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Beyond the Candles

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  • Post# 1,101
  • Quote
  • Mar 14, 2013 9:29am
  • fxgroup
    Joined Nov 2010 | 756 Posts | Status: Member
USDTRY-PTT&TTP...all depends by Trading Psychology !
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Nothing personal,just business.
  • Post# 1,102
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  • Mar 15, 2013 10:44pm
  • tonny21
    Joined Mar 2013 | 4 Posts | Status: Member
I'm sure the issue is ways to seek hint. once the fad is usually grasp underside or possibly major, definitely will the cost slow or possibly go on all the tendency once break our by merging region. whenever a large is usually drained or unrealistic or maybe good?
You may well enlighten us . what type of hint you take advantage of. Could it be basically S/R, Fibo replacement and / or another thing completely new?

Thank you & Peace of mind!!
  • Post# 1,103
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  • Mar 16, 2013 7:48am | Edited at 8:15am
  • JayTrader
    Joined May 2010 | 386 Posts | Status: Always Learning
Hope everyone is having a good weekend.
AUDCHF is a pair I am looking at for next week if sellers confirmation shows up.
On the Daily there is already a BEOB + PB (sellers confirmation) but it had to clear 2 M levels close together so I am looking for extra confirmation
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Jay
  • Post# 1,104
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  • Mar 16, 2013 8:18am
  • msmarple
    Joined Oct 2008 | 825 Posts | Status: Is that true ?
Looks good

We will have to wait and see how AUD strength in general develops. In AUDUSD there was a bounce off the lows, and AUDJPY touched 100.00 but retreated slightly ( in the wake of USDJPY retrace ).

But even if 100.00 is high or AUDCHF looks overbought we have to wait for fxgroup´s confirmation signals, as " too high " can even go higher, especially if all retail traders are convinced of a reversal.....

Have a nice weekend everyone !
  • Post# 1,105
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  • Mar 16, 2013 9:15am
  • 60minuteman
    Joined Feb 2012 | 1,579 Posts | Status: Member
Quoting JayTrader
Hope everyone is having a good weekend.
AUDCHF is a pair I am looking at for next week if sellers confirmation shows up.
On the Daily there is already a BEOB + PB (sellers confirmation) but it had to clear 2 M levels close together so I am looking for extra confirmation
Attachment 1153582
Attachment 1153583
Jay...

Daily has closed down and below daily s/r... BUT... weekly still closed up, so Bulls still in charge on weekly for now...

Monday tuesday most likely see some daily moves down to weekly s/r before a retest of the high at least..

Weekly chart attached
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  • Post# 1,106
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  • Mar 16, 2013 9:19am
  • 60minuteman
    Joined Feb 2012 | 1,579 Posts | Status: Member
AU daily and weekly closing up and over s/r... confirms a move up to a monthly sr at least... we are right at a level on monthly now and just above (see daily chart with monthly s/r marked) Expect a grind up to the monthly line then sharp correction when we hit

Daily chart attached, monthly sr
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  • Post# 1,107
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  • Mar 17, 2013 3:47pm
  • sodiska
    Joined Nov 2011 | 61 Posts | Status: Member
Hi Fxgroup, EURAUD P in W close below neckline with strong bearish candle. First sign of bear taking control?




[quote=sodiska;6507632]Noted. Thank you again.



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  • Post# 1,108
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  • Mar 17, 2013 4:10pm
  • haimber
    Joined Nov 2012 | 110 Posts | Status: dancing with the price
[quote=sodiska;6521090]Hi Fxgroup, EURAUD P in W close below neckline with strong bearish candle. First sign of bear taking control?




Quoting sodiska
Noted. Thank you again.

at the moment in confluence of resistence. maybe better to stay aside till we get a clear confirmation.
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trading is not an addiction. it's a profession.
  • Post# 1,109
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  • Mar 18, 2013 10:18am
  • fxgroup
    Joined Nov 2010 | 756 Posts | Status: Member
Quoting 60minuteman
AU daily and weekly closing up and over s/r... confirms a move up to a monthly sr at least... we are right at a level on monthly now and just above (see daily chart with monthly s/r marked) Expect a grind up to the monthly line then sharp correction when we hit

Daily chart attached, monthly sr
You don't need those ugly lines...all you you need is simple price !...and your M levels are so close that is impossible to make MM.
The W closed above 1.0362 and is toward to the W RM's R....where we will wait to see somo furthers information. A close above it makes 1.08 and 1.10 the next TGs.
I will consider to sell it only bellow 1.0150 till the dynamic S !
Nothing personal,just business.
  • Post# 1,110
  • Quote
  • Mar 19, 2013 6:07am
  • fxgroup
    Joined Nov 2010 | 756 Posts | Status: Member
[quote=haimber;6521187][quote=sodiska;6521090]
Quote
Hi Fxgroup, EURAUD P in W close below neckline with strong bearish candle. First sign of bear taking control?
at the moment in confluence of resistence. maybe better to stay aside till we get a clear confirmation.
At this moment I have only 2 levels on my chart: 1.30 for buy it and 1.22 for sell it !
Nothing personal,just business.
  • Post# 1,111
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  • Mar 19, 2013 1:42pm
  • sodiska
    Joined Nov 2011 | 61 Posts | Status: Member
EURGBP M shows a bullish flag formed. M trend is bullish but on Feb, a PB is formed with long head and P close above TL. Indecision here. In W chart, P is stuck around 0.8670. If this W P close below bearish TL, opportunity to short with TG at 0.8290.
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  • Post# 1,112
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  • Mar 19, 2013 4:34pm
  • wolf304
    Joined Feb 2013 | 6 Posts | Status: Member
Quoting sodiska
EURGBP M shows a bullish flag formed. M trend is bullish but on Feb, a PB is formed with long head and P close above TL. Indecision here. In W chart, P is stuck around 0.8670. If this W P close below bearish TL, opportunity to short with TG at 0.8290.
I'm newbie here..I'm trying to better understand this methodology. Sorry for stupid remarks and/or questions.
In my opinion your bullish flag is bearish channel. Now M trend is bullish but we have NCA..Feb candle is doji..so it means indecision as you said. In W chart last week closed with a BEOB below 0.8681 level, so we need a confirmation and PA candle on D chart in order to perfom a short trade with 1°TG 0.8415 and 2°TG 0.8184, even if we are countertrend in M and W.
Could be correct my point of view?
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  • Post# 1,113
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  • Mar 19, 2013 5:34pm
  • JayTrader
    Joined May 2010 | 386 Posts | Status: Always Learning
AUDCAD
Here is a pair I am watching. Pair is testing the top of the M RM . Still a week early but watching to see if buyers push it out of the RM or if sellers push it back in. Buy would be a close above 1.065 and sell would be a close below 1.055 on M, with appropriate daily PA to support the trade MM and TGTs are marked on the chart. Final TGT for sell would be where TL and RM S meet.
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Jay
  • Post# 1,114
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  • Mar 20, 2013 3:30am
  • dfumagalli
    Joined Aug 2010 | 196 Posts | Status: Roaring in a cave near you
Quoting wolf304
I'm newbie here..I'm trying to better understand this methodology. Sorry for stupid remarks and/or questions.
In my opinion your bullish flag is bearish channel. Now M trend is bullish but we have NCA..Feb candle is doji..so it means indecision as you said. In W chart last week closed with a BEOB below 0.8681 level, so we need a confirmation and PA candle on D chart in order to perfom a short trade with 1°TG 0.8415 and 2°TG 0.8184, even if we are countertrend in M and W.
Could be correct my point of view?
Flags that contain enough swings or retrace back deep enough (can check that with Fibonacci tool) reveal to actually be channels.
In the specific example, if the current monthly swing is confirmed by a PA pattern, then we are in a bearish channel.
  • Post# 1,115
  • Quote
  • Mar 20, 2013 4:46am
  • wolf304
    Joined Feb 2013 | 6 Posts | Status: Member
Quoting dfumagalli
In the specific example, if the current monthly swing is confirmed by a PA pattern, then we are in a bearish channel.
That means if the current M candle close with a PB below TL and M level, bearish channel is confirmed. Right?
If the current M candle close with a simple bearish candle (not PA pattern) below TL and M level, can we consider bearish channel confirmed?
  • Post# 1,116
  • Quote
  • Mar 20, 2013 6:48am
  • fxgroup
    Joined Nov 2010 | 756 Posts | Status: Member
[quote=JayTrader;6528831]
Quote
AUDCAD
Here is a pair I am watching. Pair is testing the top of the M RM . Still a week early but watching to see if buyers push it out of the RM or if sellers push it back in. Buy would be a close above 1.065 and sell would be a close below 1.055 on M, with appropriate daily PA to support the trade MM and TGTs are marked on the chart. Final TGT for sell would be where TL and RM S meet.
Hi Jay
This is what I'm looking too..nice chart...the P is in a strong bullish long term and a close above the RM's R will push the P to the next important TGs...note how the P reached the R level after the BUOB confirmation at the RM's S level !

AUDJPY
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Nothing personal,just business.
  • Post# 1,117
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  • Mar 23, 2013 9:15am
  • dfumagalli
    Joined Aug 2010 | 196 Posts | Status: Roaring in a cave near you
Quoting wolf304
That means if the current M candle close with a PB below TL and M level, bearish channel is confirmed. Right?
If the current M candle close with a simple bearish candle (not PA pattern) below TL and M level, can we consider bearish channel confirmed?
The best setup would be a bearish PA pattern that also closes below the previous bar.
If it closed as it's today it'd be an inside bar and that's a less certain outcome.

Basically price does what it wants, including forming PA-less swings but we are after the clear ones or "confirmed ones".
The so called "selection criteria" are a very important tool for a trader's safest choices.
  • Post# 1,118
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  • Mar 24, 2013 4:40pm
  • wolf304
    Joined Feb 2013 | 6 Posts | Status: Member
Quoting dfumagalli
The best setup would be a bearish PA pattern that also closes below the previous bar.
If it closed as it's today it'd be an inside bar and that's a less certain outcome.

Basically price does what it wants, including forming PA-less swings but we are after the clear ones or "confirmed ones".
The so called "selection criteria" are a very important tool for a trader's safest choices.
ok thank...very clear
  • Post# 1,119
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  • Mar 25, 2013 1:21pm
  • sodiska
    Joined Nov 2011 | 61 Posts | Status: Member
EURNZD, W & D trend bearish. Last week P in W NCB 1.5477 which is the bottom of W RM. If end this W P close below 1.5477, short this pair with TG at around 1.5203. What do you guys think ?
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  • Post# 1,120
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  • Mar 25, 2013 2:01pm
  • wolf304
    Joined Feb 2013 | 6 Posts | Status: Member
[/quote]
Quoting sodiska
EURNZD, W & D trend bearish. Last week P in W NCB 1.5477 which is the bottom of W RM. If end this W P close below 1.5477, short this pair with TG at around 1.5203. What do you guys think ?
In my opinion just to be sure on who will get level (1.5470) wait close below for M & W and then wait a PA candle on D chart. So short trade till 1.5100 level. That is the minimun level never reached by the pair (or my historian is not update).
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Wait for expert opinion.
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