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Swing trading with Andrew's pitchforks and volume analysis journal

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  • Post# 1
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  • First Post: Nov 23, 2011 12:36am | Edited Feb 14, 2012 9:04pm
  • bayfisherman
    Joined Nov 2011 | 1,148 Posts | Status: Member
A friend advised me some of you may appreciate looking at some clearly explained charts and analysis...Hope you enjoy. Any comments good or bad are welcomed. I use pitchforks to get the general path of price and trade off them as support and resistance.

Each market has a frequency of it's own, it's just a matter of tuning into it and letting the lines show you the way. Volume analysis at those areas will help determine whether or not the line is valid or not at that particular time.

Still looking at volume on a weekly and daily basis, but these harmonic patterns on the 15 and 60m time frames are too consistant to overlook...
  • Post# 2
  • Quote
  • Nov 23, 2011 12:40am
  • Incrediblle
    Infractions Overload | 1,275 Posts | Joined Mar 2011
Honest and hardworking guy

looking forward to your new journey of success

subscribed
Trade responsiblypatience is the key/Swing trader
  • Post# 3
  • Quote
  • Nov 23, 2011 12:47am
  • bayfisherman
    Joined Nov 2011 | 1,148 Posts | Status: Member
Quoting bayfisherman
A friend advised my some of you may appreciate looking at some clearing explained chart analysis...Hope you enjoy. Any comments good or bad are welcomed. I use pitchforks to get the general path of price and trade off them as support and resistance.

Each market has a frequency of it's own, it's just a matter of tuning into it and letting the lines show you the way. Volume analysis at those areas will help determine whether or not the line is valid or not at that particular time.

Here's a quick sample of the power of these forks..

http://my.jetscreenshot.com/demo/20111123-cvld-250kb...
Here's the screenshot sorry about the link...
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  • Post# 4
  • Quote
  • Nov 23, 2011 1:00am
  • bayfisherman
    Joined Nov 2011 | 1,148 Posts | Status: Member
It's late and I just threw this up there but there will be plenty more to come. Feel free to send any questions my way. I enjoy the banter. Thanks. I've been looking mostly at the USD pairs here lately and I do some correlational stuff with the futures markets in the DX, OIL and ES contracts. For got to mention along with pitchforks and volume I"m looking at some Elliot wave principle and momentum usually RSI. Here's an other one I marked up for my brother since he likes to trade stocks...
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  • Post# 5
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  • Nov 23, 2011 5:42am
  • bayfisherman
    Joined Nov 2011 | 1,148 Posts | Status: Member
Here's a look at a Modified Schiff fork on the EU.
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  • Post# 6
  • Quote
  • Nov 23, 2011 5:55am
  • bayfisherman
    Joined Nov 2011 | 1,148 Posts | Status: Member
usdUCHF? I'm getting up to early for this .... lol.
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  • Post# 7
  • Quote
  • Nov 23, 2011 6:00am
  • Incrediblle
    Infractions Overload | 1,275 Posts | Joined Mar 2011
are u holding any position right now?
Trade responsiblypatience is the key/Swing trader
  • Post# 8
  • Quote
  • Nov 23, 2011 6:11am
  • bayfisherman
    Joined Nov 2011 | 1,148 Posts | Status: Member
Quoting Incrediblle
are u holding any position right now?
yes I will probably hold this one through the weekend if possible.
  • Post# 9
  • Quote
  • Nov 23, 2011 7:06am
  • Pipbumper
    Joined Jun 2011 | 514 Posts | Status: Member
some upward movement if possible, take care and choose the short right. I would not jump in short before at least 1.3420, better at 1.3450 depending on pa
  • Post# 10
  • Quote
  • Nov 23, 2011 7:23am
  • bayfisherman
    Joined Nov 2011 | 1,148 Posts | Status: Member
Really don't know what to think about that other thread...is it always like that?

I appreciate some actual constructive feedback. That other stuff is a joke.
  • Post# 11
  • Quote
  • Nov 23, 2011 8:25pm
  • bayfisherman
    Joined Nov 2011 | 1,148 Posts | Status: Member
Definitely technical signs of a bounce as price moves up how high?... I don't know. I've started using sell stop orders under market as price rises in this down trend on lower volume and caught the trendline break selloff...Using 20 pip initial stop and 20 pip trailing, especially if I'm crashing over night to give it some room....and it's worked out pretty well so far till the morning when I can manually put my stop where I like.

I'm short the EU currently and long the usdCHF, and usdJPY...missed the turn tonight in the yen...that trade has really trickled along and finally made some nice gains today just to give it all back tonight...intervention anyone?
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  • Post# 12
  • Quote
  • Nov 23, 2011 8:43pm
  • bayfisherman
    Joined Nov 2011 | 1,148 Posts | Status: Member
looking like the other usd pairs potential pullback here...
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  • Post# 13
  • Quote
  • Nov 23, 2011 8:51pm
  • bayfisherman
    Joined Nov 2011 | 1,148 Posts | Status: Member
this trade has been very fickle...not much luck with yen, but I'm still holding by long position...potential long off trendline support tonight.
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  • Post# 14
  • Quote
  • Nov 23, 2011 8:57pm
  • bayfisherman
    Joined Nov 2011 | 1,148 Posts | Status: Member
Short aussie on pullbacks...very weak this one.
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  • Post# 15
  • Quote
  • Nov 23, 2011 9:01pm
  • bayfisherman
    Joined Nov 2011 | 1,148 Posts | Status: Member
This one looks weak as well...stay short sell rallies.
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  • Post# 16
  • Quote
  • Nov 23, 2011 9:05pm
  • bayfisherman
    Joined Nov 2011 | 1,148 Posts | Status: Member
like all the rest downtrend well intact...look to sell rallies on lower volume at resistance.
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  • Post# 17
  • Quote
  • Nov 23, 2011 9:18pm
  • bayfisherman
    Joined Nov 2011 | 1,148 Posts | Status: Member
woulda coulda shoulda...lines are still in play here.
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  • Post# 18
  • Quote
  • Nov 23, 2011 9:22pm
  • bayfisherman
    Joined Nov 2011 | 1,148 Posts | Status: Member
I use ninja trader...you reall need one with all the functionality or you are just going to be spinning your wheels...
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  • Post# 19
  • Quote
  • Nov 23, 2011 11:53pm
  • bumapatria
    Commercial Member | 10,139 Posts | Joined Aug 2011
hey sir, perhaps u can show us a method to draw one manually?

thank you, id love to see your trades based on it
  • Post# 20
  • Quote
  • Nov 24, 2011 4:29am
  • bayfisherman
    Joined Nov 2011 | 1,148 Posts | Status: Member
1st you need to pick out your A.B and C points and those can be any 3 consecutive swing points on any time frame actually. I suggest using anything from the 20 min time frame and up...

A downsloping fork you will pick swings from A the high to B the next swing low, then C the next significant swing high and the reversal will be true for an upsloping fork....swing low, swing high, swing low. You will use your line segment tool to draw a straight line from point B to C, then another one from point A through the midpoint of line segment BC...that will be your slope of the fork and "median line". Now you can simply copy that line and drag a parrallel out to each swing at points B and C so you have your pitchfork configuration. Now finding the midpiont of BC may be difficult if you don't have something to measure that, but I've used my fibonnacci tool before simply drag it from B to C and the intersection of the 50% line over BC will give you the midpoint.
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