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Davit's Confluence Trading

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  • Post# 1
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  • First Post: Oct 1, 2012 10:23am
  • Davit
    Joined Feb 2012 | 2,025 Posts | Status: Member
I consider myself flexible trader and often get stifled on rigid trading systems.
I consider Support and Resistance,Sentiment,direction to be most important.
If you like to trade on these basic concepts then its enough to improve your trading tremendously.
I think of these three elements in trading like a skeleton which holds everything together.
I also use fibs as a support tool.It is important to understand that Price does not necessarily reflect Fib levels or any levels at all.
Price is determined by buyers and sellers hence pushed one or other way until one side wins.
Technical Analyses is useful however to become true successful trader we should also take TA with grain of salt.Its only purpose is to give you confidence in our entry however most traders fail after entry because how we exit determines our trading capacity to be profitable or fail.
This is a hard concept to grasp but understanding that it takes great deal of psychology to exit orders successfully.
Method and system are useless without proper MM and psychology and in the end trading is part psychology and part Art form.
Propose of this thread is to share trades help everyone to become a better trader.
It does not matter your style,indicator,set ups etc. What I consider most important how you exit your trade after getting in.
To help understand importance of this watch this video by Jason Alan Jankovsky - In Through the Out Door

Everyone welcome!


"Let winners run and cut losers quickly" a cliche but 100% true
  • Post# 2
  • Quote
  • Oct 1, 2012 10:33am
  • Davit
    Joined Feb 2012 | 2,025 Posts | Status: Member
My actives trades Oct 1 10:31 NY time
Long on UCAD 9818 9809
I drew the lines to illustrate logic behind my orders. Price is ranging between those red lines and I will exit once it hits 9850 level
My SL is 9780 area.
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"Let winners run and cut losers quickly" a cliche but 100% true
  • Post# 3
  • Quote
  • Oct 1, 2012 11:55am
  • Davit
    Joined Feb 2012 | 2,025 Posts | Status: Member
Closed my Cad buys since I don't like News(Bernanke speaking in 40min) trading.
+31pips
"Let winners run and cut losers quickly" a cliche but 100% true
  • Post# 4
  • Quote
  • Oct 3, 2012 6:05pm
  • Davit
    Joined Feb 2012 | 2,025 Posts | Status: Member
Scalped today on Euro +20pips.
Better then nothing but dead market.Hard PA to figure out.
This is the time to step back and wait for good set ups.
Aussie dollar looks enticing at 1.021 long however daily shows easy .96 as well.
Euro still remains the queen which sets the tempo.If Euro climbs jump on Aussie and cable too.
For now drink ,think and relax
"Let winners run and cut losers quickly" a cliche but 100% true
  • Post# 5
  • Quote
  • Oct 3, 2012 6:35pm
  • Davit
    Joined Feb 2012 | 2,025 Posts | Status: Member
Went long on AU 10217
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"Let winners run and cut losers quickly" a cliche but 100% true
  • Post# 6
  • Quote
  • Oct 10, 2012 8:14pm
  • Davit
    Joined Feb 2012 | 2,025 Posts | Status: Member
Some thoughts about trading.
Trade less but hold position longer for max profits.Wait for proper set ups.
Waiting possible bounce from 200EMA (yellow) Looks like major S/R level as well.I use fibs a lot in my trading so its there as well
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"Let winners run and cut losers quickly" a cliche but 100% true
  • Post# 7
  • Quote
  • Oct 10, 2012 8:23pm
  • Davit
    Joined Feb 2012 | 2,025 Posts | Status: Member
Waiting for AU unemployment data. Leaning on Bears
"Let winners run and cut losers quickly" a cliche but 100% true
  • Post# 8
  • Quote
  • Oct 13, 2012 10:43am
  • Davit
    Joined Feb 2012 | 2,025 Posts | Status: Member
I have been using limit orders with great success lately.
Idea is if we know direction of the main trend but market is in range mode then we could place limit orders to be triggered at numbers most beneficial.(not a new idea original Turtle traders used limit orders as their primary weapon)
UCAD was ranging lately between 9760-98 but hovering around 9780
So I placed limit order at 9770 which was triggered and closed at 98.Stress free 30pips.
I have limit orders at 1020/1019/1018 on AU.All those numbers are on major demand zone.
Price is currently 1023 but it could gap down on Monday to trigger my orders.
"Let winners run and cut losers quickly" a cliche but 100% true
  • Post# 9
  • Quote
  • Oct 15, 2012 1:11pm
  • Davit
    Joined Feb 2012 | 2,025 Posts | Status: Member
Went long on UC at 9780 TP 9810
Price is in the channel. I have bigger limit order at 9750
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"Let winners run and cut losers quickly" a cliche but 100% true
  • Post# 10
  • Quote
  • Oct 15, 2012 8:03pm
  • Arkpip
    Joined Jan 2008 | 14 Posts | Status: Member
Hello Davit

I like the way you trade and see things here (I've seen your posts in FXpro's thread). I'm following Rocky's thread as well (seen you there too ) as I truly believe supply and demand is what really move any market.

Good luck with you journal, looking forward to learn from you and your trading methods.

Subscribed and best wishes
  • Post# 11
  • Quote
  • Oct 15, 2012 11:56pm
  • Davit
    Joined Feb 2012 | 2,025 Posts | Status: Member
Quoting Arkpip
Hello Davit

I like the way you trade and see things here (I've seen your posts in FXpro's thread). I'm following Rocky's thread as well (seen you there too ) as I truly believe supply and demand is what really move any market.

Good luck with you journal, looking forward to learn from you and your trading methods.

Subscribed and best wishes
Arkpip
Thanks for your post.Very refreshing.I will post as much as I can about my orders.

UCAD TP hit easy +30pips
"Let winners run and cut losers quickly" a cliche but 100% true
  • Post# 12
  • Quote
  • Oct 16, 2012 12:19am
  • Davit
    Joined Feb 2012 | 2,025 Posts | Status: Member
Watching Aussie to hit supply zone 1029 and if wont pierce possible short to 22-20 demand zone
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"Let winners run and cut losers quickly" a cliche but 100% true
  • Post# 13
  • Quote
  • Oct 16, 2012 8:25pm
  • Davit
    Joined Feb 2012 | 2,025 Posts | Status: Member
I went strategic short on Euro at 31 and may add more shorts if London pushes higher.
This is rumor,hype driven and bloom will get busted.Price hit a resistance on the left.Blue line.
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"Let winners run and cut losers quickly" a cliche but 100% true
  • Post# 14
  • Quote
  • Oct 17, 2012 8:57am
  • omni
    Joined Jun 2009 | 15 Posts | Status: Member
What happened to your 4 long USDCAD positions you had on a while back?
  • Post# 15
  • Quote
  • Oct 17, 2012 12:15pm
  • Davit
    Joined Feb 2012 | 2,025 Posts | Status: Member
Quoting omni
What happened to your 4 long USDCAD positions you had on a while back?
Closed all of them with profit at 9838. I have more limit buys now.at 9790 80 and 2x9750
Thanks for checking my journal.
"Let winners run and cut losers quickly" a cliche but 100% true
  • Post# 16
  • Quote
  • Oct 17, 2012 11:45pm
  • Davit
    Joined Feb 2012 | 2,025 Posts | Status: Member
My buy limits are triggered on UCAD
9770 1lot 9785 1lot 97901lot
2lot waiting at 9750 to be activated if price reaches.
"Let winners run and cut losers quickly" a cliche but 100% true
  • Post# 17
  • Quote
  • Oct 17, 2012 11:56pm
  • Davit
    Joined Feb 2012 | 2,025 Posts | Status: Member
According to Donchian- genius of trend following
3 day up move follows 1day down move
Euro looks like a candidate.

Just watching for signs.
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"Let winners run and cut losers quickly" a cliche but 100% true
  • Post# 18
  • Quote
  • Oct 18, 2012 11:08am
  • Davit
    Joined Feb 2012 | 2,025 Posts | Status: Member
Quoting Davit
My buy limits are triggered on UCAD
9770 1lot 9785 1lot 97901lot
2lot waiting at 9750 to be activated if price reaches.
closed my 3 buys UCAD at 9825 +127 pips
"Let winners run and cut losers quickly" a cliche but 100% true
  • Post# 19
  • Quote
  • Oct 22, 2012 12:22pm | Edited at 12:36pm
  • Davit
    Joined Feb 2012 | 2,025 Posts | Status: Member
No trades yet ranging markets

Possible trade on UCAD tomorrow,once confirmed
Most likely I will wait until Tues 9am Boc Rate release if rates are cut I am going long.
"Let winners run and cut losers quickly" a cliche but 100% true
  • Post# 20
  • Quote
  • Oct 23, 2012 1:25am
  • Davit
    Joined Feb 2012 | 2,025 Posts | Status: Member
Waiting for Euro direction move.Its ranging in very narrow range.
I primary trade UCAD so for those unfamiliar if Euro goes UP short the UCAD if Euro goes down long UCAD.
We had no retrace yet on UCAD and I am looking for possible short. Daily trend is up however it could drop to 9820 area and resume the up trend again.
I'll post my daily and 4h
Orange line is 50EMA yellow 200EMA Price itself is my fastest indicator.
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"Let winners run and cut losers quickly" a cliche but 100% true
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