUTION:

1.) At 5pm EST open the 1hr chart (2hrs b4 start of the Asian session) of USDJPY. ( In an attempt to pre-empt questions about how this strategy works on other pairs, I will post results comparing GBPUSD, GBPJPY, EURJPY, and EURUSD. You're welcome to add to the list.)
For those who need help with converting timezones go to: http://www.timeanddate.com/worldclock/converter.html
For those whose brokers spreads are still wide at 5pm EST on Sunday (which is 7am my time on a Monday here in Brisbane), in order to avoid the wide spreads you may need to wait until they reduce to normal before placing the orders for the day. I typically have to wait until around 8pm EST for Oanda's spreads to reduce back to normal.


2.) Use the high and low of the previous 17hrs. For Mondays orders go back as far as 00:00 EST on Friday for high and low.

3.) Open a total of 6 PENDING orders (for each pair) including 3 BUY STOPS and 3 SELL STOPS that expire within 24hrs (I use 18hrs) as follows:

Buy/Long Orders:
i. #1 - Entry = HIGH+5pips, Take Profit=15pips, S/L=30pips
ii. #2 - Entry = HIGH+5pips, Take Profit=30pips, S/L=30pips
iii. #3 - Entry = HIGH+5pips, Take Profit=50pips, S/L=30pips

Sell/Short Orders:
i. #1 - Entry = LOW-5pips, Take Profit=15pips, S/L=30pips
ii. #2 - Entry = LOW-5pips, Take Profit=30pips, S/L=30pips
iii. #3 - Entry = LOW-5pips, Take Profit=50pips, S/L=30pips

That's it.

Once you have placed your orders you are free to go and do something else with your day as this strategy does not require you to be monitoring the trades. Though, as already mentioned, to maximise results you may choose to adjust stop levels when profit targets are reached which by the way is automatically done by the EA.

There can be 4 possible outcomes after either the long or short trades are triggered:
1.) All 3 profit targets are reached for a total of +95pips.
2.) The first 2 profit targets are reached (+45pips) and the remaining lot is stopped out (-30pips) leaving a total of +15pips.
3.) The first profit target is reached (+15pips) and the two remaining lots are stopped out for a total of -45pips.
4.) All 3 lots are stopped out for a total of -90pips.
Additional to this is the variable outcomes of when both the long and short trades are triggered.
Also note that for those so inclined to monitor the trades, stop levels may be adjusted on remaining lot/s to protect already achieved profits. Trailing stops may also be used at your discretion. These features are included in the EA.

Please note that as a general rule of thumb you should not risk any more than 3% of your trading account on any one trade.
Therefore, with the DAILY95PIPS strategy the order size will need to be divided between the long and short orders. The total potential loss on the long orders (90pips) will therefore add up to 3% of your trading account.
Alternatively, you could risk 3% of your trading capital on EACH order, totalling 9% of your trading capital being risked for the long trades. The same applies to the short orders.

Happy trading everyone !

Last edited by mikelath, Jan 26, 2008 5:44am
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  #2  
Old Aug 26, 2007 7:22pm
mikelath's Avatar
trading for living
 
Member Since May 2007
1 Vouchers  339 Posts
Talking Results

DAILY95PIPS results will be posted here:
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  #3  
Old Aug 26, 2007 7:35pm
Member
 
Member Since Apr 2006
Default

Mike,
Thanks for posting this. It looks interesting.

I have a question-

Quote:
Orders are placed on Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday and Friday.
They are placed at 7PM EST. I don't think any broker is open at 7PM EST on Fridays. Did you mean 7PM EST on Thursday for Friday?

The same for Sunday- Would we open orders Sunday at 7PM EST for Monday?

Thank you
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  #4  
Old Aug 26, 2007 7:37pm
Billser's Avatar
Member
 
Member Since Jan 2007
2 Vouchers  684 Posts
Default Sell Buy

If the buy orders get triggered do you cancel the sell orders and visa versa

Thanks,

Billser

EDIT: What do you do about the Sunday Candle...do you treat it as a seperate day or add it to the friday candle...

Quote:
Originally Posted by mikelath View Post
DAILY95PIPS results will be posted here:
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Last edited by Billser, Aug 26, 2007 7:49pm
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  #5  
Old Aug 26, 2007 7:54pm
mikelath's Avatar
trading for living
 
Member Since May 2007
1 Vouchers  339 Posts
Smile

Quote:
Originally Posted by billbss View Post
Mike,
Thanks for posting this. It looks interesting.

I have a question-

They are placed at 7PM EST. I don't think any broker is open at 7PM EST on Fridays. Did you mean 7PM EST on Thursday for Friday?

The same for Sunday- Would we open orders Sunday at 7PM EST for Monday?

Thank you
Hi Bill and thanks for the questions
With this strategy we are basically using the previous days HIGH and LOW.
Therefore, Monday's orders would be based on the high and low of the previous Friday (unless there has been unusually high activity over the weekend, in which case you could use Sunday's data).
Correct...Friday's orders are based on Thursday's high and low.
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  #6  
Old Aug 26, 2007 7:58pm
mikelath's Avatar
trading for living
 
Member Since May 2007
1 Vouchers  339 Posts
Smile

Quote:
Originally Posted by Billser View Post
If the buy orders get triggered do you cancel the sell orders and visa versa

Thanks,

Billser

EDIT: What do you do about the Sunday Candle...do you treat it as a seperate day or add it to the friday candle...
I personally leave both orders open until they cancel. I set the expiry of the orders at 18hrs. This does leave open the possibility of BOTH trades being triggered.
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  #7  
Old Aug 26, 2007 8:11pm
Billser's Avatar
Member
 
Member Since Jan 2007
2 Vouchers  684 Posts
Default E/J

Do you have any thoughts on the EUR/JPY pair with regards to SL TP. Thanks for the thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by mikelath View Post
I personally leave both orders open until they cancel. I set the expiry of the orders at 18hrs. This does leave open the possibility of BOTH trades being triggered.
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  #8  
Old Aug 26, 2007 9:07pm
mikelath's Avatar
trading for living
 
Member Since May 2007
1 Vouchers  339 Posts
Thumbs up

Quote:
Originally Posted by Billser View Post
Do you have any thoughts on the EUR/JPY pair with regards to SL TP. Thanks for the thread
Thanks for the question Bill.
Yes, I am currently also paper trading the same strategy on numerous currency pairs ( USDJPY, GBPJPY, EURJPY, GBPUSD, EURUSD.)
I've also edited the original post indicating that I will compare results between these pairs.
I've used the same SL and TP for all. If you have the means to determine optimal SL and TP by all means do so and let us know.
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  #9  
Old Aug 26, 2007 9:09pm
johnedoe's Avatar
Infractions Overload
 
Member Since Dec 2005
Default

this might be a good strategy for those ranging times...and possibly the EUR/GBP....
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  #10  
Old Aug 26, 2007 9:30pm
jcarrier's Avatar
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Member Since Feb 2007
Smile Past Results

Hello, what have been the past results of our mentors. This seems pretty mechanical? Thank you in advance...Joe
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  #11  
Old Aug 26, 2007 11:29pm
Syafi's Avatar
Climbing Peaks Gliding Valleys
 
Member Since Aug 2007
Default

based on observation. today, it would have been a nice +95 pip.
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  #12  
Old Aug 26, 2007 11:40pm
johnedoe's Avatar
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Member Since Dec 2005
Default

???? which pair....not much movement on a sunday afternoon...
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  #13  
Old Aug 27, 2007 12:42am
Syafi's Avatar
Climbing Peaks Gliding Valleys
 
Member Since Aug 2007
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GBP/JPY ~100 pip up............ from last week high.....
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  #14  
Old Aug 27, 2007 1:48am
mikelath's Avatar
trading for living
 
Member Since May 2007
1 Vouchers  339 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by johnedoe View Post
this might be a good strategy for those ranging times...and possibly the EUR/GBP....
Good idea John...EURGBP may also be a pipfactory for this strategy.
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  #15  
Old Aug 27, 2007 1:56am
mikelath's Avatar
trading for living
 
Member Since May 2007
1 Vouchers  339 Posts
Smile

Quote:
Originally Posted by jcarrier View Post
Hello, what have been the past results of our mentors. This seems pretty mechanical? Thank you in advance...Joe
Yes Joe, this is a VERY mechanical system...the advantage of this is that 99.9% of emotion can be removed from the trading process, and that's the great thing about a set and forget strategy.

In terms of past results, I have seen versions of this strategy that aim for profits of 60pips from a 30pip move in price, risking 90pips. The average monthly result is approx. 300pips.
The basis of this system is the same ie. placing limit orders 5pips above and below the previous days high and low, however I have introduced a variation on the money management strategy which involves aiming for 95pips while risking 90pips. Therefore, I do not have any historical results to share with you at this point in time...sorry 'bout that. The results of this new approach are being forward tested and posted on this thread.
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