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Semafor Trend Trading

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  • Linked Explorer: MooApiary | Brokerage Account XXXXX51 Starting Sep 13, 2012
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  • mksmith31
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Performance   Return   Profit   Pips   Entr/Exit   Lots  
Today (Tue) ? ? ? ? ?  
This Week ? ? ? ? ?  
This Month ? ? ? ? ?  
This Year -19.7% -260 106/105
All Time -57.5% 709 224/223
Open Trades   MTM   Lots   Lev   Return   Profit   Pips   Stop (Gap)   Target (Gap)  
EUR/JPY Buy 128.30 128.08 8:1 -1.3% -21 na  
Return by Trade#
224 Trades
Profit by Weeks
40 Weeks
Non-Cume Return
224 Trades
Equity Balance
40 Weeks
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  • Post# 1
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  • First Post: Sep 13, 2012 10:30am | Edited Sep 14, 2012 4:40pm
  • mksmith31
    Joined May 2011 | 36 Posts | Status: Member
I am trader of about 7 years. I have been through many systems looking for the holy grail until I realized there is no such thing! I would not call myself an expert, but with the help of this forum, and many others along the way (mainly John Thomas from Kitsap and Dredding82 for showing how powerful Semafor's can be) I am confident and successful.

Before you post, know the rules:

1. Semafors repaint (I KNOW THIS). So please do not comment about it repainting, they are just guides.
2. This is what works for me, and this is just information that hopefully help other traders out there.
3. Please be courteous and mindful of each other. This is a friendly thread, in which we can learn together.
4. I am not giving you trading signals and will not be responsible for any gains and/or losses you incur trading this system. This is simply a sharing of the things I have found that have worked for me.

On to the good stuff. I have learned to keep it simple. Here are the tools you need:

1. 3_Level_ZZ_Semafor (Dredding82's threads have a good one)(You can find it here: http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=308231)
2. A pivot indicator (I use the SonicR Control Panel)(You can find it here:http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=114792)
3. (Optional) A Zig Zag of some sort if you want to see the trend easier. I have posted one below.

The important thing to know is to trade with the trade! Semafors appear in 3 sizes (small, medium, and large). This is how I trade trade them:

Buy:
1. Large or medium semafor appears on bottom (showing extreme level)
2. Price moves higher creating a semafor on top
3. Then a move lower without making a "new low", creating another new semafor ("Higher Low")(A low, then high, then higher low confirms an up trend in MOST cases)
4. Buy the break high of this candle. (Normally a "bullish engulfing candle")

Sell:
1. Large or medium semafor appears on top
2. Price moves lower creating a semafor on bottom
3. Then a move higher without making a "new high", creating another new semafor ("Lower High")(A high, then low, then lower high confirms a down trend in most cases)
4. Sell the break low of this candle. (Normally a "bearish engulfing candle")

Your targets depend on the time frame and where your pivots are showing support or resistance. On a BUY I normally put a Fibo from your high to your lower low and shoot for the 161.8% retracement level. A sell would be the reverse. My stop is always a few pips beyond the lower low or higher high used to set up the trade.

The trade explorer is up as of September 13, 212 (and this account will only trade semafor system trades so we can get an accurate picture of the profitability.) The account is "live" not a "demo".

Here is an example:

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Size: 159 KB


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Size: 125 KB


Attached File
File Type: ex4 SonicR Control Panel (White).ex4   97 KB | 501 downloads

Attached File
File Type: ex4 3_Level_ZZ_Semafor.ex4   43 KB | 545 downloads

Attached File
File Type: ex4 ZigZagAdvanced_mj_v1.13.ex4   47 KB | 527 downloads

Attached File
File Type: tpl semafor trend trading.tpl   75 KB | 460 downloads | Uploaded Sep 14, 2012 4:02pm
  • Post# 2
  • Quote
  • Sep 13, 2012 11:05am
  • mksmith31
    Joined May 2011 | 36 Posts | Status: Member
This just presented itself on M5:

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  • Post# 3
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  • Sep 13, 2012 12:04pm
  • ineed300pips
    Joined May 2012 | 84 Posts | Status: Member
Hello mksmith31,

Yes if we know how to use the this indicator it's very useful.
And we can get better results in the higher time frames.
We need patience for use this method but the results are good.

Good trades
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  • Post# 4
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  • Sep 13, 2012 1:18pm
  • mksmith31
    Joined May 2011 | 36 Posts | Status: Member
My style would be something like this:

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  • Post# 5
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  • Sep 13, 2012 2:31pm
  • ineed300pips
    Joined May 2012 | 84 Posts | Status: Member
Good style mksmith31
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  • Post# 6
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  • Sep 13, 2012 2:36pm
  • mksmith31
    Joined May 2011 | 36 Posts | Status: Member
I've tried that method, as suggested by Dredding82, which pretty darn good results if you follow the trend correctly. I personally like trading the engulfing candle as it gets you in the trade a little quicker. I keep my SL just above the previous semafor as he suggests as well.
  • Post# 7
  • Quote
  • Sep 13, 2012 2:48pm
  • ineed300pips
    Joined May 2012 | 84 Posts | Status: Member
Dinner time
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  • Post# 8
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  • Sep 13, 2012 4:13pm
  • ineed300pips
    Joined May 2012 | 84 Posts | Status: Member
Hi mksmith31, you only trade the "EU" pair?
  • Post# 9
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  • Sep 13, 2012 4:16pm
  • ineed300pips
    Joined May 2012 | 84 Posts | Status: Member
Hey mksmith31,

Look another big trend
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  • Post# 10
  • Quote
  • Sep 13, 2012 4:19pm
  • ineed300pips
    Joined May 2012 | 84 Posts | Status: Member
Patience!!
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  • Post# 11
  • Quote
  • Sep 13, 2012 7:04pm
  • mksmith31
    Joined May 2011 | 36 Posts | Status: Member
I totally missed most of the run up I wasn't paying attention, but the M1 chart showed a number of perfect entries. I normally stick to the Euro/Usd M5 or M15 during late Europe and early NY. I have dabbled with multiple pairs and have found I am better when I focus on one.
  • Post# 12
  • Quote
  • Sep 13, 2012 7:28pm
  • choudri
    Joined Nov 2008 | 11 Posts | Status: Member
Nice system Requesting to post indicators too Goodluck
regards.
  • Post# 13
  • Quote
  • Sep 13, 2012 7:42pm
  • mksmith31
    Joined May 2011 | 36 Posts | Status: Member
Quoting choudri
Nice system Requesting to post indicators too Goodluck
regards.
Choudri, the indicators have been added to Post #1
  • Post# 14
  • Quote
  • Sep 13, 2012 7:59pm
  • Holy Cow
    Joined Jun 2012 | 171 Posts | Status: Member
I see like minded people here! The thread was kind of apart from other threads and caught my attention.
  • Post# 15
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  • Sep 13, 2012 8:04pm
  • mksmith31
    Joined May 2011 | 36 Posts | Status: Member
Quoting Holy Cow
I see like minded people here! The thread was kind of apart from other threads and caught my attention.
Holy Cow,

Enjoy your stay! Hope this thread can be of some help.
  • Post# 16
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  • Sep 13, 2012 8:09pm
  • Holy Cow
    Joined Jun 2012 | 171 Posts | Status: Member
I am always looking for trend traders like myself. Looks like August is over and we are in business again
  • Post# 17
  • Quote
  • Sep 14, 2012 7:07am
  • FerruFx
    Joined May 2007 | 1,132 Posts | Status: MT4 EAs/Indicators/Alerts coder
mksmith31,

You have a new follower! Count me in ...
MT4 EAs/Indicators/Alerts coder
  • Post# 18
  • Quote
  • Sep 14, 2012 7:56am
  • mksmith31
    Joined May 2011 | 36 Posts | Status: Member
Man I wish I lived in London. Lots of opportunities today!

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  • Post# 19
  • Quote
  • Sep 14, 2012 8:21am
  • ineed300pips
    Joined May 2012 | 84 Posts | Status: Member
Quoting mksmith31
Man I wish I lived in London. Lots of opportunities today!
Hey mksmith31,

You don't need to live in London to have good trade opportunities ...
  • Post# 20
  • Quote
  • Sep 14, 2012 8:24am
  • ineed300pips
    Joined May 2012 | 84 Posts | Status: Member
Look in USA
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